Minggu, 30 Juni 2024

France votes in snap election that could make history - Sky News

Voters in France are heading to the polls today for a parliamentary election that could usher in the country's first far-right government since the Second World War.

French President Emmanuel Macron called a surprise vote after his centrist alliance was soundly beaten in the European elections by Marine Le Pen's far-right National Rally earlier this month.

Voting began at 8am (7am UK time), closing at 4pm in smaller towns and 6pm in bigger cities. A winner may be apparent on Sunday night.

France has a semi-presidential system, which means it has both a president and a prime minister.

The voting taking place today will determine who is prime minister but not president, with Mr Macron already set on remaining in his role until the end of his term in 2027.

If Ms Le Pen's party wins an absolute majority, France would have a government and president from opposing political camps for only the fourth time in post-war history.

Her protege 28-year-old Jordan Bardella would be prime minister if the party wins outright.

As of midday (11am UK time) the turnout stood at 25.9%, which is a higher participation rate than any of the five previous parliamentary elections this century at this stage.

How does the election work?

There are 577 constituency contests, one for each seat in the National Assembly, which is the lower house of parliament.

Jordan Bardella votes in the first round of the 2024 snap legislative elections. Pic: Reuters
Image: National Rally leader Jordan Bardella votes. Pic: Reuters
Gabriel Attal casts his vote. Pic: Reuters
Image: Current prime minister Gabriel Attal casts his vote. Pic: Reuters

Candidates with an absolute majority of votes in their constituency are elected in the first round.

In most cases, no candidate meets this criteria and a second round is held, which will be next Sunday - 7 July - when the final outcome will be confirmed.

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To qualify for the run-off, candidates need first-round votes amounting to at least 12.5% of registered voters.

The top scorer wins the second round.

When will we have a result?

Voting ends at 8pm (7pm UK time), when pollsters publish nationwide projections based on a partial vote count.

Official results start trickling in, with counting usually fast and efficient and the winners of almost all seats likely to be known by the end of the evening.

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Joe Biden tells donors he won more voters than Trump during disastrous debate - The Telegraph

Joe Biden has told donors that his debate performance converted more undecided voters than Donald Trump. 

The US president admitted Saturday that he “didn’t have a great night” during the first round of presidential debates, which he was roundly seen to have lost.

However, he claimed he had won over more voters than his Republican rival because people remembered the “bad things” which happened during Mr Trump’s presidency. 

“Research during the debate shows us converting more undecided voters than Trump did, in large part because of his conduct on Jan 6,” Mr Biden said Saturday at a fundraiser at New Jersey governor Phil Murphy’s home. 

“I didn’t have a great night, but I’m going to be fighting harder,” Mr Biden added.

Mr Biden also claimed his polling numbers had gone up with Democrats following the debate.

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Sabtu, 29 Juni 2024

T20 World Cup final: India's thrilling win gives tournament its Hollywood ending - BBC

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Matthew Henry
BBC Sport Journalist in Barbados

Cricket’s attempt to crack the United States got its Hollywood ending.

South Africa looked to have the T20 World Cup won before India surged back to take the title in one final twist.

Throughout the finale the plots of tournaments gone by flashed before our eyes.

For India it was the pain of defeat in the 50-over World Cup final eight months ago. That day a crowd of 90,000 arrived in Ahmedabad but Australia had read the wrong script.

Before that there had been the thrashing by England in Adelaide in 2022, defeat by New Zealand in the Manchester rain in 2019 and the loss to West Indies in 2016, again in front of an expectant home crowd, since their last World Cup win.

India had at least won one before. For South Africa the past was nothing but pain.

The rain in Sydney, Allan Donald’s run-out in 1999, getting the maths wrong in 2003 and Grant Elliott at Eden Park in 2015. It all resurfaced as part of the narrative.

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Either way this was going to be an emotional finale, with inner demons to overcome.

As it was Virat Kohli charged in to embrace Hardik Pandya, while Rohit Sharma dropped to the floor in celebration.

This was Rohit’s redemption, captain of India here as he was during the disappointment last year.

Having had a leading role in The Agony of Ahmedabad, he has completed the sequel - The Kensington Coronation.

Kohli won the 50-over World Cup in 2011 as part the supporting cast. The then 22-year-old lifted the great Sachin Tendulkar onto his shoulders in the victory lap.

This time he was the leading man.

He struggled throughout this tournament, floundering as India progressed unbeaten through both group stages and the semi-finals, but was always lurking - like the baddie that has never been killed off.

Kohli hit three fours in his first four balls. After that he stood casually leaning against his bat, one arm on his hip. He was back.

His nonchalant flick onto the roof of the Sir Garfield Sobers pavilion will be a moment played over and over – as will the Suryakumar Yadav catch at the death and Jasprit Bumrah’s ferocious dismissal of Reeza Hendricks that was enough to send batters around the world hiding behind the sofa.

In the celebrations, Rohit and Kohli stood arm in arm, before announcing they will depart this stage, with this their last T20 international.

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South Africa’s players, in contrast, became the characters your heart breaks for.

As the trophy presentation began, David Miller dropped to his haunches and stared at the ground, while tears flowed from the eyes of Heinrich Klaasen.

This was so nearly a story about Klaasen, who took the Proteas to the brink with 52 from 27 balls. Afterwards he was consoled on the outfield by his wife and young daughter.

Some will say the South Africa of previous years returned. Others can rightly argue India were just too good.

In Bumrah they have the world’s best bowler – a man who conceded only 18 runs from his 24 balls and will go down as one of the greats.

Kuldeep Yadav had a rare off day in the final, but the last two weeks have shown he is the game’s premier spinner, while Rohit’s 92 against Australia was one of the best knocks of the past four weeks.

When it came to the crunch, Rohit turned to his all-rounder Hardik, who delivered, while his Proteas opposite number Marco Jansen faltered.

The win was celebrated wildly in the stands by India fans who had flown into Barbados over the previous days.

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Elsewhere others will roll their eyes.

The Rocky theme played at the Kensington Oval when England met USA last week but this was not an underdog story.

India, already the dominant force in the world game, progressed having been the only team to know in advance where their semi-final would be played.

It mattered not, England would have been resoundingly beaten at Lord’s as well as Guyana, but preventing such a scenario again is one of the minor tweaks that could improve the T20 World Cup.

Fixing the draws so India meet Pakistan and England face Australia may boost the coffers but it cheapens the product.

A week could have been taken off this tournament had it progressed straight from the first stage to quarter-finals when also moving solely to the Caribbean. Two group stages are never necessary.

The International Cricket Council should also thank Josh Hazlewood, because had Australia not been spooked by the reaction to his ill-judged words about manipulating their result against Scotland, a farcical situation may have occurred on the field.

But overall this has been the best of the three men’s World Cups, two T20 and one 50-over, that have been squeezed into the past 21 months.

Its biggest success was that it was the first to go truly global - upped to 20 teams.

There may have been one-sided fixtures in the group stage but the presence of Uganda, Papua New Guinea, the USA, Nepal and other smaller nations brought freshness and excitement.

Uganda’s 39 all out or Oman being beaten inside 17 overs by England were negatives but those were resoundingly outweighed by USA’s iconic victory over Pakistan, Papua New Guinea coming close to beating hosts West Indies and Brandon McMullen’s superb performances for Scotland.

It is for those moments as much as the finale that this tournament will be remembered.

In the end, though, it is India’s name that goes up in lights.

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Joe Biden tries to calm nerves of wealthy backers after debate debacle - Financial Times

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Khamenei protege, sole moderate to battle in Iran's presidential run-off - Reuters

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  1. Khamenei protege, sole moderate to battle in Iran's presidential run-off  Reuters
  2. Iran heading for runoff election after neither lead candidate scores majority  The Guardian
  3. Hardliner, moderate to face off in 2nd-ever Iranian runoff, after record low turnout  The Times of Israel
  4. Iran's supreme leader is terrified of people power  The Economist
  5. Iranian moderate in poll position after voters shun first round  The Telegraph

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Macron told ‘people detest you’ as far-right bids to be biggest party in France - The Guardian

Emmanuel Macron’s centrist grouping was fighting for survival this weekend before the first round of France’s high-stakes snap election, which could see the far-right National Rally (RN) become the biggest force in parliament.

Macron, who warned last week that France risked “civil war” if Marine Le Pen’s anti-immigration RN, or the leftwing New Popular Front coalition, came to power, said at the European summit in Brussels that “uninhibited racism and antisemitism” had been unleashed in France.

But his strategy of stoking a climate of fear, in which his centrists are presented as the only rational force to hold back the breakdown of French society, is seen as backfiring.

Antoine Bristielle, the director of opinion at the Fondation Jean-Jaurès thinktank, said that since Macron called the election, France’s political future was extremely difficult to read. “Macron is more and more unpredictable,” he said. “It’s as if he’s running the country like he’s in a Netflix series – and has to put a cliffhanger at the end of each episode.”

Macron called the parliamentary poll after his centrist party was trounced by the far-right RN in the European election, saying it would “clarify” the political landscape. But even figures close to the president acknowledge that many of his own voters are uneasy over the resulting political turmoil and feel Macron himself has created chaos.

The exact results of the two-round election, with a high turnout expected in the first round on Sunday, are complex to predict. But the RN is riding on a wave of support. Polls show the party taking the greatest share of seats, followed by the left alliance, ahead of Macron’s centrists.

Political analysts say France is entering uncharted waters. If Le Pen’s party manages to go from its current 88 seats to an absolute majority of 289, it would form a far-right government and Macron would have to share power. Equally, the RN could win the largest number of seats but fall short of an absolute majority. Macron could then find himself with a hung parliament unable to produce a stable majority to govern the European Union’s second economy and its top military power.

Christelle Craplet, director of opinion at BVA pollsters, said that “the dynamique for the RN is strong”. She described a polarised mood in France. “Many of Macron’s core electorate are wondering why he dissolved parliament and called this election,” she said.

“There is incomprehension and anxiety, particularly among older voters who make up the core of Macron’s electorate. But equally, RN voters feel a sense of hope and satisfaction at this election. RN voters want change. Polling shows it’s not just passing anger or disgust at politics, they adhere to the party’s positions, saying they want to see things change in France, that they’re let down by political parties and feel why not try the RN.”

She said: “On the left, voters are also expressing a great deal of worry, because the left in France has historically constructed itself in opposition to the RN.”

Macron’s lack of popularity is at the centre of the election race. Centrist candidates for his Renaissance party have deliberately published posters without his name or face. “People detest you,” the former Renaissance MP Patrick Vignal was reported by Le Monde to have told Macron, summing up the mood on the ground. Most centrists wanted Macron to keep a low-profile during the campaign, to avoid the sense of a referendum against the president, but he has continued to give interviews and make public comments almost daily.

Macron was first elected in 2017 on a vow to defend progressive ideals and revolutionise the workings of French politics. Many voters he won from the centre-left have felt increasingly alienated during his second term, after he forced through of a rise in the pension age, as well as a hardline immigration law. Macron’s promise, in a recent letter to the French people, to govern differently, has not been taken seriously by voters.

Bristielle said that a feeling of rejection of Macron had been building over time and this was seen in his one-time voters from the centre-left. “That feeling is very linked to his personality and his way of doing politics, particularly [in] his second term. It is about pension changes, immigration law, but also what is seen to be a lack of willing on environmental issues and even on feminism, such as his support for Gérard Depardieu.” Macron faced anger from feminists and the left last year when he described the actor Dépardieu – who is under formal investigation for rape and was at the time facing fresh scrutiny for sexist comments – as the target of a “manhunt”.

The political scientist Jérôme Jaffré told Le Figaro last week there was a “visceral hostility” towards Macron among working-class voters. The president had hoped that the lightning three-week campaign would help him recover the support he lost in the European elections; instead, polls suggest it has fallen further.

Whether the left alliance can now make solid gains in parliament will depend on the results of the runoffs on 7 July.

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Democrats contemplate the unthinkable: nudging aside Joe Biden - Financial Times

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