Jumat, 07 Juni 2019

Countdown to Trump's Mexico tariff deadline: Talks focus on asylum for migrants - USA TODAY

WASHINGTON – The biggest flashpoint in the U.S.-Mexico negotiations over tariffs and immigration revolves around asylum – specifically which country should be responsible for absorbing the desperate migrants fleeing poverty and violence in Central America.

The Trump administration wants Mexico to agree to take almost every asylum seeker that crosses into Mexico – pushing the Mexican government to sign an agreement that would essentially bar Central American migrants from trying to gain asylum in the United States.

Mexican President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador has resisted that step so far, although there were signs Thursday that Mexican negotiators might relent.

If that happens, the U.S. and Mexico could sign a little-known treaty – called a safe third-country agreement – that would carry huge implications for immigration in both countries.

“That’s probably the most important demand that we have of Mexico,” said Mark Krikorian, executive director of the Center for Immigration Studies, a think tank that favors stronger limits on immigration.

Migrants generally must seek asylum in the first country they reach after fleeing their homeland – but only if that country is considered safe. If it’s not safe, migrants can pass through – as they’re doing in Mexico right now – and apply in the next country they reach, in this case the United States.

If Mexico agrees to be designated as a safe third-party country, the U.S. could deny the asylum claims of virtually all the Central American migrants now seeking refuge in the U.S.

American immigration authorities could “turn them around and send them back” to Mexico, Krikorian said. He has accused Mexico of being an “asylum free rider” by enacting liberal asylum laws but steering most refugees to the U.S. border.

Designating Mexico as a safe asylum country “would really take away most of the incentive” for migrants to trek across Mexico to the U.S. border, Krikorian said.

But immigration advocates say Mexico’s asylum system is already overwhelmed, and the country is not safe – particularly for vulnerable migrants. Trump’s own State Department has advised Americans not to travel to five Mexican states, citing rampant and often violent crime.

“Robberies, extortion, kidnapping ... these are common situations,” said Aaron Reichlin-Melnick, a policy analyst with the American Immigration Council, an advocacy group devoted to stronger protections for immigrants.

The council recently conducted a survey of migrant mothers detained in Mexico, and 90% said they did not feel safe. Nearly half of the 500 women said that they or their child had been robbed, sexually assaulted, threatened or subject to other harm.  

“The Mexican police and state agencies charged with providing security are often the very actors robbing migrants, charging them fees in order to pass, or handing them over to criminal groups who tax or victimize migrants,” Stephanie Leutert, director of the Mexico Security Initiative at the University of Texas, wrote in a 2018 analysis of the issue.

She and others note that Mexico has already moved to take in more refugees. Asylum requests have increased each of the past five years, with the nation on track to reach nearly 60,000 in 2019, nearly double the number from the year before, according to data from the Mexican Commission for Refugee Assistance.

Leutert said Mexico’s government institutions are too weak to absorb more migrants than they’re already taking in.

“I think the U.S. should be working with Mexico more on these issues and not pushing all this enforcement onto a country that doesn’t” have the resources to handle it, she said in an interview.

Krikorian says the U.S. might need to offer Mexico financial assistance in exchange for an asylum agreement.

“I think we should combine carrots along with the sticks,” he said, referring to President Trump’s threat to impose tariffs on all Mexican imports if the Obrador government does not stop the flow of migrants.

Indeed, Obrador has called for the U.S. to help Mexico address the root causes of the migrant crisis – urging the Trump administration to help foot the bill for economic development and other initiatives aimed at relieving the crippling poverty and corruption in Guatemala, Honduras and other Central American countries.

“The U.S. stance is centered on immigration control measures, while our focus is on development,” Roberto Velasco, a spokesman for the Mexican Foreign Ministry, tweeted on Thursday evening. “We have not yet reached an agreement but continue to negotiate.”

Mexico’s Foreign Secretary Marcelo Ebrard declined to comment Thursday on the prospect of a safe third-country agreement. And the White House did not respond to questions about the Trump administration’s demands for that.

But Krikorian said a fat financial aid package could go a long way in persuading Mexico to accede to Trump’s demand.

“We can make it worth Mexico’s while, in combination with a stick that if they don’t take our more money that they’re going to suffer some consequences,” he said.

Contributing: Alan Gomez

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https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/world/2019/06/07/mexico-tariffs-trumps-demand-asylum-changes-flashpoint-talks/1370610001/

2019-06-07 10:23:00Z
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Russian and US warships almost collide - Washington Examiner

A Russian warship nearly collided with a U.S. guided missile cruiser in the Pacific.

According to U.S. Navy spokesman Cmdr. Clayton Doss, the Russian destroyer was just feet away from smashing into the U.S. ship Friday. Doss called the action “unsafe and unprofessional.”

“A Russian destroyer ... made an unsafe maneuver against USS Chancellorsville, closing to 50-100 feet, putting the safety of her crew and ship at risk,” Doss said in a statement to the Washington Examiner.

“This unsafe action forced Chancellorsville to execute all engines back full and to maneuver to avoid collision,” he added.

But the U.S. and Russia are at odds over what exactly happened. The Navy says the incident took place in the Philippine Sea, while the Russian military claims it took place in the East China Sea. Further, while the U.S. blames Russia for the maneuver, Russia says the cruiser suddenly veered off of its path coming close to the Russian destroyer.

Friday’s incident comes days after the U.S. said Russia intercepted a U.S. aircraft flying in the international waters of the Mediterranean Sea three times in just three hours.

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https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/russian-and-us-warships-almost-collide

2019-06-07 11:29:00Z
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Theresa May's days are ending but the Brexit fantasy lives on - CNN

After nearly three years of failing to deliver Brexit, May realized her number was up the day after last month's EU elections, in which Conservative voters flocked to the hardline, anti-EU Brexit Party, led by Nigel Farage.
It's fitting that on the day May was due to formally announce her resignation, the Conservatives suffered another humiliation in a byelection in Peterborough, a city north of London. Her party slipped to third place, behind the opposition Labour Party, which held onto the seat, and the Brexit party.
May will remain in post as Prime Minister until a new Conservative leader is selected. All being well, once in place, the Queen will then invite May's successor to form a government.
But it might seem odd to international observers that while the UK is paralyzed by Brexit -- and has a deadline looming on October 31 -- the party in charge is treating its citizens to a Conservative beauty pageant, rather than getting on with running the country.
A legacy of failure: Theresa May was a disaster as Prime Minister
But here we are. It's all very exciting, if your idea of excitement is watching endless videos of mostly white men telling you what a great job they'd do of leading.
Crucially, they all want you to know how they would succeed where May failed and strike a new Brexit deal with the EU.
Eagle-eyed readers will have already spotted the snag. Unless you live in the fantasy world of the Westminster bubble, phase one of the Brexit talks with the EU is formally closed, never to be reopened.
May's negotiators spent the best part of two years in talks with EU officials and leaders of the other member states to arrive at what is known as the Withdrawal Agreement -- commonly referred to as May's Brexit deal. Both sides thought it was a fair compromise that took into consideration the specific concerns of all involved.
But, as history tells us, the vast majority of Members of Parliament in Westminster loathed it, rejecting it three times.
Why did it fail? Largely, because of something called the Irish border backstop. This instrument was included in the Withdrawal Agreement as an emergency measure to avoid the need for physical infrastructure on the border between the Republic of Ireland (an EU member state) and Northern Ireland (part of the UK). The problem for Brexiteers is that, for legal reasons, the backstop requires the UK to stay closely linked to Europe -- something they regard as a dirty Brussels trap to keep the UK in the EU in all but name.
The three candidates currently considered most likely to succeed May all believe that, when presented with a fresh set of negotiators, EU officials in Brussels will see the light. They will be convinced that the only way to avoid a no-deal Brexit is to reopen the Withdrawal Agreement and change -- or in some cases, scrap -- the backstop. Then, Parliament would unite behind a deal and everyone can relax.
The frontrunner, Boris Johnson, is at the harder end of the backstop spectrum. In an ideal world, he would like to get rid of it. And without significant changes, Johnson says he will take the UK out of the EU on October 31, with or without a deal.
Johnson's closest ally in the 2016 leave campaign, Michael Gove, is also gunning for the top job. Like Johnson, he believes that the EU's priority will be to get a deal approved and avoid chaos. Unlike Johnson, he has refused to commit to leaving on October 31, whatever the state of a deal.
The same goes for Jeremy Hunt. He says he is not scared of no deal, but believes that he can assemble a team that would convince the EU it's in Europe's interest to change the backstop.
Why are these candidates so confident that they can make the EU blink? Two reasons.
First, they believe the EU wants to avoid a no deal at all costs. And to be fair, evidence to date backs this logic. EU leaders have twice allowed extensions to the Brexit deadline and have been accommodating of the UK's chaotic politics.
Second, they think that the EU's obstinance is because it doesn't believe anything can command a majority in the House of Commons. Again, this logic doesn't come from nowhere. Having knocked back May's deal three times, the Commons put forward alternative proposals for Brexit -- all of which failed to achieve a majority.
All the next leader needs to do is prove to the EU that they can get a majority for a tweaked deal and, hey presto, the EU avoids a no deal and Brexit is done and dusted. For now, at least.
The problem with this -- and it's a big one -- is that no one in Brussels or across Europe has given the slightest indication that the Withdrawal Agreement can be changed. That means no tweaks to the backstop and no "new deal." While it's tempting for those leadership candidates to dismiss this as public bluster that is nothing more than a negotiating position, it mirrors exactly what is being said by both European and British officials in private.
There are of course more leadership candidates than Johnson, Gove and Hunt. As things stand, 11 Conservatives have declared and represent positions varying from actively perusing a no deal and banishing all pro-EU Conservatives from the Cabinet to holding a second Brexit referendum.
There are two candidates who accept that May's deal has to be the starting point of any negotiations and that everything else is for the future relationship talks. These two men are Matt Hancock, the health secretary, and Rory Stewart, the international development secretary.
Both have attracted praise from Conservative moderates and from people outside the party, who are sick of Brexit and want to avoid no deal almost as much at the EU does.
Unfortunately for Hancock, Stewart and the EU, it's not members of the public that will ultimately elect the next leader. That honor falls to the 160,000 card-carrying members of the Conservative party. And as anyone who has followed Brexit knows, many members of that party are fine with no deal.
And the members only get a say once the list of candidates has been whittled down to two by the 313 Conservative lawmakers. They are less extreme on Brexit, but know that if they put forward anyone remotely pro-Europe to the membership, they will lose.
This is where we come back to the top three. To win this contest, you need to win over the moderate lawmakers while still appealing to the party's euroskeptic base.
When you look at it this way, the plan to renegotiate the Withdrawal Agreement or leave with no deal makes perfect sense -- which is presumably why the top three are the top three. At least, it makes sense in the bizarre Brexit vacuum that the UK seems incapable of escaping.
Boris Johnson is the best-known candidate to be British prime minister. That's not necessarily a good thing
Of course, astonished officials in Brussels are watching this. They are now resigned to the fact that, after three years of finally making the UK understand its position, a new leader with unworkable ideas is about to come and make demands that make no sense.
As one EU official put it: "The British presumption that the Commission will budge because a new Commission is coming after the EU elections is a misunderstanding of how the EU works. That is a decision for member states, whose leaders -- and positions -- have not changed. Besides, the new Commission doesn't come in till November. If the UK wants to waste its time until then, it's going the right way about it."
Of course, the EU might perform the almightiest U-turn and back down. But the conventional wisdom suggests that next prime minister might discover that the problem wasn't Theresa May, but structural problems with Brexit. And that leader should think carefully about the fact that May is the second leader to have their career ruined by Brexit.
They might also want to reflect on the words of Donald Tusk, President of the European Council, as he announced the EU's decision to allow and extension until October 31: "Please don't waste this time."

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https://edition.cnn.com/2019/06/07/uk/theresa-may-conservative-leadership-luke-mcgee-intl-gbr/index.html

2019-06-07 09:41:37Z
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Trump escalates Pelosi duel as he ends UK trip - CNN

Trump, speaking from the Normandy American Cemetery, blasted the Pelosi as a "disgrace" after she reportedly said she would rather see him in jail than impeach him. His broadside underscored his code of striking back hard when he is criticized, whatever the circumstances.
Trump lashes out at Pelosi over prison comment: 'She's a nasty, vindictive, horrible person'
"I've tried to be nice to her because I would've liked to have gotten some deals done," he said in the interview from France with Fox News, which aired Thursday night, in response to Pelosi's reported comment. "She's incapable of doing deals."
"She's a nasty, vindictive, horrible person," the President added.
Trump supporters might argue that Pelosi's reported comments -- made behind closed doors -- still break the unspoken "water's edge" tradition of refraining from attacking a President when he is abroad. Trump, though, has often broken the taboo himself -- for instance using a trip to Japan last month to slam Democrats and potential 2020 rival Joe Biden.
When he lands in Washington, the President, who spent the night at his Irish golf resort, will be immediately confronted with a new trade war with Mexico on which he doubled down during his trip to Britain, France and Ireland and is defying mediation efforts.
New confrontations also loom next week, with Democratic leaders who are under rising pressure from rank-and-file lawmakers for impeachment proceedings in response to what they see as Trump's abuses of power in the 2016 election and as President.
Each active front in the perpetual Trump-era political drama in Washington can all or in part be chalked up to his confrontational approach. But at least Trump can reflect, as he flies across the Atlantic, on a five-day journey in which he was both feted by a queen and performed a solemn thank you and farewell to the greatest generation.
Trump bids farewell and thank you to the greatest generation
He reveled in his welcome from Queen Elizabeth II's royal court, was magnanimous toward outgoing British Prime Minister Theresa May and delivered a moving tribute to D-Day veterans in Normandy. The President mostly kept his Twitter salvos targeting his enemies and political jabs for after hours.
British officials were relieved that Trump left the country without any political disasters. The White House, which hasn't had many overseas wins, is also pleased with the trip.
Trump's reception was a reminder of the power of the United States and the institution of the presidency, notwithstanding his poor approval ratings in Europe and the headaches he has caused for allied leaders over the past two years.
The low expectations for Trump's trip, however -- following his outbursts at summits and other unpredictable behavior -- also reflect diminished expectations for this particular White House.
Had any other US President engineered such an overt intervention in domestic UK politics with his comments on the Conservative Party leadership race and Brexit, or seemed so hazy on the details of a possible US-UK trade deal and Northern Ireland, the reaction would have been far more critical.

Mexico showdown

Trump reaffirms his intention to impose tariffs on Mexico
While Trump was in France on Thursday, his team back in Washington was frantically trying to find an off-ramp for the latest tariff confrontation with Mexico, though time to seal a deal is running short.
While the President has sent conflicting signs about his threat to impose 5% tariffs that would escalate by 5% a month if Mexico does not do more to halt the flow of migrants, his vice president and press secretary indicated Thursday that plans for the tariffs were proceeding.
"Something pretty dramatic could happen," Trump told reporters in Ireland on Thursday.
But, he added, "we've told Mexico the tariffs go on. And we mean it, too."
White House press secretary Sarah Sanders said in a statement Thursday afternoon that the US "position has not changed, and we are still moving forward with tariffs at this time."
Vice President Mike Pence echoed that message shortly afterward.
"The President announced 5% tariffs would be imposed on Monday on all goods coming from Mexico. That's the policy of the United States," he said. "The President said what he means and he means what he says."
Trump faces a Friday deadline to sign an executive order to ensure the tariffs go into effect by Monday's deadline.
Trump's sudden offensive against Mexico represents his latest effort to quell a crisis at the border that his hardline rhetoric and flexing of executive power have failed to solve.
In May, more than 144,000 migrants were encountered or arrested at the frontier -- a roughly 32% increase over April and the highest monthly tally in 13 years, according to US officials.
Uncertainty over which way the President will lean on Mexico deepened when he tweeted early Thursday that "progress is being made, but not nearly enough!"
His hint of flexibility in Ireland could be a sign that he is feeling heat from Republican senators, who have not ruled out an attempt to block the tariffs from going into force.
If the President's hard-line tactics force Mexico to do more to halt the large numbers of undocumented migrants -- or even if it offers cosmetic concessions -- Trump could claim a political victory. But the spat is yet another indication of how his reliance on tariffs as a primary foreign-policy tool maneuvers him into tough political corners.
Talks on the showdown intensified in Washington on Thursday, stretching into the night, and officials from the White House, the State Department and the Department of Homeland Security met to discuss next steps.
"What Mexico is offering is not enough," said Mercedes Schlapp, White House director of strategic communications.
Mexican President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador said Thursday, however, that he was "optimistic" a deal could be reached.

'I want to see him in prison'

Politico: Pelosi told Dems she wants Trump 'in prison'
If the President's latest clash with Mexico does get solved before Monday, next week is still certain to see a worsening of Washington's already fractious political climate.
Democrats on Thursday released the text of a contempt resolution targeting Attorney General William Barr and ex-White House counsel Don McGahn ahead of a full House vote next week.
New controversy is surrounding Pelosi, who is facing rising pressure in her Democratic caucus to subject Trump to the drama of an impeachment inquiry.
Politico reported that at a meeting on Tuesday night in which House Judiciary Chairman Jerry Nadler asked to open proceedings against the President, Pelosi said: "I don't want to see him impeached, I want to see him in prison."
The report, quoting multiple Democratic sources, was not denied by Pelosi's office. The speaker has been loath to initiate the impeachment process, fearing that it could backfire and give the President a platform to boost his reelection effort.
The report added extra spice to the already tumultuous relationship between Trump and Pelosi, the two most politically powerful figures in Washington, who are both constantly sculpting the battlefield ahead of the 2020 election.
Republicans, who control the Senate and are unlikely to vote to convict Trump in any impeachment trial, are already capitalizing on the reported remark to hint at Democratic overreach.
"She didn't say that. No, she didn't say that," said Sen. Chuck Grassley, R-Iowa. "To go to prison, you've got to violate a law. What law's been violated?"

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https://www.cnn.com/2019/06/07/politics/donald-trump-mexico-politics-dday-britain-immigration/index.html

2019-06-07 09:11:00Z
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Explosion in southern town in Sweden injures 19, cause unclear - Reuters

Damaged balconies and windows are seen at the site of an explosion in Linkoping, Sweden June 7, 2019 Jeppe Gustafsson/TT News Agency/via REUTERS

STOCKHOLM (Reuters) - A powerful explosion in the southern Swedish town of Linkoping on Friday damaged buildings and injured 19 people, police and hospital staff said.

The cause of the explosion was unclear but police said a bomb squad was on its way to the scene in downtown Linkoping and that they had opened a criminal investigation.

“Many people called in about a very powerful explosion which has led to a large number of windows being blown out,” police spokesman Bjorn Oberg said.

“So far we have been able to confirm that there are number of people with light injuries. We have cordoned off a large area, several blocks.”

Oberg said he could not say anything about what might have caused the blast. Swedish public radio reported that a large blast had destroyed the windows and balconies of a five-storey residential building and damaged other buildings.

Regional authorities said in a statement that 19 people had sustained minor injuries in the blast and that Linkoping University as well as other medical facilities in the area had been called into help care for those injured.

“The hospitals are in this way preparing to receive a larger number of injured should that prove to be necessary, it said.

Reporting by Anna Ringstrom, Simon Johnson and Helena Soderpalm; writing by Niklas Pollard; Editing by Catherine Evans and Raissa Kasolowsky

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https://www.reuters.com/article/us-sweden-explosion/explosion-in-southern-town-in-sweden-injures-19-cause-unclear-idUSKCN1T80OI

2019-06-07 08:01:00Z
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We don't believe US on Huawei, but we're still working with other firms, says Russian mobile giant - CNBC

Russia's top mobile operator MTS defended its decision to allow China's Huawei to build out its 5G networks but will continue to work with other firms, the company's CEO said Friday.

In an interview with CNBC's Geoff Cutmore at the St Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF), MTS CEO Alexey Kornya said Huawei is "fully qualified" to provide infrastructure for Russia's next-generation wireless networks. The statement directly contracts warnings from U.S. officials that Huawei's 5G software and equipment poses a national security threat.

"Every country has its own right and capabilities to identify whether that or different types of the equipment represent certain concerns," Kornya said. "In this sense Huawei is fully qualified to be in our networks."

Kornya added MTS is also working with Sweden's Ericsson and Finland's Nokia on 5G technology saying "all three major vendors are represented in our network." Huawei is the world's largest provider of telecommunications equipment, followed by Nokia and Ericsson, according to research firm Dell'Oro Group.

"In business thinking you always balance between vendors and you don't want to fall into dependency from one vendor," he said.

The Trump administration has put Huawei on a blacklist, warning its equipment poses security risks because it could open a backdoor for Chinese spying. U.S. officials point to Chinese laws that appear to require domestic companies to assist the government in intelligence gathering when the communist party in Beijing requests it. Huawei has repeatedly denied it would engage in any form of espionage.

MTS announced this week it had signed a deal with Huawei to hold test launches of new 5G networks this year and in 2020. Chinese President Xi Jinping is attending the forum as part of a three-day state visit to Russia, where he called President Vladimir Putin his "best friend. " China's commerce ministry reportedly said Thursday that Beijing and Moscow had signed more than $20 billion of deals to boost economic ties in areas such as technology and energy during the visit.

Asked whether MTS was put under pressure to sign the Huawei deal this week, Kornya replied "absolutely no."

5G is designed to bring faster speeds and lower lag times than previous wireless networks. It has touted as a potential game-changer for industries like driverless cars and remote surgeries that require quick, reliable internet connections.

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https://www.cnbc.com/2019/06/07/spief-2019-mts-ceo-defends-huawei-decision-but-working-with-others.html

2019-06-07 07:40:41Z
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We don't believe US on Huawei, but we're still working with other firms, says Russian mobile giant - CNBC

Russia's top mobile operator MTS defended its decision to allow China's Huawei to build out its 5G networks but will continue to work with other firms, the company's CEO said Friday.

In an interview with CNBC's Geoff Cutmore at the St Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF), MTS CEO Alexey Kornya said Huawei is "fully qualified" to provide infrastructure for Russia's next-generation wireless networks. The statement directly contracts warnings from U.S. officials that Huawei's 5G software and equipment poses a national security threat.

"Every country has its own right and capabilities to identify whether that or different types of the equipment represent certain concerns," Kornya said. "In this sense Huawei is fully qualified to be in our networks."

Kornya added MTS is also working with Sweden's Ericsson and Finland's Nokia on 5G technology saying "all three major vendors are represented in our network." Huawei is the world's largest provider of telecommunications equipment, followed by Nokia and Ericsson, according to research firm Dell'Oro Group.

"In business thinking you always balance between vendors and you don't want to fall into dependency from one vendor," he said.

The Trump administration has put Huawei on a blacklist, warning its equipment poses security risks because it could open a backdoor for Chinese spying. U.S. officials point to Chinese laws that appear to require domestic companies to assist the government in intelligence gathering when the communist party in Beijing requests it. Huawei has repeatedly denied it would engage in any form of espionage.

MTS announced this week it had signed a deal with Huawei to hold test launches of new 5G networks this year and in 2020. Chinese President Xi Jinping is attending the forum as part of a three-day state visit to Russia, where he called President Vladimir Putin his "best friend. " China's commerce ministry reportedly said Thursday that Beijing and Moscow had signed more than $20 billion of deals to boost economic ties in areas such as technology and energy during the visit.

Asked whether MTS was put under pressure to sign the Huawei deal this week, Kornya replied "absolutely no."

5G is designed to bring faster speeds and lower lag times than previous wireless networks. It has touted as a potential game-changer for industries like driverless cars and remote surgeries that require quick, reliable internet connections.

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https://www.cnbc.com/2019/06/07/spief-2019-mts-ceo-defends-huawei-decision-but-working-with-others.html

2019-06-07 07:32:05Z
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