Jumat, 30 Agustus 2019

Hurricane Dorian gains strength and Florida braces for hit: A.M. News Links - cleveland.com

SpaceCom: Trump launches space warfare command (BBC)

Judge rejects House Democrats' request to fast-track Trump tax return case (CNN)

Fox News anchor rips into Trump: 'We don’t work for you' (USA Today)

Mattis says he owes Trump silence, but won't keep quiet 'forever' (Politico)

Biden repeatedly gets facts wrong in retelling war story: report (The Hill)

What do new citizenship rules for kids of U.S. military, workers abroad mean? (NPR)

Surgeon General warns of risks of marijuana use by pregnant women, young people (ABC News)

Philadelphia police seize massive arsenal of weapons from suicidal man's home (NBC News)

Study: No ‘gay gene,’ but a genetic link to sexuality (Associated Press)

Retired Dallas detective Jim Leavelle, who escorted Lee Harvey Oswald when he was killed by Jack Ruby, has died at 99 (CBS DFW)

Video allegedly shows woman giving birth in Denver jail cell alone, with no assistance (NBC News)

Ring and its doorbell cameras have partnered with over 400 police departments (CNN)

New Hampshire governor rules woman can keep 'PB4WEGO' vanity license plate despite state's recall (The Hill)

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https://expo.cleveland.com/news/g66l-2019/08/0429371c9a7776/hurricane-dorian-gains-strength-and-florida-braces-for-hit-am-news-links.html

2019-08-30 09:21:41Z
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Former British leader joins bid to derail shuttering of Parliament amid Brexit crisis - The Washington Post

Simon Dawson Reuters Anti-Brexit protesters shout slogans as they demonstrate Thursday in Westminster in London.

LONDON — Former British Prime Minister John Major said Friday he would try to join a legal bid to prevent a suspension of Britain’s parliament just weeks before Britain is due to crash out of the European Union.

The former Conservative leader announced he would take on his successor, Prime Minister Boris Johnson, who announced the controversial decision to shutter Parliament for over a month in the middle of one of Britain’s biggest political crises in generations. 

It was an extraordinary intervention by a former leader of Johnson’s Conservative party, akin to a former Republican president mounting a high-profile legal assault against the decisions of a sitting one. Johnson’s suspending Parliament has triggered a number of challenges by those who claim the action is unlawful and unconstitutional.

Major said in a statement that he intended to ask the High Court in London if he could join a legal battle already initiated by the business executive Gina Miller, who has had anti-Brexit triumphs in courts in the past.

Johnson shocked the country Wednesday when he announced a five-week suspension of Parliament, which dramatically cuts down the time those opposed to a no-deal Brexit have to try to avert leaving the E.U. without an exit plan.

If Britain leaves the European Union with no transitional deal to cushion its path, the International Monetary Fund, the World Bank and other institutions have predicted economic chaos.

Johnson has repeatedly said that Britain will leave the E.U. at the end of October “do or die.”

The slim chances of Johnson’s opponents prevailing via the legal system were spotlighted by a quick defeat on Friday, when a Scottish court rejected one such attempt to halt the suspension. The case was brought by a group of 75 lawmakers, who are expected to appeal the decision.

In Northern Ireland, a court in Belfast will hear a case later Friday that will argue that exiting the E.U. without an exit plan breaches the Good Friday Agreement, the 1998 accord that helped to advance peace in Northern Ireland after decades of sectarian violence.

“Like hijackers of a plane, Boris Johnson’s ministers and acolytes are trying to keep everyone calm by giving as much as possible the impression of normality,” Miller, the business executive, wrote in the Guardian. “This is the way of people seizing power by force, but let’s be clear: there is nothing that is normal about what they are doing.”

Opposition lawmakers led by Jeremy Corbyn, meanwhile, were preparing a blitz strategy to derail a no-deal Brexit during the limited days they will have in Parliament, which reopens Tuesday after a summer recess and shuts down again by Sept. 12.

The suspension has sparked a furious backlash, with nationwide protests expected Saturday in cities including London, Glasgow, Liverpool and Leeds. A second demonstration is planned for Tuesday as lawmakers return to Parliament. A petition calling for the suspension to be canceled has rocketed past 1.5 million signatures.

Senior E.U. policymakers fretted Friday both that Johnson’s tactics were undemocratic and that they were increasing the likelihood of a no-deal Brexit.

“Westminster is the mother of all parliaments, and now there is a situation where the parliament risks being sidelined,” Luxembourg Foreign Minister Jean Asselborn told reporters in Helsinki. “This a way to proceed that is not very compatible with being a democracy.”

He warned of “a lot of misery” if Britain departed without a deal.

Queen Elizabeth II approved Johnson’s request to temporarily shutter the legislature. Her response was expected — the queen is an apolitical figure who acts on the advice of her prime minister. 

But her role in the maneuver made Major’s intervention even more unusual, since it amounted to a challenge of her actions as well.

Johnson’s government insists that what they are doing is business as usual. Johnson is a new prime minister, and it is normal that he would want to lay out a new legislative agenda, requiring the suspension — or proroguing — of Parliament. They also point out that there is usually a break in September when the political parties have their party conferences.

But legal campaigners say the suspension is unusually long and is thwarting lawmakers’ attempts to debate and pass legislation at a pivotal time in the nation’s history. The five-week break is the longest since 1945.

Birnbaum reported from Brussels. Quentin Ariès in Brussels contributed to this report.

                     

                     

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https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/europe/former-british-leader-joins-bid-to-derail-shuttering-of-parliament-amid-brexit-crisis/2019/08/30/8523495c-ca92-11e9-9615-8f1a32962e04_story.html

2019-08-30 10:05:14Z
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Hurricane Dorian is days away from striking Florida, and could be a monster storm by landfall - CNN

"If you're anywhere on that east coast of Florida, you want to have food, water, medicine for up to seven days," Gov. Ron DeSantis said Thursday.
Dorian, now a Category 2 hurricane with sustained winds of 105 mph, is due to slow in the coming days, gaining intensity over warm Caribbean waters to fuel the heavy rains, damaging wind and storm surge it's expected to deliver, CNN meteorologist Derek Van Dam said.
Hurricane watches have been issued for the northwestern Bahamas, where Dorian is expected to hit Sunday as a Category 3 storm, the National Hurricane Center said.
It is then forecast to roar toward the US mainland Monday evening into Tuesday morning at major-hurricane strength, though experts warn that forecasts are subject to change.
"There is a wide cone of uncertainty of the storm, especially since it is still days from landfall on Florida," CNN meteorologist Rob Shackelford said. The cone extends from Key West up to around Jacksonville, a distance of 500 miles, he added.

Big storm, big response

Dorian warrants a multibillion dollar price tag, FEMA associate administrator Jeffrey Byard told reporters Thursday.
"This is going to be a big storm. We're prepared for a big response," he said.
Since Dorian had minimal impact on Puerto Rico, the agency is shifting staff from the island to Florida in preparation.
Dorian already has claimed the title of strongest storm so far of this year's Atlantic hurricane season.
If it reaches Florida, this will be the fourth year in a row a hurricane of any strength has hit the state. That would be the most years in a row since the 1940s.
And if it reaches Florida as a Category 4 storm, with sustained winds of around 130 mph, it would be the strongest hurricane to strike Florida's east coast since Hurricane Andrew in 1992, CNN Meteorologist Brandon Miller said.

Florida residents are stocking up

DeSantis declared a state of emergency for all 67 Florida counties. The state has 819,000 gallons of water and 1.8 million meals ready for distribution, he said.
Florida residents have been stocking up on gas and food for a stormy weekend, and officials are urging those in the state to be prepared.
"Get water, get gas, get cash out of the ATMs," West Palm Beach Mayor Keith James said. "The more we hear about this storm, it sounds like a serious one."
With Dorian scheduled to arrive in time for Labor Day weekend, major airlines have offered waivers for flights to Florida, Georgia and the Caribbean. And tourist areas were emptying out Thursday, CNN affiliate WFLA reported.
"We usually get hundreds of visitors every day, and it's just been one of those days that drives everyone away. It's a gorgeous day but the hurricane is just going to kill it all," Jason Pun, owner of a Cocoa Beach restaurant, told the station.
"it is taking a little bit of a hindrance, especially when we're supposed to be preparing for one of our busiest weekends of the year," Frank Figueroa, owner of the neighboring Sandbar, said.

Military and NASA are making adjustments

To avoid damage from Dorian, the US Navy is moving more than 40 planes from Jacksonville to bases in Michigan, Ohio and Texas.
The US Air Force is evacuating 16 aircraft from MacDill Air Force Base near Tampa to McConnell Air Force Base near Wichita, Kansas, an Air Force official said.
Florida is keeping an eye on nursing homes' generators after Hurricane Irma fatalities
Florida State University had been scheduled to play its season-opening game off campus, in Jacksonville near the Atlantic coast. But because Dorian will be approaching, the game has been moved farther inland to FSU's normal home field in Tallahassee.
Because Dorian could impact Florida's Kennedy Space Center, NASA has said it will have a crawler-transporter move NASA's mobile launcher Friday from launch pad 39B to the Vehicle Assembly Building about 3.5 miles away. The launcher was being tested on the pad in anticipation of future Space Launch System missions.

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https://www.cnn.com/2019/08/30/us/dorian-forecast-friday-wxc/index.html

2019-08-30 09:20:00Z
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Arrests of high-profile Hong Kong activists a bid to spread 'white terror' - Guardian News

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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K8cOx4qIfAM

2019-08-30 08:23:32Z
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Hurricane Dorian path map: Latest euro model, NOAA charts and spaghetti models - Express.co.uk

Hurricane Dorian has already battered the US Virgin Islands and is now churning through the Atlantic Ocean towards the US state of Florida. The horrifying weather system is whipping out maximum sustained winds of 105mph, making it a Category 2 hurricane on the Saffir Simpson hurricane wind scale. Dorian is forecast to further strengthen and develop into a major Category 3 hurricane later on Friday. Hurricane warnings could be issued today.

Hurricane Dorian is expected to be on Florida’s doorstop on Monday morning, but weather models are showing very different tracks for the hurricane.

According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) Dorian continues northwestward, and while the forecast for the next 24 hours is fairly high, it turns uncertain.

NOAA said: "As you can imagine, with so many complex variables in play, it is no wonder the models have been having a difficult time nailing down the path of the hurricane.

"There's been a notable trend on this model cycle toward a slower, more westward track beyond 36 hours, which can be seen most strongly in the GFS-based guidance."

READ MORE: Hurricane Dorian tracker: Category 3 hurricane could smash Florida

However, the GFS model keeps Dorian off the Floridian coast, perhaps making landfall further north in Jacksonville.

The model even suggests that Dorian could ride up the coastline, not making landfall in Florida at all.

Accuweather reports: “At this point, there is the likelihood of stormy conditions with heavy rain and gusty winds that push northwestward across part of the Florida Peninsula beginning Saturday night and continuing into Sunday night.

The weather service added: “Flooding downpours and power outages are possible.”

READ MORE: Storm Dorian track: Risk of hurricane storm surge in Florida increases

Another tracker, the Euro model, sees the hurricane making landfall in southeastern Florida, perhaps close to Fort Lauderdale.

Following this, Dorian will head west, affecting areas from the coast of Sarasota.

“Should Dorian remain over land for the duration after reaching Florida, the system will slowly weaken and rain itself out over the southeastern corner of the US during Labor Day and beyond”, AccuWeather said.

The key message from NHC is the risk of dangerous storm surge and hurricane-force winds later this week and this weekend.

This risk continues to increase in the central and northwestern Bahamas and along Florida’s east coast, although it is too soon to determine exactly where these hazards will occur.

NHC warned: “Residents in these areas should ensure they have their hurricane plan in place and not focus on the exact forecast track of Dorian’s centre.”

With lower shear and very warm waters, all of the intensity models forecast Dorian to begin strengthening again soon, and rapid intensification could occur.

Dorian is likely to reach major hurricane strength in the next day or two and is forecast to maintain that status until it reaches land.

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https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/1171434/hurricane-dorian-path-map-latest-euro-model-gfs-noaa-chart-spaghetti-model-nhc

2019-08-30 07:08:00Z
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Hurricane Dorian path map: Latest euro model, NOAA charts and spaghetti models - Express.co.uk

Hurricane Dorian has already battered the US Virgin Islands and is now churning through the Atlantic Ocean towards the US state of Florida. The horrifying weather system is whipping out maximum sustained winds of 105mph, making it a Category 2 hurricane on the Saffir Simpson hurricane wind scale. Dorian is forecast to further strengthen and develop into a major Category 3 hurricane later on Friday. Hurricane warnings could be issued today.

Hurricane Dorian is expected to be on Florida’s doorstop on Monday morning, but weather models are showing very different tracks for the hurricane.

According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) Dorian continues northwestward, and while the forecast for the next 24 hours is fairly high, it turns uncertain.

NOAA said: "As you can imagine, with so many complex variables in play, it is no wonder the models have been having a difficult time nailing down the path of the hurricane.

"There's been a notable trend on this model cycle toward a slower, more westward track beyond 36 hours, which can be seen most strongly in the GFS-based guidance."

READ MORE: Hurricane Dorian tracker: Category 3 hurricane could smash Florida

However, the GFS model keeps Dorian off the Floridian coast, perhaps making landfall further north in Jacksonville.

The model even suggests that Dorian could ride up the coastline, not making landfall in Florida at all.

Accuweather reports: “At this point, there is the likelihood of stormy conditions with heavy rain and gusty winds that push northwestward across part of the Florida Peninsula beginning Saturday night and continuing into Sunday night.

The weather service added: “Flooding downpours and power outages are possible.”

READ MORE: Storm Dorian track: Risk of hurricane storm surge in Florida increases

Another tracker, the Euro model, sees the hurricane making landfall in southeastern Florida, perhaps close to Fort Lauderdale.

Following this, Dorian will head west, affecting areas from the coast of Sarasota.

“Should Dorian remain over land for the duration after reaching Florida, the system will slowly weaken and rain itself out over the southeastern corner of the US during Labor Day and beyond”, AccuWeather said.

The key message from NHC is the risk of dangerous storm surge and hurricane-force winds later this week and this weekend.

This risk continues to increase in the central and northwestern Bahamas and along Florida’s east coast, although it is too soon to determine exactly where these hazards will occur.

NHC warned: “Residents in these areas should ensure they have their hurricane plan in place and not focus on the exact forecast track of Dorian’s centre.”

With lower shear and very warm waters, all of the intensity models forecast Dorian to begin strengthening again soon, and rapid intensification could occur.

Dorian is likely to reach major hurricane strength in the next day or two and is forecast to maintain that status until it reaches land.

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https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/1171434/hurricane-dorian-path-map-latest-euro-model-gfs-noaa-chart-spaghetti-model-nhc

2019-08-30 07:05:17Z
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What’s Next for Brexit? Six Possible Outcomes - The New York Times

LONDON — Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s decision to suspend Parliament next month has brought a fresh wave of consternation and confusion to Britain’s already chaotic efforts to leave the European Union, while still leaving wide open the question of where Britain will end up on Oct. 31., the day the country is scheduled to leave the bloc.

Mr. Johnson says he would rather Britain leave with a reworked Brexit deal but, failing that, it would be out the door anyway. His opponents have sworn to remove any possibility of leaving without a deal, which they say would be economically calamitous.

Adding to the confusion, what happens next depends not just on the battle between the prime minister and his opponents in Parliament, but also on the flexibility of the so-far unyielding European Union leadership and, down the line, quite possibly on a British court.

Following are six of the most likely outcomes leading up to Oct. 31.

Members of Parliament don’t agree about much on Brexit, but a majority oppose what they consider a destructive “no-deal” departure and would like to rule it out of bounds. By suspending Parliament for several crucial weeks, Mr. Johnson has made this hard. But he has also galvanized his opponents into action, and Jo Swinson, leader of the Liberal Democrats, hinted in a BBC interview that they may copy Mr. Johnson in using an arcane procedure — she did not specify what — to stop a “no-deal” Brexit. So don’t count them out quite yet.

Image
CreditMatt Dunham/Associated Press

If they fail to legislate against a no-deal Brexit, lawmakers can resort to the ultimate weapon: a motion of no confidence, ousting Mr. Johnson from office. Currently, they do not appear to have the votes to pull this off. But even if they did, it might not solve their problem.

The law calls for the formation of a new government within two weeks or a general election. One option might be a caretaker administration that would presumably request another Brexit delay to afford time to hold an election. The problem is opposition leaders cannot agree on a caretaker prime minister. Jeremy Corbyn, the natural choice as leader of the Labour Party, is too left-wing, and as a lifelong critic of the European Union, is distrusted by determined opponents of Brexit.

Many would prefer a more centrist figure — perhaps the former Conservative cabinet minister Kenneth Clarke — as the caretaker. That would require Mr. Corbyn agreeing to stand aside, because a no-confidence motion could not succeed without his support.

And even if it did, Mr. Johnson has another trick up his sleeve, one that his supporters have repeatedly telegraphed: He could refuse to resign and then schedule a general election for November, in effect forcing through a no-deal Brexit. Dirty pool, perhaps, it would leave deep scars in the body politic. But there is nothing in the relevant law, the Fixed-Term Parliaments Act, requiring the prime minister to step down immediately.

If lawmakers should succeed in quickly passing legislation outlawing a no-deal Brexit before Parliament is suspended, Mr. Johnson could try to outflank them again by calling a general election. This would be risky, but he needs to hold one soon anyway because he has a working majority in Parliament of just one seat, a margin far too small for comfort for any government. If there is an election soon, Mr. Johnson is likely to run as a champion of the people against a Parliament intent on obstructing the pro-Brexit outcome of the 2016 referendum. One theory is that the election could take place on Oct. 17, allowing Mr. Johnson — if he wins — to go to the European Union summit the following day with a fresh mandate.

But there could be a significant roadblock. To call an election, Mr. Johnson would need the support of two-thirds of the House of Commons, so he would need opposition votes. The Labour Party wants an election, but might demur if it thinks that, instead of a quick vote, Mr. Johnson wants to delay it until after the Brexit deadline.

Image
CreditTolga Akmen/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

No one seems to think this option has much chance. After all, Parliament voted three times against a Brexit agreement negotiated by Mr. Johnson’s predecessor, Theresa May, and the European Union is stubbornly refusing to reopen negotiations. But don’t rule it out.

The critical date is Oct. 17-18, when the bloc’s leaders meet, providing an opportunity for last-minute negotiations (which is practically the only way things get done there). If a potentially disastrous no-deal Brexit is still a possibility, Mr. Johnson can put a gun to the heads of European leaders to get a revised deal, then put the gun to the heads of his lawmakers to get the measure passed. “Either accept my new, revised, Brexit agreement,” he will say, or we are headed for the dreaded no-deal exit.

While it is widely thought that Mr. Johnson is using the threat of an unruly exit as a negotiating tactic, it is also possible that he actually means what he says. If European leaders offer too few concessions for his liking, he might plow ahead with a no-deal exit and, given the limited parliamentary time to stop it, he might succeed. It is, after all, the default option. That would allow Mr. Johnson to unite Brexit supporters behind him in a general election either late in 2019 or in 2020. The risk, however, is that the predictions of economic chaos after a no-deal Brexit are borne out, making an election unwinnable for him (and, if things are bad enough, possibly for the Conservative Party for years to come).

There are already three cases being considered against Mr. Johnson’s decision to suspend Parliament. Experts think these are unlikely to succeed — though Gina Miller, an anti-Brexit campaigner, defied such predictions when she won a case against Mrs. May’s efforts to bypass Parliament when starting exit talks. She is trying again now.

But there may be other opportunities to go to court. If Mr. Johnson refuses to resign after losing a vote of confidence and tries to push a general election beyond the Halloween deadline, a legal challenge would be likely. Then it could be judges, not lawmakers, who have the decisive voice in Britain’s biggest peacetime decision in decades.

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https://www.nytimes.com/2019/08/30/world/europe/brexit-scenarios-boris-johnson.html

2019-08-30 06:00:00Z
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