Rabu, 18 September 2019

The Hill's Morning Report - Trump eyes narrowly focused response to Iran attacks | TheHill - The Hill

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President TrumpDonald John TrumpJimmy Carter: 'I hope there's an age limit' on presidency White House fires DHS general counsel: report Trump to cap California trip with visit to the border MORE, faced with rising tensions in the Middle East, worked on Tuesday to balance international diplomacy with potential punishment, including military action, aimed at Iran following Saturday’s sophisticated missile and drone strikes against oil facilities in Saudi Arabia.

The president on Tuesday received a menu of possible actions against Iran, and asked for additional ideas, NBC News reported. Trump is interested in a narrowly focused response that would not draw the United States into a military conflict with Iran. One option is a strike by Saudi Arabia, supported by U.S. intelligence.

The administration is weighing a range of options for a retaliatory response against Iran, including a cyberattack or physical strike on Iranian oil facilities or Revolutionary Guard assets, according to NBC News. U.S military action did not appear imminent, and officials stressed that no decisions had been made about next steps. However, the Defense Department is working through options to increase its presence in the region, officials said. Iran has denied its involvement in Saturday’s strikes.

Reuters: U.S. believes Saudi oil attacks came from southwestern Iran. 

USA Today: Secretary of State Mike PompeoMichael (Mike) Richard PompeoTrump fires back at Graham over Iran criticism Overnight Defense: GOP wary of action on Iran | Pence says US 'locked and loaded' to defend allies | Iran's leader rules out talks with US Republicans wary of US action on Iran MORE travels to Saudi Arabia to discuss attacks blamed on Iran.

Reuters: The Saudi Defense Ministry will present “material evidence and Iranian weapons proving the Iranian regime’s involvement in the terrorist attack” today at a news conference, officials said. Preliminary results showed the attack did not come from Yemen, Saudi officials maintain.

Trump said he would prefer not to meet with Iranian President Hassan Rouhani on the sidelines of the United Nations General Assembly next week, amending his interest in such a meeting in the days prior to the attacks, which took place deep into Saudi Arabia (The Hill). 

“I never rule anything out, but I prefer not meeting him,” Trump said aboard Air Force One on Tuesday.

Iran had said such a meeting would not take place during the U.N. gathering of world leaders in New York, and it’s now possible Iran may skip the assembly entirely. Iran today warned of an “immediate” response to any action taken against it (The Associated Press).

On Capitol Hill, the Senate Republican Conference received a briefing on Tuesday from Vice President Pence about Saturday’s attacks and Iran’s suspected involvement. Sen. Lindsey GrahamLindsey Olin GrahamTrump fires back at Graham over Iran criticism Overnight Defense: GOP wary of action on Iran | Pence says US 'locked and loaded' to defend allies | Iran's leader rules out talks with US Republicans wary of US action on Iran MORE (R-S.C.), who is up for reelection, tweeted that he is persuaded “such a sophisticated attack could not have occurred without Iran’s blessing and direct involvement.”

 

Graham, who said Iran saw the “measured response” by the United States as “weakness,” urged the administration to “take decisive action to deter further aggression by the Ayatollah and his henchman.”

Trump, who plays golf with Graham and has sought his advice on a number of topics, tweeted a barbed reply: “No Lindsey, it was a sign of strength that some people just don’t understand!”

Meanwhile, the outcome of Israel’s election on Tuesday pitting Prime Minister Benjamin NetanyahuBenjamin (Bibi) NetanyahuMORE, who faced voters for the second time this year, against former Gen. Benny Gantz and the Blue and White party, remains deadlocked today as results continue to be tallied, signaling serious trouble for Netanyahu’s decade of conservative rule. 

Parliamentary kingmaker Avigdor Lieberman said today he’ll demand a secular “liberal” unity government between the Likud and Blue and White parties, devoid of the religious and ultra-Orthodox allies Netanyahu leans on. Without Lieberman’s endorsement, both parties appear to have fallen well short of securing a parliamentary majority. “There is one and only option,” Lieberman said, “a national unity government that is broad and liberal and we will not join any other option.” His comments signaled a roadblock for the continuation of Netanyahu’s rule (The Associated Press).

On Iran policy, Trump and Netanyahu have been largely on the same page in public. The president earlier this year sought to help the prime minister win reelection, but this time, the White House has seemed determined to stand on the sidelines while Trump has appeared preoccupied with U.S. responses to Iran (Reuters).  

In other administration news … Faced with a thinned national security staff and increasingly complex foreign policy challenges, Trump on Tuesday identified five current or former members of his administration he says are candidates to succeed John BoltonJohn BoltonTrump names finalists for national security adviser The Hill's Morning Report - What is Trump's next move on Iran? Trump at a pivotal crossroads on Iran MORE as White House national security adviser. The list includes Robert O’Brien, Maj. Gen. Ricky Waddell, Lisa E. Gordon-Hagerty, Fred Fleitz and retired Lt. Gen. Keith Kellogg (The New York Times). … The president is expected to nominate Stephen Biegun, the State Department’s special representative for North Korea, to be the next deputy secretary of state, according to reporting by Washington Post columnist Josh Rogin. … Trump plans today while traveling in California to revoke the state’s authority to set stricter auto emissions standards than those set at the federal level, a slap at liberal West Coast challenges to his administration and a rebuke of former President Obama’s efforts to curb greenhouse gases that contribute to climate change (The New York Times). … Trump says homeless people damage the “prestige” of Los Angeles, San Francisco and other populous cities and vows unspecified federal action. Secretary of Housing and Urban Development Ben CarsonBenjamin (Ben) Solomon CarsonVisiting California, Trump pledges action on homelessness Trump heads to heart of resistance in California Trump awards Yankees legend Mariano Rivera the Medal of Freedom MORE traveled to Los Angeles on Tuesday (The Washington Post).

LEADING THE DAY

CONGRESS: An appearance by Corey LewandowskiCorey R. LewandowskiLewandowski says he's under no obligation to speak truthfully to the media Nadler considering holding Lewandowski in contempt Lewandowski, Democrats tangle at testy hearing MORE, the former campaign manager for the Trump campaign, before the House Judiciary Committee on Tuesday quickly devolved into a chaotic scene as he largely refused to answer questions on a number of topics, including references to his account of events to former special counsel Robert MuellerRobert (Bob) Swan MuellerFox's Cavuto roasts Trump over criticism of network Mueller report fades from political conversation Trump calls for probe of Obama book deal MORE and conversations with the president.

From the outset, Democrats attempted to confront the witness about references to his recollections in Mueller’s report, especially regarding the president’s request that Lewandowski deliver a 2017 letter to then-Attorney General Jeff SessionsJefferson (Jeff) Beauregard SessionsLewandowski says he's under no obligation to speak truthfully to the media Nadler considering holding Lewandowski in contempt Lewandowski, Democrats tangle at testy hearing MORE asking that Sessions set new limits on Mueller’s probe. Lewandowski told Mueller that he did not want to deliver the message to Sessions and asked former White House aide Rick Dearborn to do it. Dearborn did not. 

Rep. Steve CohenStephen (Steve) Ira CohenLewandowski, Democrats tangle at testy hearing Trump probes threaten to overshadow Democrats' agenda Ocasio-Cortez renews impeachment call amid probe involving Trump's Scotland property MORE (D-Tenn.) told the former Trump campaign hand that he “chickened out” by not delivering Trump’s message to Sessions, while Rep. Hank JohnsonHenry (Hank) C. JohnsonLewandowski, Democrats tangle at testy hearing Democrat to Lewandowski: You are 'like a fish being cleaned with a spoon' The United States broken patent system is getting worse MORE (D-Ga.) compared the panel’s questioning of Lewandowski to the cleaning of a fish.

“Lewandowski, you are like a fish being cleaned with a spoon — very hard to get a clean answer from you,” Johnson said.

Throughout, Lewandowski asserted executive privilege despite having not worked in the White House. He repeatedly defended Trump, saying the president “never asked me to do anything illegal.” Trump lauded Lewandowski’s appearance, tweeting at one point that he delivered a “beautiful Opening Statement.” 

While he stonewalled lawmakers, Lewandowski had trouble answering questions from Barry Berke, the committee’s counsel, who tripped him up repeatedly and forced Lewandowski to acknowledge that he has been dishonest to members of the media (The Hill).

Lewandowski also told Berke that he did not deliver the message to Sessions because it wasn’t “a priority” in his mind.   

Lewandowski is among three witnesses the committee has sought to question, including Dearborn and Rob Porter, the former White House staff secretary. Multiple Democrats on the panel called on House Judiciary Committee Chairman Jerrold NadlerJerrold (Jerry) Lewis NadlerLewandowski says he's under no obligation to speak truthfully to the media Katie Pavlich: The Democrats' desperate do-overs Lewandowski refuses to say whether Trump has offered him a pardon MORE (D-N.Y.) to hold Lewandowski in contempt.

"Mr. Lewandowski, your behavior in this hearing room has been completely unacceptable. It is part of a pattern of a White House desperate for the American people not to hear the truth," Nadler said after committee members concluded their questioning.   

"I’ve been asked several times today whether the committee will hold you in contempt. It is certainly under consideration," Nadler said.

Lewandowski also tried to make the most out of his appearance. During a mid-afternoon break, the former Trump aide announced the launch of a new website promoting a possible Senate bid in New Hampshire that featured pictures of Lewandowski and the president.

“President Trump said Corey will be a ‘fantastic’ Senator … ‘great for New Hampshire’ and ‘great for America.’ Add your support for Corey to run for U.S. Senate,” the site reads.

Jonathan Allen: Lewandowski pumps life into assertions of obstruction of justice by Trump.

> Retirements galore: Another House Republican announced his planned exit from Congress on Tuesday, adding to the party’s recent wave of retirements fresh off an annual GOP retreat, which focused on a path to clawing back the majority next year. 

Rep. Paul CookPaul Joseph CookPelosi: Democrats will 'certainly' beat Trump in 2020 GOP struggles with retirement wave Here are the lawmakers who aren't seeking reelection in 2020 MORE (R-Calif.) announced he will leave Congress next year, making him the 18th House Republican to announce a decision to forfeit a run for reelection in 2020. Instead, Cook said he would run for a seat on the San Bernardino County Board of Supervisors, underscoring the challenges for GOP leaders to convince rank-and-file members to stay in the House as members of the minority. 

Cook’s decision to run for local office instead of reelection to Congress isn’t without precedent. Former Rep. Janice HahnJanice Kay HahnGOP struggles with retirement wave Democrats blast return of 'no-match' letters Dems seek to establish flight legroom minimums MORE (D-Calif.) chose to run for the Los Angeles County Board of Supervisors instead of another term in the minority in 2016, while ex-Rep. Candice MillerCandice Sue MillerGOP struggles with retirement wave Women poised to take charge in Dem majority GOP puts Obama on notice over visa carve-outs MORE (R-Mich.) opted for a stint as Macomb County public works Commissioner the same year. 

Hours before Cook's announcement, House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthyKevin Owen McCarthyGOP struggles with retirement wave Trump touts Washington Post story on GOP support Pence extends olive branch to Cummings after Trump's Baltimore attacks MORE (R-Calif.) downplayed the pile-up of GOP lawmakers who plan to depart Congress (The Hill).

“All the retirements except one this cycle [are] in a safe seat,” McCarthy told “Fox & Friends.“ “I think it’s healthy. I had one member come to me who’s been on the ballot since 1988 and he says, ‘I can’t give you a hundred percent to go win the majority. So let’s bring some new people in at the same time.’”

Five GOP open seats in 2020 are seen as toss-ups, leaning Republican, or leaning Democratic according to the Cook Political Report (no relation to Rep. Cook).

> Kavanaugh: An aggressive push by progressives to impeach Associate Justice Brett KavanaughBrett Michael KavanaughTrump dismisses NYT explanation on Kavanaugh correction Kavanaugh impeachment push hits Capitol buzz saw Katie Pavlich: The Democrats' desperate do-overs MORE is falling flat on Capitol Hill as top Democrats continue to oppose it and argue about whether it’s a politically prudent move.

While Rep. Ayanna PressleyAyanna PressleyKavanaugh impeachment push hits Capitol buzz saw Pressley on Kavanaugh impeachment: 'Deeply disturbing' that a justice 'could have this many allegations' Trump praises Kavanaugh as a 'great, brilliant man,' blasts NYT over 'smear' report at rally MORE (D-Mass.) introduced a resolution Tuesday calling for an impeachment inquiry, Democratic leaders are signaling they want nothing to do with it as they try to juggle the already perilous fight over impeaching the president with their party agenda.

Some Democrats warned on Tuesday that it’s time to move on, noting that an impeachment effort would face a GOP buzzsaw even if it got through the House.

“We should be focused on making sure this never, ever happens again. We need a functional background investigation process from the FBI,” said Sen. Chris MurphyChristopher (Chris) Scott MurphyKavanaugh impeachment push hits Capitol buzz saw Democrats seize Senate floor to protest gun inaction: 'Put up or shut up' Senate Democrats to hold the floor to protest inaction on gun violence MORE (D-Conn. “I think it’s highly unlikely you’re going to get an impeachment vote through the United States Senate, so our best remedy may just be trying to make sure this doesn’t happen again.”   

Sen. Sheldon WhitehouseSheldon WhitehouseKavanaugh impeachment push hits Capitol buzz saw Senate GOP pledges to oppose any efforts to 'pack' Supreme Court Senate Democrats push Trump to permanently shutter migrant detention facility MORE (D-R.I.), a member of the Senate Judiciary Committee, echoed Murphy and argued that those pushing for impeachment are over their skis. 

“We seem to have a habit of wanting to get to the verdict before we’ve gathered the evidence. I don’t, as a former prosecutor, approve of that habit,” Whitehouse said (The Hill).

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IN FOCUS/SHARP TAKES

POLITICS: Most Senate Democrats are staying neutral in the race for the  Democratic presidential nod. However, there's a growing sense in the caucus that life would be easier if former Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenJimmy Carter: 'I hope there's an age limit' on presidency 2020 candidates keep fitness on track while on the trail Mark Mellman: The most important moment in history? MORE takes home the party’s nomination instead of his closest competitors and two of their colleagues, Sens. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth Ann WarrenKavanaugh impeachment push hits Capitol buzz saw Mark Mellman: The most important moment in history? Katie Pavlich: The Democrats' desperate do-overs MORE (D-Mass.) and Bernie SandersBernie SandersJimmy Carter: 'I hope there's an age limit' on presidency 2020 candidates keep fitness on track while on the trail Mark Mellman: The most important moment in history? MORE (I-Vt.).  

According to a report by Alexander Bolton, Democrats acknowledge that if the nomination goes to Warren or Sanders — both of whom are far to the left of most Senate Democrats — it will create immediate tensions within the party. 

Many don’t want to take sides in a battle that is pitting colleagues against one another, and senators obviously don’t want to create bad blood with any contenders — who will either return to the Senate or end up at 1600 Pennsylvania Ave.  Yet a number of Democrats privately acknowledge that if Warren or Sanders wins the nomination, it will create immediate tension within the party as their best-known proposals, such as Medicare for All and free college education, have scant support within their caucus. 

“The senators have a great confidence in their own ability with a friendly White House to say, ‘We like a lot of that, but we don’t like all of it,’” one Democratic senator said. “We’re not going to just do what they ask because they ask.”

Senate Democrats also acknowledge that it will be easier to win Senate races in conservative-leaning states such as Alabama, North Carolina, Iowa and Georgia if Biden is on top of the Democratic ticket rather than Warren or Sanders against Trump next year.

The Associated Press: Warren nabs 2020 backing of Iowa’s state treasurer.

The Washington Post: Biden, Sanders take fight over health care to union workers.

Politico: Trump hopes to seize a core Democratic voting bloc: Organized labor.

> Voter suppression: During a speech at George Washington University on Tuesday, Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonGOP struggles with retirement wave Overnight Energy: Trump to revoke California's tailpipe waiver | Democrats propose bill to revoke Trump endangered species rollback | Trump officials finalize rule allowing fewer inspectors at pork plants Mark Mellman: The most important moment in history? MORE argued that the United States faces a “crisis in democracy” as a result of voter suppression aimed at keeping women and people of color from the polls. 

In her address, Clinton accused the GOP of rolling back voter protections and employing tactics aimed at keeping racial minorities from casting ballots. The former secretary of State said that she has been counseling Democratic White House hopefuls specifically to warn them about voter suppression, hacking, fake news stories and a lack of election security in 2016, all of which she believes played a role in her election loss to the president, adding that failing to address those issues could lead to defeat for the party once again next year.  

“This is one of those moments we stand at a crossroads of our own a crisis in democracy,” Clinton said. “Racists and white supremacist views are lifted up in the media and the White House. Hard fought for civil rights are stripped back. Rule of law is being undermined, our norms and institutions ... are under assault, and that includes the single most important fight of our times … the fight to protect the right to vote” (The Hill).

The Wall Street Journal Editorial Board: Don’t cancel the GOP primaries.

> Presidential age: Former President Jimmy CarterJimmy CarterJimmy Carter: 'I hope there's an age limit' on presidency Juan Williams: Why does Trump fear GOP voters? Booker dismisses early surveys: 'If you're polling ahead right now, you should worry' MORE, who turns 95 in a few weeks, says he couldn’t have managed the presidency at age 80. Carter didn’t tie his comments to any of his fellow Democrats running for president, but two leading 2020 candidates, Biden and Sanders, would turn 80 during their terms if elected. 

“I hope there’s an age limit,” Carter reportedly said with a laugh while answering questions during his annual report on Tuesday at the Carter Center in Atlanta. “If I were just 80 years old, if I was 15 years younger, I don’t believe I could undertake the duties I experienced when I was president” (The Associated Press).

Politico: Mayor Pete vs. Beto: The battle is back on.

The Morning Report is created by journalists Alexis Simendinger and Al Weaver. We want to hear from you! Email: asimendinger@thehill.com and aweaver@thehill.com. We invite you to share The Hill’s reporting and newsletters, and encourage others to SUBSCRIBE!

OPINION

The Fed’s confusions, by Douglas Carr, opinion contributor, The Hill. https://bit.ly/2m0FljS

Iran’s drone attacks are a threat to Trump, by Dov S. Zakheim, opinion contributor, The Hill. https://bit.ly/2khSvsm

WHERE AND WHEN

Hill.TV’s “Rising” at 9 a.m. ET features an interview with presidential candidate Rep. Tulsi GabbardTulsi Gabbard2020 candidates keep fitness on track while on the trail Biden leads in new national poll, Warren close behind in second place Gabbard drives coverage in push to qualify for October debate MORE (D-Hawaii); economics professor Richard Wolff, who argues the organized labor movement is on the rise; actresses Laura and Vanessa Marano, on their advocacy before Congress to protect girls from sexual exploitation; and Jeff Lyash, president and CEO of the Tennessee Valley Authority, on the future for the nation’s largest public utility, which he represents. Find Hill.TV programming at http://thehill.com/hilltv or on YouTube at 10 a.m.

The House meets at 10 a.m. The House Judiciary Committee meets at 10 a.m. for an oversight hearing about the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act.

The Senate convenes at 10 a.m. The Senate Commerce, Science and Transportation Committee holds a hearing at 10 a.m. about “mass violence, extremism and digital responsibility” to learn how tech companies are working with law enforcement on removal of violent content online. 

The president, who is in Los Angeles, speaks this morning to a joint 2020 fundraising committee breakfast there, followed by a joint fundraising committee lunch and roundtable with donors in San Diego. The president will visit a section of wall at the U.S. southern border in Otay Mesa, Calif., at 5:30 p.m. ET. Trump will return to Washington from San Diego, departing the West Coast around 7:30 p.m. ET. 

Pence meets with Moldovan Prime Minister Maia Sandu at 2 p.m. in the Roosevelt Room. 

Pompeo arrives in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, today to meet with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman to discuss “efforts to counter Iranian aggression in the region.” The secretary will then travel to Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, through Sept. 19 to meet with Prince Mohammed bin Zayed to discuss “regional and bilateral issues.”

The Federal Reserve ends a two-day policy meeting with a statement and a news conference at 2:30 p.m. with Chairman Jerome Powell.

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ELSEWHERE

Journalism: Renowned and admired Washington journalist Cokie Roberts, a veteran of NPR and ABC News and a longtime contributor to PBS's “The MacNeil/Lehrer NewsHour,” died at age 75 on Tuesday after complications from breast cancer, her family said in a statement. Roberts, considered a pioneer among female journalists who joined NPR in 1978, became a bestselling author and Emmy Award winner, known for her distinctive coverage of politics and Congress. She was a member of a well-known political family. Her father, the late Rep. Thomas Hale Boggs Sr., a former Democratic House majority leader from Louisiana who was a member of the Warren Commission, disappeared in a plane over Alaska in 1972. Her mother, Lindy Boggs, served in the House for 17 years and later became U.S. ambassador to the Vatican. Roberts married veteran journalist Steven Roberts in 1966 (NPR).

Banking: The federal Consumer Financial Protection Board has requested information from Bank of America regarding possible unauthorized consumer bank, credit card and other account openings going back to March 2014. The action is the latest inquiry by federal banking regulators into industry practices in the wake of a Wells Fargo scandal involving more than 3.5 million unauthorized consumer accounts opened by bank staff (Bloomberg Law). 

Who turns down a raise?   University of Virginia basketball coach Tony Bennett declined a hike in his compensation while extending his contract for another year, the university announced this week. Coming off a 2019 national title win, Bennett asked that the money be used to pay his staff more and for improvements to his program as well as other Virginia teams (NBC News).

THE CLOSER

And finally … Baseball reached a new milestone a week ago, for better or worse, when Baltimore Orioles infielder Jonathan Villar rounded the bases, marking the 6,106th home run of 2019, breaking a record set two years ago

While a lot has been made of the ball Major League Baseball has used in 2019, FiveThirtyEight delves deep into what else is behind the home run surge: backspin. As Travis Sawchik writes:

“Backspin often works in favor of the hitter, as it creates a Magnus effect, which pushes up on the baseball to create lift. But there can also be too much of a rise effect. When studying golf balls, researchers have found that when too much spin is added at certain launch angles, there is a “ballooning” effect. For baseball hitters, that means that excessive spin might lead to batted balls traveling higher, but not farther.”  

“Alan Nathan, physics professor emeritus at the University of Illinois and MLB consultant, says there are optimum spin levels in baseball for batters. “Not only does the lift increase with the spin, but it’s really only been in the last few years that we’ve realized that the air drag also increases with the spin,” Nathan told FiveThirtyEight. “So that slows the ball down.”

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https://thehill.com/homenews/morning-report/461883-the-hills-morning-report

2019-09-18 10:34:02Z
52780382632806

How China Unleashed Twitter Trolls to Discredit Hong Kong's Protesters - The New York Times

For fans of pro tennis, European soccer and British tabloids, the mysterious Twitter account had a lot to offer.

Beginning last year, it retweeted news, most of it in English, about Roger Federer and the Premier League, and it sharedjuicy clickbait on Zsa Zsa, an English bulldog that won the 2018 World’s Ugliest Dog contest.

Tweets from

@HKpoliticalnew

@HKpoliticalnew

Now Andy Murray’s out of Wimbledon, cheer on these young British hopefuls https://t.co/ct2kgTuEgU

@HKpoliticalnew

Hong Kong independence is a dead end. But there are always people who are vying to go into the fire pit. Pathetic!

Dots are sized by

number of retweets.

@HKpoliticalnew

The United States is funding ‘Hong Kong independence’ and brainwashing deadbeat kids #spieseverywhere #colorrevolution #hongkong

Tweets from

@HKpoliticalnew

@HKpoliticalnew

Now Andy Murray’s out of Wimbledon, cheer on these young British hopefuls https://t.co/ct2kgTuEgU

@HKpoliticalnew

Hong Kong independence is a dead end. But there are always people who are vying to go into the fire pit. Pathetic!

Dots are sized by

number of retweets.

@HKpoliticalnew

The United States is funding ‘Hong Kong independence’ and brainwashing deadbeat kids #spieseverywhere #colorrevolution #hongkong

@HKpoliticalnew

Now Andy Murray’s out of Wimbledon, cheer on these young British hopefuls https://t.co/ct2kgTuEgU

Tweets from

@HKpoliticalnew

@HKpoliticalnew

Hong Kong independence is a dead end. But there are always people who are vying to go into the fire pit. Pathetic!

Dots are sized by

number of retweets.

@HKpoliticalnew

The United States is funding ‘Hong Kong independence’ and brainwashing deadbeat kids #spieseverywhere #colorrevolution #hongkong

Tweets from

@HKpoliticalnew

@HKpoliticalnew

Now Andy Murray’s out of Wimbledon, cheer on these young British hopefuls https://t.co/ct2kgTuEgU

Dots are sized by

number of retweets.

@HKpoliticalnew

Hong Kong independence is a dead end. But there are always people who are vying to go into the fire pit. Pathetic!

@HKpoliticalnew

The United States is funding ‘Hong Kong independence’ and brainwashing deadbeat kids #spieseverywhere #colorrevolution #hongkong

Tweets from

@HKpoliticalnew

@HKpoliticalnew

Now Andy Murray’s out of Wimbledon, cheer on these young British hopefuls https://t.co/ct2kgTuEgU

Dots are sized by

number of retweets.

@HKpoliticalnew

Hong Kong independence is a dead end. But there are always people who are vying to go into the fire pit. Pathetic!

@HKpoliticalnew

The United States is funding ‘Hong Kong independence’ and brainwashing deadbeat kids #spieseverywhere #colorrevolution #hongkong

Then, suddenly, the account began posting, in Chinese, about a different obsession: politics in Hong Kong and mainland China.

By this summer, it had become a foot soldier in a covert campaign to shape people’s views about one of the world’s biggest political crises.

The account, @HKpoliticalnew, and more than 200,000 other Twitter accounts were part of a sprawling Russian-style disinformation offensive from China, Twitter now says, the first time an American technology giant has attributed such a campaign to the Chinese government.

China has long deployed propaganda and censorship to subject its citizens to government-approved narratives. As the nation’s place in the world grows, Beijing has increasingly turned to internet platforms that it blocks within the country — including Twitter and Facebook — to advance its agenda across the rest of the planet.

It has done so in part by setting up accounts on the platforms for its state-run news outlets, such as China Daily, to make a public case for its views. But that is quite different from using fake accounts to manipulate opinions surreptitiously or simply to sow confusion.

“The end goal is to control the conversation,” said Matt Schrader, a China analyst with the Alliance for Securing Democracy at the German Marshall Fund in Washington.

Twitter last month took down nearly 1,000 accounts that it said were part of a state-directed effort to undermine the antigovernment protests in Hong Kong. It also suspended 200,000 other accounts that it said were connected to the Chinese operation but not yet very active. Facebook andYouTube quickly followed suit. All three platforms are blocked in mainland China but not in Hong Kong.

The 3.6 million tweets that the accounts sent represented a campaign that was less sophisticated and more hastily assembled than the one Russia carried out during the 2016 United States presidential election, researchers at the Australian Strategic Policy Institute said in a report published this month.

Instead of taking the time to cultivate plausible yet fake online personalities, the campaign’s operators appear to have simply bought accounts in theshadowy global marketplace for social media influence, where followers and retweets can be had for cheap.

The accounts posted in Indonesian, Arabic, Portuguese and other languages. They promoted hookup services, posted about Korean boy bands and retweeted messages about pop-punk music.

How the languages of the tweets shifted

The accounts tweeted in more than 55

languages aside from English and Chinese.

Then a wave of English tweets kicked in.

But in mid-2017, many of the accounts started

spreading propaganda in Chinese.

The accounts tweeted in more

than 55 languages aside from

English and Chinese.

Then a wave of English tweets

kicked in.

But in mid-2017, many of the

accounts started spreading

propaganda in Chinese.

The accounts tweeted in more

than 55 languages aside from

English and Chinese.

Then a wave of

English tweets

kicked in.

But in mid-2017, many

of the accounts started

spreading propaganda

in Chinese.

The accounts tweeted in more

than 55 languages aside from

English and Chinese.

Then a wave of

English tweets

kicked in.

But in mid-2017, many

of the accounts started

spreading propaganda

in Chinese.

“As a Hong Kong person who loves Hong Kong, I really miss the Hong Kong of before, which was developed and ruled by law,” @derrickmcnabbx wrote in Chinese on June 15. The account’s location was described as “Georgia, USA.” Before this year, nearly all of its tweets were links to pornography.

The “blunt-force” approach, the authors of the Australian report wrote, suggested that the operation was likely to have been a “rapid response to the unanticipated size and power of the Hong Kong protests rather than a campaign planned well in advance.”

A spokesman for China’s foreign ministry said he had no knowledge of the matter when asked last month whether the government was behind the accounts that Twitter and Facebook took down.

In its announcement, Twitter said little about how it determined that the accounts it removed were state directed. The company said it routinely monitored for such campaigns but declined to comment further.

The Chinese government blocks Twitter’s service in mainland China, and yet some of the accounts were operatedfrom unblocked Chinese internet addresses, the company said. Some of the activity was traced to addresses in Beijing, according to a person familiar with Twitter’s investigation who feared retaliation from the government and requested anonymity.

There are already some signs that Twitter has not halted the Chinese campaign entirely. Nick Monaco of Institute for the Future, a think tank in Palo Alto, Calif., identified 17 accounts that had strong similarities to those that Twitter took down but which remained active.

Some of the accounts tweeted messages that matched, word for word, ones that Twitter had deleted. They used the same third-party software as many of the accounts Twitter had removed to post messages with similar themes, in what seemed to be a coordinated manner.

After The New York Times presented Mr. Monaco’s findings to Twitter last week, the company shut the accounts down but declined to say conclusively whether they had been part of the same state-backed network.

Many of the accounts originally identified by Twitter had spread pro-government messages during other public-relations crises for Beijing. Large numbers of such messages began appearing in 2017, after the exiled businessman Guo Wengui began accusing senior Chinese leaders of graft, which raises the question of why Twitter did not remove the accounts sooner.

The closed accounts also targeted Chinese dissidents

Before the accounts focused on the Hong Kong protests, they smeared critics of the Chinese government, according to analyses by The Times and the Australian Strategic Policy Institute.

Tweets about the Hong Kong protests and the extradition bill exploded after June 9, the day of the first big demonstration.

Yang Jianli, an outspoken critic of the Chinese government, was accused of being a fraud.

The favorite target was Guo Wengui, a businessman who accused top Chinese officials of corruption. The accounts attacked him continuously for more than two years.

Gui Minhai, a Hong Kong bookseller who disappeared then resurfaced in police custody in China, was also targeted.

@Sawyer19Carole

So Yang Jianli spreads rumors everywhere, disguising himself as a victim, when in fact he is the one who wants to persecute others.

@ksiushalapina73

Gui Minhai was taken off a train by Chinese police on Jan. 20, various foreign media outlets made a big fuss about it. Chinese law does not tolerate such criticism from the foreign media

@valentinax5w1sw

Guo Wengui, as a wanted criminal, you have evaded taxes in China, forcibly taken your female employees as mistresses, used recordings to threaten business partners, wooed and corrupted government officials.

Tweets about the Hong Kong protests and the extradition bill exploded after June 9, the day of the first big demonstration.

The favorite target was Guo Wengui, a businessman who accused top Chinese officials of corruption. The accounts attacked him continuously for more than two years.

Yang Jianli, an outspoken critic of the Chinese government, was accused of being a fraud.

Gui Minhai, a Hong Kong bookseller who disappeared then resurfaced in police custody in China, was also targeted.

@ksiushalapina73

Gui Minhai was taken off a train by Chinese police on Jan. 20, various foreign media outlets made a big fuss about it. Chinese law does not tolerate such criticism from the foreign media

@valentinax5w1sw

Guo Wengui, as a wanted criminal, you have evaded taxes in China, forcibly taken your female employees as mistresses, used recordings to threaten business partners, wooed and corrupted government officials.

@Sawyer19Carole

So Yang Jianli spreads rumors everywhere, disguising himself as a victim, when in fact he is the one who wants to persecute others.

Yang Jianli, an outspoken critic of the Chinese government, was accused of being a fraud.

@Sawyer19Carole

So Yang Jianli spreads rumors everywhere, disguising himself as a victim, when in fact he is the one who wants to persecute others.

Gui Minhai, a Hong Kong bookseller who disappeared then resurfaced in police custody in China, was also targeted.

@ksiushalapina73

Gui Minhai was taken off a train by Chinese police on Jan. 20, various foreign media outlets made a big fuss about it. Chinese law does not tolerate such criticism from the foreign media

The favorite target was Guo Wengui, a businessman who accused top Chinese officials of corruption. The accounts attacked him continuously for more than two years.

@valentinax5w1sw

Guo Wengui, as a wanted criminal, you have evaded taxes in China, forcibly taken your female employees as mistresses, used recordings to threaten business partners, wooed and corrupted government officials.

Tweets about the Hong Kong protests and the extradition bill exploded after June 9, the day of the first big demonstration.

Yang Jianli, an outspoken critic of the Chinese government, was accused of being a fraud.

@Sawyer19Carole

So Yang Jianli spreads rumors everywhere, disguising himself as a victim, when in fact he is the one who wants to persecute others.

Gui Minhai, a Hong Kong bookseller who disappeared then resurfaced in police custody in China, was also targeted.

@ksiushalapina73

Gui Minhai was taken off a train by Chinese police on Jan. 20, various foreign media outlets made a big fuss about it. Chinese law does not tolerate such criticism from the foreign media

The favorite target was Guo Wengui, a businessman who accused top Chinese officials of corruption. The accounts attacked him continuously for more than two years.

@valentinax5w1sw

Guo Wengui, as a wanted criminal, you have evaded taxes in China, forcibly taken your female employees as mistresses, used recordings to threaten business partners, wooed and corrupted government officials.

Tweets about the Hong Kong protests and the extradition bill exploded after June 9, the day of the first big demonstration.

The favorite target was Guo Wengui, a real estate developer who fled to the United States and accused top Chinese officials of corruption.

Yang Jianli, an outspoken critic of the Chinese government, was accused of being a fraud.

Gui Minhai, a Hong Kong bookseller who disappeared then resurfaced in police custody in China, was also targeted.

The campaign targeting Guo Wengui extended into 2018 and 2019, before the focus shifted to Hong Kong.

Early tweets related to the ongoing Hong Kong crisis appeared in February, when the government proposed the extradition bill.

Tweets about the Hong Kong protests and the extradition bill exploded after June 9, the day of the first big demonstration.

During some of their tweet campaigns, the accounts posted primarily during the workweek, a sign that the accounts were run by employees working on the clock. For months, one account posted messages smearing Mr. Guo at 12 and 42 minutes past the hour, suggesting that the activity was automated.

Some of the accounts appear to have been started by genuine users but were later hijacked.

The first four years of posts on one account, @emiliya_naum, read like those of an ordinary American teenager.

She tweeted longingly at @justinbieber and said she twerked in her room to celebrate Barack Obama’s 2012 election victory. She cataloged her moods and mused about her crushes.

“The guy I like and my best friend hate each other … #ThisIsntGood,” she wrote in 2012.

Then, like many Twitter users, she let her account fall silent — until this summer, when she re-emerged as a cheerleader for Hong Kong law enforcement.

“Hong Kong police, way to go, we support you!” she tweeted, in Chinese. “We understand your hardships!”

It could not be determined whether @emiliya_naum was originally operated by a real person. No accounts with that name were found on Facebook, Instagram or other major social platforms.

By and large, the accounts that Twitter took down struggled to go viral with their pro-Beijing messages. Many of their most retweeted posts were links to pornography and animal videos.

Elise Thomas, one of the authors of the Australian report, said that the low level of professionalism suggested that the campaign was not the work of the People’s Liberation Army or the Ministry of State Security, which have previously been linked to Chinese cyberespionage and information campaigns.

“I would be surprised if the P.L.A. was responsible because I would expect they would be more competent than this,” Ms. Thomas said.

Russia’s social media efforts ahead of the 2016 presidential election were cannier about finding and influencing audiences in the United States. The Internet Research Agency, a St. Petersburgcompany with Kremlin ties, tailored its trolling operations to sow maximum discord.

Titus C. Chen, a professor who studies Chinese social media at the National Sun Yat-sen University in Taiwan, said he believed that China had created its own analogues to the Internet Research Agency, though they operated far less openly.

Turning spam bots into propaganda mouthpieces would represent a natural evolution of techniques that Beijing has long used at home.

For years, China has used armies of pseudonymous keyboard warriors to flood domestic social platforms and news sites with pro-government comments.

In 2013, the head of China’s propaganda department said that in Beijing alone, there were more than 2 million people working to “strengthen guidance of online opinion,” including by posting comments on Weibo, China’s Twitter-like social media platform.

Samm Sacks, a China expert at New America, a Washington-based think tank, said the clumsiness of the Twitter operations showed that China was still “out of its depth in trying to shape the international narrative.”

“What works inside China doesn’t work internationally,” she said. “I think China is probably working through that now.”

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https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/09/18/world/asia/hk-twitter.html

2019-09-18 09:02:00Z
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Saudi Arabia promises 'material evidence' linking Iran to oil attack - Reuters

JEDDAH/NEW YORK (Reuters) - Saudi Arabia said it would show evidence on Wednesday linking regional rival Tehran to an unprecedented attack on its oil industry that Washington believes originated from Iran in a dangerous escalation of Middle East frictions.

FILE PHOTO: Smoke is seen following a fire at Aramco facility in the eastern city of Abqaiq, Saudi Arabia, September 14, 2019. REUTERS/Stringer/File Photo/File Photo

Tehran has denied involvement in the Sept. 14 attacks on oil plants, including the world’s biggest crude processing facility, that initially knocked out half of Saudi Arabia’s production.

“We don’t want conflict in the region ... Who started the conflict?” Iran’s President Hassan Rouhani said on Wednesday, blaming Washington and Riyadh for war in Yemen.

Yemen’s Houthi group, an ally of Iran, has claimed responsibility and said they used drones to assault state oil company Aramco’s sites.

Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and other U.S. officials were headed to Saudi Arabia. United Nations experts monitoring sanctions on Iran and Yemen also left for the kingdom, Saudi’s U.N. envoy told Reuters.

Concrete evidence showing Iranian responsibility, if made public, could pressure Riyadh and Washington into a response, though U.S. President Donald Trump said he does not want war.

The Saudi Defense Ministry said it will hold a news conference on Wednesday at 1430 GMT to present “material evidence and Iranian weapons proving the Iranian regime’s involvement in the terrorist attack”. Riyadh has already said preliminary results showed the attack did not come from Yemen.

A U.S. official told Reuters the strikes originated in southwestern Iran. Three officials said they involved cruise missiles and drones, indicating a higher degree of complexity and sophistication than initially thought.

The officials did not provide evidence or explain what U.S. intelligence they were using for the evaluations.

Some U.S. allies, as well as those of Iran, have asked for proof behind accusations Tehran was responsible for the attack that cut 5% of global production. Saudi Arabia, the world’s top oil exporter, said on Tuesday the 5.7 million barrels per day of output would be fully restored by the end of the month.

Oil prices fell after the Saudi reassurances, having surged more than 20% at one point on Monday - the biggest intra-day jump since the 1990-91 Gulf War. [O/R]

Illustrating international caution on such an inflammatory issue, Japan’s new defense chief said Tokyo has not seen any intelligence that shows Iran was involved.

“COMPELLING” EVIDENCE

A senior U.S. official called for a U.N. Security Council response to the attacks, although success is unlikely because diplomats say Russia and China - who have veto powers - are likely to shield Iran.

One of the three U.S. officials voiced confidence the Saudi probe would yield “compelling forensic evidence” determining the origins of the attack that has exposed serious gaps in Saudi air defenses despite billions of dollars spent on Western military hardware.

Saudi U.N. Ambassador Abdallah Al-Mouallimi told Reuters the experts monitoring sanctions on Iran and Yemen were heading to Saudi Arabia along with those from a separate independent panel who also report to the Security Council.

France is also to send experts in response to a request from Saudi Arabia’s crown prince.

The situation could harm French diplomacy meant to avert a feared U.S.-Iranian conflict, diplomats told Reuters after Macron’s top envoy held talks in Saudi Arabia.

Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei ruled out talks with the United States unless it returns to the nuclear accord between Iran and the West that Washington quit last year.

Trump said on Monday there was “no rush” to retaliate and Washington was coordinating with Gulf Arab and European states.

Already frayed U.S.-Iran ties deteriorated further when Trump quit the nuclear pact and reimposed sanctions, severely hurting the Iranian economy.

Washington and its Gulf Arab allies also want Iran to stop supporting regional proxies, including the Houthis who have been battling a Saudi-led military coalition in Yemen for four years.

Despite years of air strikes against them, the Houthi movement boasts drones and missiles able to reach deep into Saudi Arabia, the result of an arms race since the Western-backed, Sunni Muslim coalition intervened in Yemen against the group in March 2015.

Iran’s clerical rulers support the Houthis, but Tehran denies it actively supports them with military and financial support. In Wednesday’s video carried by Iran’s media, Rouhani said the oil attack was a “warning” by Yemenis.

(This story was corrected to change Tehran to Riyadh in paragraph 3, and fix a typo in paragraph 6)

Reporting by Stephen Kalin and Michelle Nichols; Additional reporting by Rania El Gamal in Riyadh, Phil Stewart and Steve Holland in Washington, Alaa Swilam in Cairo, Tim Kelly in Tokyo, John Irish in Paris; Editing by Andrew Cawthorne

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https://www.reuters.com/article/us-saudi-aramco/saudi-arabia-promises-material-evidence-linking-iran-to-oil-attack-idUSKBN1W30TS

2019-09-18 07:53:00Z
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