Sabtu, 19 Oktober 2019

People's Vote march: Tens of thousands in 'final say' Brexit protest - BBC News

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Tens of thousands of people are marching through central London to call for a "final say" vote on Boris Johnson's new Brexit deal.

Organisers of the "People's Vote" campaign say they want to check that the UK is happy to leave the EU under the terms negotiated by the PM.

Protesters will head to Westminster as MPs debate the new deal in the Commons.

The march, which began at midday, started on Park Lane and will end in Parliament Square.

Ali Lothian, 60, and Mettje Hunneman, 49, travelled from Dundee and Edinburgh respectively overnight to join the protest.Ali told the BBC she felt it was the last chance to show how strongly she felt about having another vote.

She said: "It's a big commitment - it's a whole weekend. But I regretted not coming last time. This time it was a no-brainer."

Mettje said the fact Parliament is sitting as well made it "a momentous day". "I would not feel comfortable sitting at home - I've got pals who have got a gig tonight but I just couldn't be there."

Millie Bishop-Morris, 17, made the journey from Plymouth with her mum and boyfriend.

"I think it's important that young people should be angry about this as well," she said.

"I just think Brexit has gone completely the wrong way. I want to be optimistic but I'm preparing myself for the worst."

One group of protesters were seen pulling a float depicting top aide Dominic Cummings using Mr Johnson as a puppet.

With "Demonic Cummings" splashed across its forehead, the figure on the float appears to be wearing a Nazi uniform, including an armband which reads Get Brexit Done, and has a Union Jack moustache.

At the scene

By Katie Wright, BBC News

It was deja vu for many people as they descended on the streets of central London once again to demand a final say on Brexit.

Six months on from the last big rally, there was bright sunshine and blue skies to greet the protesters - which included many returning faces, as well as those marching for the first time.

In March a carnival vibe accompanied the slow walk from Park Lane to Parliament Square, but university student Ben Stocks said the atmosphere this time was "more sombre".

Another member of the crowd, Simon Gosden, 63, agreed, saying: "There's more of an air of tension. We know we're getting down to the nitty gritty - it's all or nothing."

As of Saturday morning, more than £500,000 had been donated to support the protest, with cross-party politicians calling on people to get involved.

'Honour democratic values'

People's Vote organisers are also asking people to sign a letter to Boris Johnson, EU leaders, MPs, and MEPs, asking them to allow "the chance to check whether we want to proceed with Brexit".

In an email to supporters this morning, Shadow Brexit secretary Sir Keir Starmer said the letter "asks them to honour our shared democratic values, it asks them not to turn away from us now and deny us the chance for a final say.

"Add your name to the letter now and send a message to the powerful."

Meanwhile, Brexit supporters are due to take to the streets in Manchester on Saturday.

The "march for democracy"' will take place near Manchester Cathedral, organised by Leavers of Greater Manchester.


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https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-50108531

2019-10-19 11:24:15Z
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Turkish and Kurdish forces clash despite ceasefire - CBS This Morning

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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=chxFwSNHxL0

2019-10-19 12:30:50Z
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Jo Swinson says Brexit deal will damage British economy and calls for people's vote - Guardian News

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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0OE-L5VUGXc

2019-10-19 11:22:51Z
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Media alarmed by U.S. pullout from Syria — which didn't actually happen - Salon

President Trump’s modification of U.S. policy on Syria has generated a torrent of confusion, so it’s worth reviewing the record.

White House press secretary Stephanie Grisham announced on Oct. 6:

Turkey will soon be moving forward with its long-planned operation into Northern Syria . The United States Armed Forces will not support or be involved in the operation, and United States forces, having defeated the ISIS territorial “Caliphate,” will no longer be in the immediate area.

The statement is notable both because it declines to oppose the Turkish invasion — aimed at the Kurdish-led, U.S.-allied Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) — and because it suggests that the U.S. will stay in Syria, but will move its forces from the “immediate area” that Turkey is attacking; nothing in these remarks can be read as saying that the U.S. would be withdrawing from Syria.

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NYT: US to Step Aside for Turkish Assault on Kurds in Syria

The initial report from AP (10/6/19) described US troops not “pulling out” but “step[ping] aside.”

An anonymous senior U.S. official quoted by the Associated Press (New York Times, 10/6/19) said that the U.S. will “pull back [its troops] from the immediate area” in northern Syria that Turkey is assaulting. The official, however, went on to say that the Turkish onslaught “is expected to trigger a large combat response from the SDF, and U.S. troops will almost certainly withdraw completely from Syria.”

Trump tweeted that of the 1,000 troops the U.S. admits to having in Syria, “we only had 50 soldiers remaining in that section of Syria, and they have been removed.” But he has also framed this development as part of a longer-term process of getting out of wars in Syria and elsewhere, tweeting, for example, that “we are slowly & carefully bringing our great soldiers & military home.”

Meanwhile, the Pentagon statement on Syria said nothing to suggest the U.S. would be withdrawing from the country.

To summarize, an anonymous official speculated that the U.S. might eventually leave Syria, while Trump tweeted that the U.S. was merely shifting “50 soldiers remaining in that section of Syria,” at the same time indicating that he eventually wants to bring the troops home and leave Syria alone, without offering anything close to a concrete plan or timeline. Neither of the two official U.S. government statements — the one from Grisham or the one from the Pentagon — can possibly be taken to mean that the U.S. is taking its hands off Syria, and there is simply no evidence that that’s what’s happening.

Yet you wouldn’t know it from media coverage of these developments. Just like last December, when Trump suggested he might soon withdraw from Syria, and when Trump floated the same possibility in March 2018, news outlets consistently and baselessly reported on the issue both as though the U.S. had announced plans to leave Syria, and as though the U.S. has a right and possibly a duty to permanently occupy Syria.

NYT: Pulling of U.S. Troops in Syria Could Aid Assad and ISIS

A New York Times headline (10/7/19) described the redeployment of troops within Syria as the “Pulling of US Troops”—helping to spread the misimpression that troops were being pulled out.

The New York Times(10/7/19) ran an article with the headline “Pulling of U.S. Troops in Syria Could Aid Assad and ISIS.” It would be natural to assume that this meant that U.S. troops were being pulled out of Syria, even though that’s not what was occurring.

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A report in The Hill (10/7/19) was headlined “Trump Knocks ‘Ridiculous Endless Wars’ Amid U.S. Troop Pullout From Syria,” which suffered from one minor shortcoming, namely that no “U.S. troop pullout from Syria” is taking place.

An Associated Press story (10/7/19) was headlined “U.S. Troops Begin Pulling Out of Syria, Leaving Kurds Without Support.” As noted, there was no evidence that the U.S. was actually “pulling out of Syria.”

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USA Today (10/7/19) warned its readers about “’A Reckless Gamble’: Four Reasons Critics Decry Trump’s ‘Impulsive’ Syria Withdrawal.” But those critics can rest easy, since Trump hasn’t withdrawn from Syria.

NBC News (10/8/19) had a segment called “How Allies Are Responding to U.S. Troops Pulling Out of Syria,” but a day earlier, a senior Trump administration official told reporters that the government’s “announcement did not constitute a full U.S. withdrawal from Syria, and that only 50 to 100 U.S. special operations forces were moving to other locations in Syria.” “Moving to other locations in Syria,” clearly, is not the same thing as “pulling out of Syria.”

Still, a Business Insider headline (10/8/19) offered, “Here Are the 5 Major Players That Will Feel the Impact From Trump’s Decision to Withdraw Troops From Syria.”

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It’s going to be difficult for Americans to develop an informed opinion about their government’s continuing occupation of Syria, one which lacks a basis in international law, when U.S. media keep wrongly suggesting that the U.S. is exiting the country.

MSF: Northeast Syria: Turkish military operation results in displacement and hospital closure

Doctors Without Borders (10/11/19) describes the human cost of the Turkish invasion.

Much of the coverage professes concern for people living in the parts of northern Syria that Turkey is attacking. These worries are well-founded. In the first days of this invasion, Turkish airstrikes and artillery fire hit several villages and towns, already killing dozens and sending thousands fleeing from their homes. In the border town Tal Abyad, shelling has forced the vast majority of people to leave, while Doctors Without Borders

is concerned that the many thousands of women and children living in camps such as Al Hol and Ain Issa are also now particularly vulnerable, as humanitarian organisations have been forced to suspend or limit their operations.

The United States is directly implicated in this, beyond even Trump’s initial greenlighting of the assault. Turkey is a member of NATO, an alliance in which the U.S. is the most powerful member, and NATO declined to suggest that Turkey not invade its neighbor, or even offer explicit criticism of this illegal aggression, with Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg offering remarks that served to legitimize the “security” pretext that Turkey is offering as a justification for the attack.

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Stoltenberg said on a visit to Turkey on Oct. 11, “While Turkey has legitimate security concerns, I expect Turkey to act with restraint.” He went on to describe “serious concerns about the risk of further destabilising the region, escalating tensions and even more human suffering.”

Moreover, two U.S. military officials told the New York Times (10/11/19):

As Turkish military officials planned the assault, they received American surveillance video and information from reconnaissance aircraft. The information may have helped them track Kurdish positions. Because of an American counterterrorism partnership with Turkey, Turkish aircraft were given access to a suite of American battlefield intelligence in northeast Syria. Turkey was removed from the intelligence-sharing program only on Monday, a Defense Department official said.

One official said that United States warplanes and surveillance aircraft remained in the area to defend the remaining American ground forces in northeast Syria, but said they would not contest Turkish warplanes attacking Kurdish positions.

In 2017, the most recent year for which the numbers have been fully reported, Washington gave Turkey $154 million in aid, the fourth-highest amount of U.S. aid sent to any country in Europe and Asia. From 2011–18, the U.S. sold $3.7 billion worth of weapons to Turkey. Though the U.S. has no right to occupy Syria, it needn’t do so to stop the Turkish attack: If the U.S. said its support and collaboration were at stake, it’s a virtual certainty that Turkey wouldn’t be attacking northern Syria; Turkey wanted to carry out this invasion for months, and didn’t do it until the U.S. gave its blessing.

Calling for the U.S. to get out of Syria and for an end to the Turkish attack is a consistent position: When Turkey attacked largely Kurdish Afrin in Syria in early 2018, plundering the area and driving out 220,000 civilians, the U.S. had forces in Syria, as it does during the present onslaught. The demand that the U.S. keep its forces in Syria to prevent Turkish violence against Kurdish and other Syrian people ignores the fact that U.S. forces in Syria are not an obstacle to Turkish violence.

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In fact, U.S. intervention is a central reason for this bloodshed, and much more, in the Middle East. Aiding Turkey in its invasion is the Syrian National Army (SNA), a rebrand of the Free Syrian Army (FSA), an umbrella group that the U.S. spent years nurturing to fight the Syrian government. The same scenario unfolded in Afrin, when the FSA also fought alongside Turkey.

U.S. intervention against the Syrian government directly drove violence against minorities in Syria, including Kurds: The U.S. supplied weapons to anti-government groups in Syria that ultimately empowered ISIS, who carried out “attacks on family members of Kurdish fighters and kidnappings of hundreds of civilians on the basis of their ethnic identity.”

The U.S. government can no more be expected to protect Kurds or any other group than can Chevron be expected to undertake green initiatives, because protecting people isn’t the goal of U.S. policy. Seen in the context of longer-term U.S. ruling-class approaches globally and in the Middle East, there is every reason to conclude that U.S. policies towards Syria have been about building military bases, and bleeding and weakening rivals like Russia, Iran, Hezbollah and the Syrian government.

Thus, Washington’s efforts to control the Middle East are a driving force behind the violence in the region. That points to the conclusion that the answer to violence in the region isn’t more U.S. involvement, but less. Yet my research produces no evidence of discussion of this perspective in U.S. corporate media.

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There is, however, a great deal of coverage asserting that the U.S. should continue occupying Syria so as to weaken its government and other U.S. rivals. The New York Times' new headline, “Pulling of U.S. Troops in Syria Could Aid Assad and ISIS” (10/7/19), unambiguously indicates that the U.S. should keep its forces in Syria because removing them would benefit the Syrian government. This perspective assumes that the U.S. has a legitimate right to use its military to shape, and perhaps outright dictate, the relative strength of other countries’ governments. The attached article went on to say that the shift in U.S. policy

could also create a void in the region that could benefit President Bashar al-Assad of Syria, Russia, Iran and the Islamic State, also known as ISIS. And it would likely further limit the United States’ influence over the conflict.

The article seems to endorse the view put forth by Brett McGurk, a former presidential envoy, that if the Turkish attack forces a Kurdish redeployment, it would put “American objectives at risk” by benefiting “Russia, Iran and ISIS.” According to this point of view, the U.S. should do what it can to keep Syria in a proxy war for as long as possible, because that state of affairs is bad for the U.S. government’s international rivals.

A Times editorial (10/7/19) advocated subjecting Syria to that condition indefinitely — to maintain an open-ended occupation of Syria as a “counterweight to Turkey and Syria’s Russian and Iranian allies” — because otherwise unspecified “foe[s]” will not “look at [America] and fear a determined adversary.” Intimidating unnamed political forces is, to say the least, an unconvincing justification for maintaining an illegal military occupation.

WaPo: Trump’s Syria decision reflects his stunning ignorance of the situation

A Washington Post editorial (10/7/19) starts from the premise that "President Trump abruptly ordered the withdrawal of U.S. troops from Syria” — displaying an ignorance that would be stunning if one were unfamiliar with the standards of the Post editorial page.

A Washington Post editorial (10/7/19) opined that

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the 1,000 US troops in Syria could be forced to withdraw entirely, which would be a major victory for Russia and open the way for Iran to entrench its forces along Israel’s northern border.

For the Post, Syrians are pawns whose fates the U.S. should hold hostage because of a grander imperial game. Another reason the paper gave for supporting a U.S. presence in Syria is that

the United States was able to partner with the SDF to destroy the would-be Islamic caliphate and gain de facto control over a large swath of eastern Syria. That impeded Iran’s expansion in the country and gave Washington vital leverage over any eventual settlement of the Syrian civil war.

Why it’s “vital” — or even legitimate — for Washington to have “leverage over any eventual settlement” of the war in Syria is unexplained. It’s simply taken for granted that the United States should play a major part in shaping Syria’s future.

Influential sectors in corporate media clearly believe that U.S. policy in Syria should be tailored toward assuring worldwide U.S. hegemony. That’s necessarily going to entail Kurdish and many other peoples winding up in body bags.

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https://www.salon.com/2019/10/19/media-alarmed-by-u-s-pullout-from-syria-which-didnt-actually-happen/

2019-10-19 10:00:00Z
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Vote on Boris Johnson's Brexit deal in Parliament - live updates - CNN International

Today will absolutely, categorically determine the future of Brexit. Unless it doesn't.

An amendment to Boris Johnson's deal has the potential to shake everything up. The measure has been proposed by Oliver Letwin, an MP who was booted out of the Conservative parliamentary party last month when he supported anti no-deal legislation known as the Benn Act.

The amendment says the House would "withhold support" from Johnson's plan until all of the legislation required to implement the bill is passed by Parliament as well.

It would force Johnson to request a Brexit extension on Saturday night, as per the Benn Act, and remove the risk of no deal in a few days' time. But it still allows Johnson to pass his Brexit deal -- he just has to pass all the separate parts of the Withdrawal Agreement as well.

Nick Boles, who has co-signed the amendment, suggested the vote on the amendment could be read as a political indication of whether the House would support the deal, but not as a legal endorsement of the deal. (Liberal Democrat leader Jo Swinson has also signed the amendment, despite being opposed to Brexit altogether).

What does this mean for Saturday? If Letwin's amendment passes -- and it enjoys support from a cross-section of parties -- it would mean that Saturday isn't the be-all-and-end-all. Instead, the subsequent votes on the Withdrawal Agreement in the coming weeks become all-important, because they would need to be approved if the Brexit deal is to come into effect.

What does it mean for Brexit? If the Letwin proposal comes into effect, the government's plans to leave the EU by October 31 would be thrown into the air. Such an outcome opens up the possibility that the entire withdrawal agreement could be amended, for example with a requirement to hold a second referendum on the final outcome.

Will it pass? The amendment is signed by members of the three main political parties, including the aforementioned Hilary Benn, and the leader of the Liberal Democrats, Jo Swinson. But everything hinges on whether the Labour leadership decides to swing its entire bloc behind it. The Guardian's political editor, who is well connected in Labour circles, thinks it might, as does Bloomberg.

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https://edition.cnn.com/uk/live-news/brexit-deal-vote-boris-johnson-dle-oct-19-intl-gbr/index.html

2019-10-19 08:46:00Z
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Erdogan warns Kurds as Syria ceasefire gets off to rocky start - Al Jazeera English

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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sflhm0pAKtA

2019-10-19 06:48:32Z
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Jumat, 18 Oktober 2019

Boris Johnson's Brexit deal faces narrow defeat on Saturday, analysts warn - CNBC

British Prime Minister Boris Johnson has insisted that he is "very confident" the House of Commons will support his Brexit deal on Saturday, in what is widely expected to be a historic knife-edge vote.

The former London mayor secured a draft Brexit deal with the European Union on Thursday, following successive days of late-night talks and almost three years of tense discussions.

Johnson must now persuade a majority of U.K. lawmakers to support the draft agreement if he is to take Britain out of the EU on Oct. 31 — something he has promised to deliver "do or die, come what may."

Saturday's showdown is likely to be framed as a "new deal or no deal" moment, with the prime minister acutely aware it will be his last chance to get Members of Parliament (MPs) to approve the deal before the Brexit deadline.

However, the parliamentary arithmetic looks daunting for Johnson after he agreed to strike a deal with the world's largest trading bloc without the backing of the Northern Irish Democratic Unionist Party (DUP).

The DUP, which supports Johnson's government on a confidence and supply basis, has said it will be unable to support the deal on Saturday.

The extraordinary session will mark the first time Parliament has convened on a Saturday since 1982, amid the Falklands War.

Sterling, which jumped to five-month highs on Thursday, was trading little changed at $1.2891 during Friday morning deals.

'Real prospect of a humiliating defeat'

"A narrow defeat in Saturday's Commons vote on Prime Minister Boris Johnson's Brexit deal is now our central scenario," Mujtaba Rahman, managing director of Europe at Eurasia Group, said in a research note published Thursday.

Among other issues, the DUP has said it will oppose Johnson's draft deal over concessions made by the U.K. to the EU on customs checks at points of entry into Northern Ireland.

A pedestrian walks up a staircase on the southern bank of the River Thames with Houses of Parliament seen in the background in London on September 2, 2019.

TOLGA AKMEN | AFP | Getty Images

"As things stand, he faces a real prospect of a humiliating defeat because the DUP's 10 MPs are refusing to support his deal," Rahman said.

He added that while Johnson is "gambling" the DUP will drop its opposition to his deal, there was no sign of this happening before Saturday's vote.

That's because "the agreement would deny Unionists a veto when the Northern Ireland Assembly voted every four years on whether the province should remain in the EU's regulatory and customs orbit, with an effective border in the Irish Sea."

In the absence of support from the DUP, it is likely Johnson will need to count on the support of the 21 Conservative MPs he expelled from the party last month as well as some opposition Labour lawmakers.

'It is going to be tight'

"Johnson has a chance, but it is going to be tight," Kallum Pickering, senior economist at Berenberg Bank, said in a research note published Thursday.

The winning post in the House of Commons is 320, assuming everyone turns up to vote for Saturday's extraordinary session. Seven Sinn Fein MPs do not sit and the Speaker and three deputies do not vote.

Presently, there are 287 voting Conservative MPs, and Johnson will need to limit any rebellion among them. Pickering estimates 283 will back Johnson's new Brexit deal, thus leaving the prime minister needing 37 from outside his own ranks.

The prime minister "can probably count on the 21 MPs whom he kicked out of the parliamentary party in the last two months to back the deal on the basis they are brought back into the party," Pickering said. But, that would leave the prime minister 16 votes short of a majority.

Earlier this year, when Johnson's predecessor Theresa May took her own Brexit deal to MPs — for what turned out to be the third and final time — a total of nine lawmakers (five from Labour and four independents) backed the prime minister.

Pickering said that even if they, and the suspended Conservative MP Charlie Elphicke, now back Johnson's deal, it would still leave him six votes short of a majority.

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https://www.cnbc.com/2019/10/18/brexit-boris-johnsons-deal-faces-narrow-defeat-on-saturday.html

2019-10-18 09:09:29Z
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