Sabtu, 08 Mei 2021

Massive 18-ton chunk of China's Long March space rocket is set to crash back to Earth TONIGHT - Daily Mail

Massive 18-ton chunk of China's Long March space rocket is set to crash back to Earth TONIGHT amid fears it could land on populated areas

  • China's Long March space rocked is expected to make an uncontrolled re-entry
  • Beijing has downplayed fears and said there is a very low risk of any damage
  • Re-entry is expected to be around 2300 GMT on Saturday, Pentagon predicts
  • Chinese officials say it will likely burn up on re-entry into Earth's atmosphere 

A massive 18-ton chunk of a Chinese rocket is set to crash back to earth tonight amid fears it could land on populated areas.

The Long March space rocked is expected to make an uncontrolled re-entry into the Earth's atmosphere over the weekend, but Beijing has downplayed fears and said there is a very low risk of any damage. 

A Long March-5B rocket launched the first module of China's new space station into Eart orbit on April 29. Its 18-ton main segment is now in freefall and experts have said it is difficult to say precisely where and when it will re-enter the atmosphere.

Re-entry is expected to be around 2300 GMT on Saturday, according to the Pentagon in the US, with a window of plus or minus nine hours either side.

Chinese authorities have said most of the rocket components would likely be destroyed on re-entry.

'The probability of causing harm... on the ground is extremely low,' Chinese foreign ministry spokesman Wang Wenbin told reporters on Friday.

A massive 18-ton chunk of a Chinese rocket is set to crash back to earth tonight amid fears it could land on populated areas. Pictured is the rocket's current orbit, and what populated areas fall under the rocket's path

A massive 18-ton chunk of a Chinese rocket is set to crash back to earth tonight amid fears it could land on populated areas. Pictured is the rocket's current orbit, and what populated areas fall under the rocket's path

Although there has been fevered speculation over exactly where the rocket - or parts of it - will land, there is a good chance any debris that does not burn up will just splash down into the ocean on a planet made up of 70 percent water.

'We're hopeful that it will land in a place where it won't harm anyone,' said Pentagon spokesman Mike Howard.

Howard said the United States was tracking the rocket segment but 'its exact entry point into the Earth's atmosphere cannot be pinpointed until within hours of its re-entry'.

Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin earlier said that the US military had no plans to shoot it down, and suggested that China had been negligent in letting it fall out of orbit.

'Given the size of the object, there will necessarily be big pieces left over,' said Florent Delefie, an astronomer at the Paris-PSL Observatory.

'The chances of debris landing on an inhabited zone are tiny, probably one in a million.'

In 2020, debris from another Long March rocket fell on villages in the Ivory Coast, causing structural damage but no injuries or deaths.

The Long March 5B rocket carrying a module for a Chinese space station lifted off from the Wenchang Spacecraft Launch Site in Wenchang in southern China's Hainan Province

The Long March 5B rocket carrying a module for a Chinese space station lifted off from the Wenchang Spacecraft Launch Site in Wenchang in southern China's Hainan Province

Pictured is predicted paths of the rocket over the eastern coast of the US. Calculations reveal six possible paths Long March 5B could take

Pictured is predicted paths of the rocket over the eastern coast of the US. Calculations reveal six possible paths Long March 5B could take

LONG MARCH 5B 

The Long March 5b rocket, also known as Chang Zheng 5, is a Chinese-made heavy-lift launch vehicle.

Named for the Red Army's Long March during the Chinese Civil War. 

It is the third most powerful launch vehicle in operation, after the SpaceX Falcon Heavy and the Delta IV Heavy. 

Height: 186.9ft 

Stages:

Payload to LEO: 55,000lb 

Total launches: 7

Launch site: Wenchang 

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The first image of the rocket in orbit was released by astronomers on Thursday, with the Italy-based Virtual Telescope Project capturing the craft. 

The rocket was moving 'extremely fast' when it soared 435 miles above the Virtual Telescopes Project's telescope Wednesday evening, researchers said.

Gianluca Masi, an astronomer with the Virtual Telescope Project who snapped the image, stated that 'while the Sun was just a few degrees below the horizon, so the sky was incredibly bright: these conditions made the imaging quite extreme, but our robotic telescope succeeded in capturing this huge debris.'

'This is another bright success, showing the amazing capabilities of our robotic facility in tracking these objects.' 

Space agencies and astronomers worldwide are tracking the path of Long March 5B with the hopes of better preparing for when it falls back to Earth.

The latest information shows it is expected to crash back to Earth on Saturday, May 8 and possibly rain down on inhabited areas, the US government warns. 

Spokesperson John Kirby said that the government does not 'know enough right now to be able to ... formulate specific notification plans.'

He continued to say that 'if we have information that can be of use, we're going to share that appropriately, the State Department, through their channels ... would provide as much information to that process as possible. But I just don't think we're there right now.'

'As far as I understand, this type of rocket adopts a special technical design, and the vast majority will be burnt up and destructed during re-entry process,' said Wang.

He added that it 'has a very low probability of causing harm to aviation activities and the ground.' 

Usually, discarded rocket stages re-enter the atmosphere soon after liftoff, normally over water, and don't go into orbit.

The first image of China¿s rouge Long March 5B rocket has been released by astronomers. The Italy-based Virtual Telescope Project captured the craft, which appears like a glowing light, as it passed 435 miles above the group¿s ¿Elena¿ robotic telescope

The first image of China's rouge Long March 5B rocket has been released by astronomers. The Italy-based Virtual Telescope Project captured the craft, which appears like a glowing light, as it passed 435 miles above the group's 'Elena' robotic telescope

Chinese Space Station modules 

- Tianhe: Core module. Launched on April 29, 2021 

- Wentian: Experiment module I.  Launch planned for 2022

Mengtian: Experiment module II. Launch planned for 2022

Xuntian: Space telescope module. Planned launch in 2024 to co-orbit with Chinese Space Station

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 CEO of British rocket startup, Skyrora, Volodymyr Levykin, said events like the fall of the Long March 5b 'shouldn't be happening,' calling for action to address situations like this 'before disaster strikes.'

'There are around 26,000 objects currently orbiting the planet and new constellations of satellites being launched among debris from 60 years of space missions,' he said. 

'Orbital Transfer Vehicles, such as Skyrora’s space tug, are on hand to help safely deorbit space debris or transport it to a disposal orbit. 

'With the capability of refiring its engine multiple times, a tug can complete several missions after deploying an initial payload.'

'By integrating them as part of the rocket's third stage, we can effectively deploy a vehicle as part of every launch, creating an orbital fleet of ‘space tugs’ ready to be called upon when required.'

He said every future launch, regardless of who is running it, should include some form of Space Tug, to make sure the 'uncontrolled re-entries are a thing of the past.'

'It’s not only about helping the planet or clearing up the mess orbiting it but about protecting the crucial infrastructure that’s taken decades and trillions of dollars to build, which could effectively be wiped out in an instant.'

Last Thursday's liftoff was a proud moment for China and a watershed event in its quest to become a dominant force in humankind's quest for advancement in space

Last Thursday's liftoff was a proud moment for China and a watershed event in its quest to become a dominant force in humankind's quest for advancement in space

China also launched Long March 5b in May 2020 (pictured) to test the vehicle in preparation of sending people to the moon, but this mission also ended with an uncontrolled reentry

China also launched Long March 5b in May 2020 (pictured) to test the vehicle in preparation of sending people to the moon, but this mission also ended with an uncontrolled reentry

HOW MANY ITEMS ARE THERE IN ORBIT? 

  • Rocket launches since 1957:  5450
  • Number of satellites in orbit: 8950 
  • Number still in space: 5000 
  • Number still functioning: 1950
  • Number of debris objects: 22300
  • Break-ups, explosions etc: 500 
  • Mass of objects in orbit: 8400 tonnes 
  • Prediction of the amount of debris in orbit using statistical models 
  • Over 10cm: 34 000 
  • 1cm to 10cm: 900 000 
  • 1mm to 1cm: 128 million 

Source: European Space Agency 

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Last May, another Chinese rocket fell uncontrolled into the Atlantic Ocean off West Africa.

The Communist Party newspaper Global Times said the stage's 'thin-skinned' aluminium-alloy exterior will easily burn up in the atmosphere, posing an extremely remote risk to people.

The Long March 5B rocket carried the main module of Tianhe, or Heavenly Harmony, into orbit on April 29. China plans 10 more launches to carry additional parts of the space station into orbit over the coming years.

The roughly 30-meter (100-foot) -long stage would be among the biggest space debris to fall to Earth.

The 18-ton rocket that fell last May was the heaviest debris to fall uncontrolled since the former Soviet space station Salyut 7 in 1991.

China's first space station, Tiangong-1, crashed into the Pacific Ocean in 2016 after Beijing confirmed it had lost control. In 2019, the space agency controlled the demolition of its second station, Tiangong-2, in the atmosphere.

In March, debris from a Falcon 9 rocket launched by US aeronautics company SpaceX fell to Earth in Washington and on the Oregon coast.

CHINA STEPS UP PLANS TO BECOME SPACE SUPERPOWER WITH MARS AND MOON MISSIONS

Officials from the Chinese space agency are working to become a space superpower alongside the US and Russia.

They have already sent the first lander to explore the far side of the Moon - sharing photos from the part of our nearest neighbour we rarely see as part of the Chang'e-4 mission.

In November 2020 they sent the Chang'e-5 space probe to the Moon to collect and return the first samples of lunar soil in 45 years.

This was done in collaboration with the European Space Agency who provided tracking information for the Chinese spaceship. 

Chang'e-6 will be the first mission to explore the south pole of the Moon and is expected to launch in 2023 or 2024.

Chang'e-7 will study the land surface, composition, space environment in an overall mission, according to the Chinese space authority, while Chang'e-8 will focus on technical surface analysis.

China is also reportedly working on building a lunar base using 3D printing technology and sending a future crewed mission to the surface.

Mission number eight will likely lay the groundwork for this as it strives to verify the technology earmarked for the project.

The CNSA is also building an Earth-orbiting space station where Chinese astronauts will conduct scientific experiments, similar to the crew of the ISS.

The agency also launched a mission to Mars in summer 2020 which will see them land a rover on the surface of the red planet in February 2021.

China is also said to be working on a project to build a solar power generator in space, that would beam energy back to Earth and becoming the largest man made object in orbit. 

They also have a number of ambitious space science projects including satellites to hunt for signs of gravitational waves and Earth observation spacecrafts to monitor climate change. 

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2021-05-08 10:08:29Z
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India's daily Covid death toll tops more than 4,000 for first time - Daily Mail

India's daily Covid death toll tops more than 4,000 for first time as cases surge across the virus-ravaged country and two more states go into lockdown

  • Saturday's record 4,187 deaths takes the country's official toll to nearly 240,000
  • A further 401,000 new infections were also confirmed in the last 24 hours
  • Two southern states in India became the latest to declare regional lockdowns 
  • Pressure mounting on Prime Minister Modi to implement nationwide shutdown

For the first time, India has recorded more than 4,000 Covid-19 related deaths as cases continue to surge across the country and two more states go into lockdown.

Saturday's record of 4,187 deaths takes the country's official death toll from the virus to nearly 240,000, although the true figure is believed to be much higher. 

A further 401,000 new infections were also confirmed in the last 24 hours, meaning India has recorded over 400,000 new cases for three consecutive days. 

Two southern states in India became the latest to declare lockdowns, as pressure mounts on Prime Minister Narendra Modi to implement a nationwide shutdown.

At over 300,000, Karnataka's capital of Bengaluru has the highest active caseload of any Indian city. 

But experts warn the worst is still ahead as India's third largest city buckles under oxygen shortages, overrun hospitals and crowded crematoriums.

A woman mourns after her husband died due to the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outside a mortuary of a COVID-19 hospital in Ahmedabad, India, May 8, 2021. Saturday's record of 4,187 deaths takes the country's official death toll from the virus to nearly 240,000, although the true figure is believed to be much higher

A woman mourns after her husband died due to the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outside a mortuary of a COVID-19 hospital in Ahmedabad, India, May 8, 2021. Saturday's record of 4,187 deaths takes the country's official death toll from the virus to nearly 240,000, although the true figure is believed to be much higher

Relatives in PPE follow as healthcare workers pull a stretcher carrying the body of a person who died from the COVID-19 at a mortuary in Ahmedabad, India, May 8, 2021

Relatives in PPE follow as healthcare workers pull a stretcher carrying the body of a person who died from the COVID-19 at a mortuary in Ahmedabad, India, May 8, 2021

A man mourns after his father died due to the coronavirus disease outside a mortuary of a COVID-19 hospital in Ahmedabad, India, May 8, 2021

A man mourns after his father died due to the coronavirus disease outside a mortuary of a COVID-19 hospital in Ahmedabad, India, May 8, 2021

For the first time, India has recorded more than 4,000 Covid-19 related deaths as cases continue to surge across the country and two more states go into lockdown. Family members along with medical workers shift a COVID19 patient to Level-3 ward of Swaroop Rani Nehru hospital in Prayagraj on Saturday

For the first time, India has recorded more than 4,000 Covid-19 related deaths as cases continue to surge across the country and two more states go into lockdown. Family members along with medical workers shift a COVID19 patient to Level-3 ward of Swaroop Rani Nehru hospital in Prayagraj on Saturday

In Tamil Nadu state, the lockdown announcement followed a daily record of more than 26,000 cases on Friday.

Infections have swelled in India since February in a disastrous turn blamed on more contagious variants as well as government decisions to allow massive crowds to gather for religious festivals and political rallies.

On Saturday, India reported 401,078 confirmed cases, including a record high of 4,187 deaths. Overall, India has more than 21.8 million confirmed infections and nearly 240,000 deaths. Experts say even those dramatic tolls are undercounts.

Researchers at the University of Washington's Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation warned on Thursday that the true toll is likely 700,000 and could top 1million by the end of the month, having doubled in just over six weeks.

Due to India's huge population of almost 1.4 billion, the country is struggling to give Covid-19 vaccines to enough people to stem the spread of the virus.

While the country has vaccinated over 131 million people - second only to the United States' total figure of almost 150 million -  that only represents around 9.5 percent of its total population.

One doctor in Bengaluru said he's had to reject patients 'left, right and center' as his hospital struggled to find more oxygen.

'The problem is the demand is so high that we need constant oxygen,' Dr. Sanjay Gururaj, the medical director at Shanti Hospital and Research Center, said. 

The hospital is sending a truck twice a day to oxygen plants on the outskirts of the city to bring back 12 jumbo oxygen cylinders. 'In normal times, this would have lasted over two weeks - now, it lasts just over a day,' he added.

Two southern states in India became the latest to declare lockdowns, as pressure mounts on Prime Minister Narendra Modi to implement a nationwide shutdown. Pictured: A woman mourns after her husband died due to the coronavirus, outside a mortuary of a COVID-19 hospital in Ahmedabad, India, May 8, 2021

Two southern states in India became the latest to declare lockdowns, as pressure mounts on Prime Minister Narendra Modi to implement a nationwide shutdown. Pictured: A woman mourns after her husband died due to the coronavirus, outside a mortuary of a COVID-19 hospital in Ahmedabad, India, May 8, 2021

Pictured: A woman receives the AstraZeneca vaccine for COVID-19 as others await their turn at a medical college in Prayagraj, India, Saturday, May 8, 2021

Pictured: A woman receives the AstraZeneca vaccine for COVID-19 as others await their turn at a medical college in Prayagraj, India, Saturday, May 8, 2021

A man who has contracted Covid-19 rests inside the ICU ward of a hospital treating coronavirus patients on May 06, 2021 in Bengaluru, India. At over 300,000, Karnataka's capital of Bengaluru has the highest active caseload of any Indian city

A man who has contracted Covid-19 rests inside the ICU ward of a hospital treating coronavirus patients on May 06, 2021 in Bengaluru, India. At over 300,000, Karnataka's capital of Bengaluru has the highest active caseload of any Indian city

Tweet every 30 seconds for oxygen or hospital bed in India

Pleas for oxygen, hospital beds, ventilators, access to intensive care units and even Covid-19 tests have inundated the Twitter feeds of Indian users in recent weeks.

Analysis by Reuters of Twitter data shows one tweet is being sent every 30 seconds by someone using #SOS or the word 'urgent' in relation to Covid, as they appeal to social media for help.

The pleas on Twitter only provide a small glimpse into what is happening in the world's second-most populous nation, where Prime Minister Narendra Modi's government has come under criticism for its handling of the crisis.

While Twitter is not as widely used as Facebook or WhatsApp in India, it is proving to be a more valuable tool during the pandemic, largely because of its re-tweet function that can quickly amplify pleas for help through users' networks of contacts.

'Twitter is having to do what the government helpline numbers should be doing,' wrote Twitter user Karanbir Singh.

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The state's oxygen shortages prompted the high court on Wednesday to order the federal government to increase the daily liquid medical oxygen supplied to Karnataka. 

The ruling came after 24 COVID-19 patients died in a government hospital on Monday. It's unclear how many of them died due to the lack of oxygen, but an investigation is ongoing.

Experts caution that the surge in Bengaluru is fast eclipsing other hard-hit cities like the capital, New Delhi, and Mumbai. 

Cases have increased 100-fold since February, said Murad Banaji, a mathematician modelling COVID-19 growth in India, citing official data. 

Test positivity has jumped to over 30 percent, which indicates the infection is much more widespread than confirmed figures, he added.

'Disaster was looming by early March, when cases started to shoot up,' he said. 'Bangalore is more than a ticking time bomb right now - it is in the middle of an explosion.' Bengaluru was previously known as Bangalore.

Much of the focus in recent weeks has been on northern India, led by New Delhi, where television stations have broadcast images of patients lying on stretchers outside hospitals and of mass funeral pyres that burn throughout the night.

The situation unfurling in Karnataka has thrown attention to other southern states also battling a rise in cases. Daily cases have breached the 20,000 mark for the past three days in Andhra Pradesh state, leading to new restrictions there.

Kerala, which emerged as a blueprint for tackling the pandemic last year, began a lockdown on Saturday. 

Pictured: A medical worker inoculates a woman with a dose of the Covaxin Covid-19 coronavirus vaccine at a vaccination centre in KC General government hospital in Bangalore on May 7, 2021

Pictured: A medical worker inoculates a woman with a dose of the Covaxin Covid-19 coronavirus vaccine at a vaccination centre in KC General government hospital in Bangalore on May 7, 2021

With daily cases crossing 40,000, the state is aggressively boosting resources, including converting hundreds of industrial oxygen cylinders into medical oxygen, said Dr. Amar Fetle, the state's officer for COVID-19.

'The magnitude of cases from last year to now is vastly different,' he said, adding that increasing numbers have meant more hospitalizations and more strain on health care systems, with hospitals running nearly full. 

'It's become a race between occupancy and how fast we can add beds. We're trying to stay ahead of the virus as best as we can.'

It's clear infections are rapidly rising across the southern region, but there has been 'less visible outcry' than in the north because of relatively better health infrastructure and government initiatives that address problems at the community level, said Jacob John, professor of community medicine at Christian Medical College, Vellore.

But while the virus has ripped through large cities in waves, smaller towns and villages, where health care is less accessible, are now exposed.

'These places are quickly getting affected, which means we may not have sustained the worst yet in south India,' he said.

A man runs to escape the heat of funeral pyres burning at a cremation ground in Delhi

A man runs to escape the heat of funeral pyres burning at a cremation ground in Delhi

Indian variant officially labelled 'variant of concern' in Britain

In Britain, it was announced by health officials that India's variant is now officially a 'variant of concern'.

Public Health England say the variant — linked to an explosion of cases in India — is 'at least' as infectious as the current dominant Kent strain.

Cases of the variant, scientifically called B.1.617.2, have more than doubled in a week. It has now been spotted 520 times, with hotspots in Bolton and London.

Health officials are confident vaccines currently being used should still work against the variant but are carrying out urgent tests to be certain.

Scientists have grouped the Indian variant into three separate sub-strains, with type 2 quickly spreading in the UK. It has been found in schools, care homes and places of worship, it was reported today. 

The other two are genetically similar strains — B.1.617.1 and B.1.617.3 — and aren't currently considered variants of concern. But PHE said their status will be kept 'under constant review'.   

Despite being more infectious, health chiefs don't believe the variant is deadlier than original coronavirus strains. 

The move to make the Indian variant one 'of concern' means officials can now put in place tougher measures to contain the strain, including ordering door-to-door tests and boosting contact tracing. 

All residents living in areas where the variant is spreading in the community will be asked to get a test, even if they don't have symptoms.

The Department of Health has announced it will start surge testing in Bolton in the BL3 postcode and has asked residents to book a test online or on the phone so they can go for one at a site or have one delivered to them at home. Surge testing in London has not yet been announced. 

Prime Minister Boris Johnson said Friday that tracking of the Indian variant will be 'absolutely ruthless'.  

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On Friday, the country's main opposition leader Rahul Gandhi issued the dire warning as he called on Prime Minister Modi to begin a second national lockdown.

Mr Gandhi said India's huge and genetically diverse population provides 'fertile ground' for the virus to mutate into more infectious and deadly forms, causing devastation not just within its borders but across the globe.

India has already produced one Covid mutant that is thought to be more infectious than previous strains and which has spread overseas, but high infection rates mean the virus has plenty of chances to mutate again and become more dangerous.

Mr Modi has so-far resisted calls to go into a second national shutdown fearing the economic impacts, and has instead relied on states to decide their own measures while focusing nation efforts on distributing medicines and ramping up vaccines.

But a growing chorus of politicians, medical experts and judges has warned he is running out of options as the country's healthcare system stretches past breaking point with no end to the surge in sight.

'India is home to one out of every six human beings on the planet. The pandemic has demonstrated that our size, genetic diversity and complexity make India fertile ground for the virus to rapidly mutate, transforming itself into a more contagious and more dangerous form,' Mr Ghandi said. 

'Allowing the uncontrollable spread of the virus in our country will be devastating not only for our people but also for the rest of the world.'

Researchers' calculations on India's true death toll are based on a statistical model that takes into account 'excess mortality' data - meaning deaths that occur above established averages.

The figure will therefore include deaths that are missed in government counts, such as in India which only includes deaths in hospital and with a positive test - despite both hospital beds and test kits being in short supply.

But the data is controversial because it also mops up a lot of deaths that are either not directly related to Covid, or have nothing to do with the virus at all. 

Based on their calculations, India will top 1million Covid deaths by May 27 having taken until April 12 to reach 500,000.

Another model, developed by the Indian Institute of Science in Bangalore, estimates that the official toll could be above 400,000 by early June.

Their analysis suggests government's figures will hit 404,000 by June 11, having doubled from around 201,000 on April 27 - again, a little over six weeks.

It means India could end up with the world's highest Covid death toll, even if excess mortality isn't taken into account.

America currently has the world's highest official toll, which stands at 594,000.  

Pictured: A health worker takes a nasal swab sample of a policeman to test for COVID-19 in Prayagraj, India, Saturday, May 8, 2021

Pictured: A health worker takes a nasal swab sample of a policeman to test for COVID-19 in Prayagraj, India, Saturday, May 8, 2021

With the crisis showing no sign of slowing and the country's healthcare system stretched past collapse, medical experts, political opponents and some Supreme Court justices have said nationwide measures appear to be the only solution. 

Over the past month, nearly a dozen out of India's 28 federal states have announced less stringent restrictions than the nationwide lockdown imposed for two months in March last year.

Modi, who held consultations with top elected leaders and officials of the worst-hit states on Thursday, has so far left the responsibility for fighting the virus to poorly equipped state governments.

Dr. Randeep Guleria, a government health expert, said a complete, aggressive lockdown is needed in India just like last year, especially in areas where more than 10 percent of those tested have contracted COVID-19.

Rahul Gandhi, an opposition Congress party leader, in a letter to Modi on Friday reiterated his demand for a total lockdown, warning 'the human cost will result in many more tragic consequences for our people.'

He said the government should not worry about the economic cost of a shutdown and provide critical financial and food support to the poor.

Srinath Reddy, president of the Public Health Foundation of India, a public-private consultancy, acknowledged that different states were experiencing different intensities of the epidemic, but said a 'coordinated countrywide strategy' was still needed.

According to Reddy, decisions need to be based on local conditions but should be closely coordinated by the center. 'Like an orchestra which plays the same sheet music but with different instruments,' he said.

Anthony Fauci, President Joe Biden's chief medical adviser, also suggested that a complete shutdown in India may be needed two to four weeks to help ease the surge of infections.

Modi, who held consultations with top elected leaders and officials of the worst-hit states on Thursday, has so far left the responsibility for fighting the virus to poorly equipped state governments. Pictured: Modi during a campaign rally on March 7, 2021

Modi, who held consultations with top elected leaders and officials of the worst-hit states on Thursday, has so far left the responsibility for fighting the virus to poorly equipped state governments. Pictured: Modi during a campaign rally on March 7, 2021

'As soon as the cases start coming down, you can vaccinate more people and get ahead of the trajectory of the outbreak of the pandemic,' Fauci said in an interview with the Indian television CNN News18 news channel on Thursday. He did not provide specifics of what a shutdown should entail.

He said it appears there are at least two types of virus variants circulating in India. He said B117, which is the U.K. variant, tends to be concentrated in New Delhi and that the 617 variant is concentrated in the worst-hit western Maharashtra state.

'Both of those have increasing capability of transmitting better and more efficiently than the original Wuhan strain a year ago,' Fauci said.

Modi imposed a two-month stringent lockdown last year on four hours' notice. It stranded tens of millions of migrant workers who were left jobless and fled to villages with many dying along the way. Experts say the decision helped contain the virus and bought time for the government.

India's economy contracted by 23 percent in April-June quarter last year and showed recovery as the restrictions were eased. The International Monetary Fund's projection of 12.5 percent growth in 2021-22 financial year, beginning April, is expected to suffer again with the surge in infections.  

WHAT DO WE KNOW ABOUT THE INDIA VARIANTS? 

Real name: B.1.617 — now divided into B.1.617.1; B.1.617.2; B.1.617.3

When and where was it discovered? 

The variant was first reported by the Indian government in February 2021. 

But the first cases appear to date back to October 2020. 

Its presence in the UK was first announced by Public Health England on April 15. There have since been at least 400 cases spotted in genetic lab testing.  

What mutations does it have? 

It has 13 mutations that separate it from the original Covid virus that emerged in China — but the two main ones are named E484Q and L452R.

Scientists suspect these two alterations can help it to transmit faster and to get past immune cells made in response to older variants. 

PHE officials said it has split into three distinct virus types, with types 1 and 3 both having the E484Q mutation but type 2 missing the change, despite having all the other hallmarks of the variant. 

Public Health England has divided the Indian variant into three sub-types because they aren't identical. Type 1 and Type 3 both have a mutation called E484Q but Type 2 is missing this, despite still clearly being a descendant of the original Indian strain. It is not yet clear what separates Type 1 and 3 

Is it more infectious and can it evade vaccines? 

The L452R mutation is also found on the Californian variant (B.1.429), even though the two evolved independently. It is thought to make the American strain 20 per cent more infectious than the original Wuhan version – even with the extra 20 per cent it is likely slower than the Kent variant.

The E484Q mutation is very similar to the one found in the South African and Brazil variants known as E484K, which can help the virus evade antibodies.

The South African variant is thought to make vaccines about 30 per cent less effective at stopping infections, but it's not clear what effect it has on severe illness.  

Professor Sharon Peacock, of PHE, claimed there was 'limited' evidence of E484Q's effect on immunity and vaccines. Lab studies have suggested it may be able to escape some antibodies, but to what degree remains uncertain.

Early research suggests both the AstraZeneca vaccine, known as Covishield in India, and the Pfizer jab, still work against the variant, as well as India's own jab, Covaxin. A paper published by SAGE last week suggested two doses of the Pfizer vaccine is good enough to protect against all known variants. 

How deadly is it? 

Scientists still don't know for sure. But they are fairly certain it won't be more deadly than the current variants in circulation in Britain.  

This is because there is no evolutionary benefit to Covid becoming more deadly. The virus's sole goal is to spread as much as it can, so it needs people to be alive and mix with others for as long as possible to achieve this. 

And, if other variants are anything to go by, the Indian strain should not be more lethal.

There is still no conclusive evidence to show dominant versions like the Kent and South African variants are more deadly than the original Covid strain - even though they are highly transmissible. 

Doctors in India claim there has been a sudden spike in Covid admissions among people under 45, who have traditionally been less vulnerable to the disease.

There have been anecdotal reports from medics that young people make up two third of new patients in Delhi. In the southern IT hub of Bangalore, under-40s made up 58 percent of infections in early April, up from 46 percent last year.

There is still no proof younger people are more badly affected by the new strain. 

Should we be worried? 

Scientists are unsure exactly how transmissible or vaccine-resistant the Indian variant is because it hasn't been studied thoroughly.

The fact it appears to have increased infectivity should not pose an immediate threat to the UK's situation because the current dominant Kent version appears equally or more transmissible. 

It will take a variant far more infectious strain than that to knock it off the top spot.

However, if the Indian version proves to be effective at slipping past vaccine-gained immunity, then its prevalence could rise in Britain as the immunisation programme squashes the Kent variant.

Why has B.1.617.2 been designated as a variant of concern?

Scientists believe this variant can spread more quickly than two other related variants seen in India.

It is thought to be at least as transmissible as the variant detected in Kent last year, known as B117, which is now dominant in the UK.

Dr Susan Hopkins, Covid-19 strategic response director at PHE, said: 'We are monitoring all of these variants extremely closely and have taken the decision to classify this as a variant of concern because the indications are that this VOC-21APR-02 is a more transmissible variant.'

PHE said there is currently 'insufficient evidence' to indicate that any of the variants recently detected in India cause more severe disease or make the vaccines available any less effective.

How many cases have been detected in the UK?

According to data by PHE released on Friday, there are, at present, 520 confirmed cases of the B.1.617.2 variant in the UK, from 202 over the last week.

The report also showed 261 cases of B.1.617.1 and nine cases of B.1.617.3.

The cases are spread across the country, with the majority in two areas – the North West, mainly in Bolton, and London.

PHE said around half of these cases are related to travel or contact with a traveller.

PHE health protection teams are working with local authorities, public health officials and NHS Test and Trace to detect cases and limit onward spread.

Surge testing is expected to be deployed where there is evidence of community transmission.

Is B16172 variant driving the second wave in India?

India reported 412,262 new Covid-19 cases and 3,980 Covid-19-related deaths on Thursday — both new single-day records.

In the past 30 days, the country has recorded 8.3million cases.

However, it remains unclear whether the new coronavirus variants are driving the second wave.

Experts say large gatherings, and lack of preventive measures such as mask-wearing or social distancing, are playing a key role in the spread of the virus.

Although India has the world's biggest vaccine making capacity, the country has partially or fully immunised less than 10 per cent of its 1.35billion people.

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2021-05-08 08:45:57Z
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Jumat, 07 Mei 2021

More than 150 Palestinians hurt in Jerusalem clashes: Live - Al Jazeera English

More than 170 Palestinian worshippers have been injured in clashes with Israeli police at the Al-Aqsa Mosque and elsewhere in occupied East Jerusalem, as weeks-long tensions between Israel and the Palestinians over Jerusalem soared again.

Earlier in the day, tens of thousands of Palestinian worshippers packed into the mosque on the final Friday of Ramadan and many stayed on to protest in support of Palestinians facing eviction from their homes on Israeli-occupied land claimed by Jewish settlers.

During the past week, residents of Sheikh Jarrah, as well as Palestinian and international solidarity activists, have attended nightly vigils to support the Palestinian families under threat of forced displacement.

Israeli border police and forces have attacked the sit-ins using skunk water, tear gas, rubber-coated bullets and shock grenades over the past few days. Dozens of Palestinians have been arrested.

Here are the latest updates:


At least 184 injured in Jerusalem clashes

The Reuters news service reports that 178 Palestinians and six police officers have been injured in the night-time clashes in at the Al-Aqsa Mosque compound and around East Jerusalem.

The Palestinian Red Crescent ambulance service said 88 of the Palestinians injured were taken to hospital after being hit with rubber-coated metal bullets.

Palestinians react as Israeli police fire stun grenades during clashes at the compound that houses Al-Aqsa Mosque in Jerusalem, May 7, 2021 [Ammar Awad/Reuters]

Wounded toll rises to 169 in Jerusalem clashes

The Palestinian Red Crescent emergency service said they have now recorded 163 people injured in clashes with Israeli police at the Al-Aqsa Mosque and elsewhere in Jerusalem, including 83 who were hospitalised.

Israel said six police officers were wounded.

The Red Crescent also said it had established a field hospital in Jerusalem to deal with minor and moderate injuries to reduce the pressure on hospitals.


Clashes continue at Al-Aqsa Mosque compound

Hours after clashes first broke out, large reinforcements from the Israeli police forces continued to stream into the Al-Aqsa Mosque compound.

Palestinian activists reported that Israeli forces were continuing to target worshippers in the compound as a large numbers of Palestinians held prayers inside the mosque.


Calls for Israeli police to withdraw

Appealing for calm on the compound through the mosque’s loudspeakers, Sheikh Omar al-Kiswani, the director of Al-Aqsa Mosque, called on Israeli police to halt their attacks and withdraw from the mosque courtyard.

“Police must immediately stop firing stun grenades at worshippers, and the youth must calm down and be quiet!”

Israeli security forces move towards the Al_Aqsa Mosque amid clashes with Palestinian protesters [Ahmad Gharabli/AFP]

Iran’s Khamenei calls for continuing ‘resistance’

Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei called in a televised address for continuing armed “resistance” in the Palestinian territories and urged Muslim nations support it.

“The downward and declining movement of the Zionist regime has begun and will not stop,” said Khamenei as Iran marked its own al-Quds, or Jerusalem, Day.

The national holiday typically features anti-Israel protests and fiery speeches by Iranian leaders predicting Israel’s demise.

Iranians set Israeli flags alight during a rally marking Jerusalem Day at the capital Tehran’s Azadi Square [STR/AFP]

Hamas warns of consequences

Ismail Haniya, chief of the Hamas political bureau, has warned of “consequences for the aggression” at Al-Aqsa Mosque.

Haniya reportedly contacted a number of officials in the region calling on their support to stand up to the attacks on Palestinian worshippers in Al-Aqsa, reported Palestinian media.

Mahmoud al-Zahhar, another member of the Hamas political bureau, condemned Arabs leaders for remaining “silent as they watch the attack on Al-Aqsa Mosque”.

He said the only solution to the situation in Jerusalem would be through “armed resistance”.

Tear gas fills the air after Israeli security officers clash with Palestinian protesters at the Al-Aqsa Mosque [Ahmad Gharabli/AFP]

Situation expected to ‘flare up’ in next few days

Reporting from Ramallah, Al Jazeera’s Nida Ibrahim said that the situation likely to flare up again over coming days.

“We know that two Palestinians have been seriously wounded at least. The rest are still going to hospitals.

“Also, we’ve heard from our sources in Jerusalem that there are Palestinians who were leaving the Al-Aqsa compound that are getting beaten up by the Israeli police,” she said.

“We are expecting this situation to flare up even further as on Monday, there is what Israelis call the Jerusalem Day. It coincides with Laylat-ul-Qadar, which is the holiest nights during Ramadan,” added Ibrahim.

Palestinian protesters run amid clashes with Israeli security forces at the Al-Aqsa Mosque compound [Ahmad Gharabli/AFP]

Protesters hold vigil near Sheikh Jarrah

Police also used water cannon mounted on armoured vehicles to disperse Palestinian protesters and solidarity activists gathered near the homes of families facing potential eviction.

Dozens remained near the entrance of Sheikh Jarrah neighbourhood where Israeli police had erected barricades to stop them from entering the residential area.

Some chanted a refrain common at Jerusalem protests: “With our soul, with our blood, we will redeem you, oh Aqsa.”


Israeli police fire stun grenades inside Al-Aqsa Mosque

Israeli police attacked worshippers who were praying in the Masjid al-Qiblatain inside Al-Aqsa with stun grenades and rubber bullets.

Palestinian worshippers shared videos from inside the Al-Aqsa Mosque showing Israeli police forces firing stun grenades and worshippers running away as smoke filled the mosque.

Meanwhile, clashes took place between Israeli security forces and Palestinians trying to enter Al-Aqsa through the Bab Al-Silsila, one of the gates to the mosque.

Israeli police also attacked young Palestinians in front of the Damascus and Es-Sahire gates of the Old City.


Turkey condemns Israeli raid on Al-Aqsa Mosque

Several senior Turkish officials condemned the raid by Israeli police on the Al-Aqsa Mosque in occupied East Jerusalem.

“Strongly condemning the attack this evening on al-Aqsa Mosque, our first Qibla. It is inhumane for Israel to target innocents praying during Holy Ramadan,” Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu said on Twitter, referring to the Muslim holy month.

“Will always stand by the just cause of the people of #Palestine,” Cavusoglu added, wishing a speedy recovery to those injured in the Israeli raid.

Turkey’s presidential spokesman Ibrahim Kalin also condemned Israeli police forces for attacking Palestinian worshippers.


Palestinian president holds Israel ‘responsible’

Palestinian president Mahmud Abbas said in a televised statement that the Israeli government is fully responsible for the recent incidents in Jerusalem, as well as any repercussions that result from the continuing escalation.

He also voiced “full support for our heroes in Aqsa”.

Abbas also urged the UN Security Council to hold an emergency meeting to protect the Palestinian people.

He underlined that the “brutality and terrorism” of the Israeli settlers in East Jerusalem would only make Palestinians more attached to their national right.

Israeli police aim their weapons at Palestinians in the compound that houses Al-Aqsa Mosque [Ammar Awad/Reuters]

Turkey calls on Israel to halt illegal settlements

Turkey called on Israel to abandon its policy of building illegal settlements in East Jerusalem.

Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu’s remarks came at a news conference with his Palestinian counterpart Riyad al-Maliki in the Turkish capital Ankara.

The Turkish official said Israel maintained its “occupation policy” in East Jerusalem and the West Bank without a pause, and it was taking new steps to expand illegal settlements or transfer Palestinian houses to illegal settlers, which could pave the way for further destabilisation in the future.

Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu says Ankara would not abandon its vision of a two-state solution [File: Pavel Golovkin/Reuters]

US: ‘Critical’ to de-escalate Jerusalem tensions

The United States called for de-escalation in occupied East Jerusalem, and warned against carrying out a threatened eviction of Palestinian families.

“We’re deeply concerned about the heightened tensions in Jerusalem,” said Deputy State Department spokeswoman Jalina Porter.

She said it was “critical” to “de-escalate tensions” and avoid any unilateral steps that could worsen the situation – such as “evictions, settlement activity and demolition”.

Palestinians react as Israeli police fire stun grenades inside the compound that houses the Al-Aqsa Mosque [Ammar Awad/Reuters]

Medics say dozens of Palestinians injured at Al-Aqsa

At least 53 Palestinians were injured and 23 were hospitalised in confrontations with Israeli police at the Al-Aqsa Mosque in occupied East Jerusalem’s Old City, according to the Palestinian Red Crescent rescue service.

It said most were wounded in the face and eyes by rubber-coated bullets and shrapnel from stun grenades fired by Israeli police.

Six officers were also injured, Israeli police said.

Palestinian families in Sheikh Jarrah say they are ‘terrified’

Mohammed el-Kurd, a Palestinian resident of the Sheikh Jarrah neighbourhood, earlier on Friday shared photos on social media showing armed Jewish settlers walking around the neighbourhood.

“What if they massacre us?” he asked. “Our families are terrified.”

Israeli police block off Sheikh Jarrah

Israeli police blocked off the entrances of the Sheikh Jarrah neighbourhood to hundreds of Palestinians and solidarity activists trying to enter the area, said activists.

Protesters who were prevented from entering Sheikh Jarrah held a group iftar, the evening meal which breaks the daily fast during Ramadan, and held a vigil at the police barricades.

UN condemns evictions

The spokesman for the United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights said the evictions, “if ordered and implemented, would violate Israel’s obligations under international law” on East Jerusalem territory it captured and occupied in the 1967 Middle East war.

“We call on Israel to immediately halt all forced evictions, including those in Sheikh Jarrah, and to cease any activity that would further contribute to a coercive environment and lead to a risk of forcible transfer,” spokesman Rupert Colville said.

Tens of thousands attend Friday prayers

Tens of thousands of Palestinian worshippers had earlier packed into the mosque on the final Friday of Ramadan and many stayed on to protest in support of Palestinians facing eviction from their homes on Israeli-occupied land claimed by Jewish settlers.

However, thousands of Palestinians from the occupied West Bank were blocked from reaching the Al-Aqsa Mosque as Israeli forces set up several roadblocks and checkpoints along the way to the holy site.

Continuing tensions in the city at the core of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict were front and centre in the Friday sermon given by Sheikh Tayseer Abu Sunainah.

Tens of thousands of Palestinians attend the last Friday prayers of the Muslim fasting month of Ramadan at the Al-Aqsa Mosque compound in Jerusalem’s old city [Ahmad Gharbali/AFP]

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2021-05-07 21:42:55Z
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UK green list countries announced as foreign holidays given the go ahead - The Times

Foreign holidays were finally given the go ahead today even though British tourists are presently banned from the majority of destinations on the government’s “green list”.

Grant Shapps, the transport secretary, ended months of speculation by announcing that quarantine-free travel would be possible to 12 countries and overseas territories in just over a week’s time.

From May 17, people will technically be able to travel to Portugal, including the Azores and Madeira, Israel, Gibraltar, Iceland, Brunei and the Faroe Islands without isolating on their return to England. The go ahead was also given to travel to Australia, New Zealand and Singapore. A series of overseas territories including the Falkland Islands and St Helena were also included.

It was confirmed that the NHS app would

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2021-05-07 16:30:00Z
52781574571422

'Out-of-control' Chinese rocket set to crash back to Earth at unknown location in hours - Sky News

Remnants from a Chinese rocket are expected to fall back to Earth in an uncontrolled re-entry this weekend.

The rocket, called Long March 5B, was launched from Wenchang Space Launch Centre on 29 April to carry Tianhe - the first module of China's future space station - into orbit.

The spacecraft contains what will become living quarters for three crew on the space station and was the first of 11 missions needed to complete the station.

US Defence Secretary said that the rocket is being tracked but there are no plans to shoot it down
Image: The US Defence Secretary said the rocket was being tracked but that there were no plans to shoot it down

The body of the rocket is circling Earth and is about to enter the lower atmosphere.

Its exact point of descent "cannot be pinpointed until within hours of its re-entry", which is projected to occur on Saturday.

The US said on Thursday it was tracking the path of the object from the Vandenberg Air Force Base in California but that there were no plans to shoot it down.

"We're hopeful that it will land in a place where it won't harm anyone," US Defence Secretary Lloyd Austin said.

More on China

"Hopefully, in the ocean or someplace like that."

Mr Austin also indirectly criticised China, he said: "There should be a requirement to operate in a safe and thoughtful mode and make sure that we take those kinds of things into consideration as we plan and conduct operations."

Harvard-based astrophysicist Jonathan McDowell said potentially dangerous debris will likely escape incineration after streaking through the atmosphere at hypersonic speed but in all likelihood would fall into the sea.

Mr McDowell did add that there was a chance that pieces could fall over land, like in May 2020, when pieces from another Chinese rocket came down over the Ivory Coast, damaging several buildings but leaving no one injured.

Mr McDowell also said most countries design spacecraft in such a way as to avoid large, uncontrolled re-entries.

"It makes the Chinese rocket designers look lazy that they didn't address this," he said, calling the failure to do so "negligent."

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In November, China launched a robotic spacecraft to bring back material from the moon's surface for the first time in more than four decades.

Based on its current orbit, the debris trail is likely to fall somewhere as far north as New York, Madrid or Beijing and as far south as southern Chile and New Zealand, Mr McDowell said.

Chinese state media have played down fears that the rocket could cause damage as a situation "not worth panicking about" and suggested it will fall somewhere in international waters.

The rocket launch is part of China's increasingly ambitious space programme, with Beijing planning at least 10 similar launches to carry equipment into orbit.

The space station will be complete by 2022, with China also planning to build a moon base in cooperation with Russia.

China is a late entrant in space exploration, only sending its first astronaut into space in 2003.

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2021-05-07 09:42:28Z
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Narendra Modi’s popularity slips as Covid crisis hammers India - Financial Times

Narendra Modi’s popularity has fallen during India’s deepening Covid crisis, according to an opinion poll, as the country reports more than 400,000 daily infections in a brutal second wave.

The prime minister’s approval rating fell to 65 per cent on May 4, down from 74 per cent at the end of March, according to Morning Consult, the US data company — the lowest level since the agency began tracking Modi’s rating in August 2019.

The Indian leader’s disapproval rating also rose to its highest level since the tracker was launched, climbing to 29 per cent from 20 per cent.

Modi’s approval rating remained high compared with other global leaders, but the country’s health and humanitarian crisis has taken a toll.

The prime minister has a strongman reputation but has been accused of indifference in the face of the Covid-19 disaster as he campaigned in state elections even as the outbreak worsened.

“One of the things that Modi has really been good at is perception management. He’s always been very good at messaging,” said Ronojoy Sen, senior research fellow at the Institute of South Asian Studies in Singapore. “This is the first time I would say that his messaging has been awry.”

India’s death toll from the second wave has reached about 4,000 people per day © AP

Modi’s government has sought to deflect blame for the calamity on to state governments and the public for failing to follow pandemic protocols.

As deaths have risen, Harsh Vardhan, the health minister, has also cited official data to boast that India’s fatality ratio was lower than those of richer countries.

However, in a stinging letter to Modi on Friday, Rahul Gandhi, leader of the opposition Congress party, sharply criticised the government for a “lack of a clear and coherent Covid and vaccination strategy as well as hubris in declaring premature victory”.

The letter called for more decisive action to control the spread of the virus, as well as greater scientific tracking of the virus and its mutations.

“Allowing the uncontrollable spread of this virus in our country will be devastating not only for our people but also for the rest of the world,” Gandhi wrote, adding that India was a fertile ground for the virus to mutate into “a more contagious and a more dangerous form”.

India reported a record 414,188 infections and 3,915 deaths on Thursday. There have been more than 234,083 confirmed deaths from the disease in the country.

However, most experts believed the figures severely undercounted the magnitude of the crisis because of a lack of testing, especially in small towns and rural areas.

“Right now, data is very corrupted,” Gautam Menon, a professor of biology at Ashoka University, told a recent seminar. “It’s good in some states and it’s very bad in other states.”

Many epidemiologists believe India’s latest outbreak is set to peak in the coming weeks and caseloads will gradually fall, partly helped by lockdowns implemented by some state governments.

The country’s vaccination campaign is losing momentum, however, because of an acute shortage of jabs. The Modi government has been accused of failing to adequately plan its inoculation campaign.

India administered 1.6m vaccines on Thursday and the seven-day moving average of daily vaccinations has fallen to 1.4m, down from a peak of 3.6m in mid-April.

Many Indians were incensed to see Modi boasting of the huge sizes of crowds gathered for his recent election rallies in West Bengal state as the country struggled to access life-saving drugs, hospital beds, oxygen and vaccines.

The prime minister’s Bharatiya Janata party lost its bid to seize power from the Trinamool Congress party in Sunday’s election despite Modi’s efforts.

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2021-05-07 10:18:27Z
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Angela Merkel at odds with Joe Biden in Covid vaccine patent row - The Times

Angela Merkel, the German chancellor, has spoken out against the Biden administration’s proposal to waive patents on Covid-19 vaccines, saying that it would have “serious implications” for worldwide vaccine production.

The US proposal, which has been poorly received by wealthy nations, would cause “severe complications”, a German government spokesman said. Patents prevent vaccines being duplicated, ensuring the makers are financially rewarded. The move would allow vaccines to be copied and distributed in the developing world.

The German official told Bloomberg: “The limiting factor for the production of vaccines are manufacturing capacities and high quality standards, not the patents. The protection of intellectual property is a source of innovation and this has to remain so in the future.”

On Wednesday the Biden administration backed a proposal

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2021-05-06 23:01:00Z
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