Rabu, 14 September 2022

Ukraine war: President Zelensky visits city recaptured in rapid counter-offensive - BBC

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President Volodymyr Zelensky has been to the recaptured city of Izyum, a key logistics hub in north-eastern Ukraine.

During his visit, Mr Zelensky thanked troops who took part in the counter-attack against Russian occupiers.

He oversaw a flag-raising ceremony and said the Ukrainian flag would return to every city and village in the country.

Ukrainian officials say they are targeting towns in the eastern Donbas region after making a series of gains in a rapid counter-offensive.

In recent days, Ukraine's army has reclaimed swathes of occupied territory, forcing Russian troops to retreat.

In a late evening address on Tuesday, Mr Zelensky said his forces were fortifying their hold over 8,000 sq km (3,088 sq miles) of retaken territory in the Kharkiv region.

Last Thursday, President Zelensky said Ukrainian forces had retaken 1,000 sq km. By Sunday, Ukraine's figure had tripled to 3,000 sq km, before rising again to 6,000 sq km.

The precise scale of Ukraine's gains has not been verified by the BBC.

Mr Zelensky vowed to take back all Ukrainian territory still occupied by Russian forces - he said he did not know when this would happen, but that "truth is on our side".

Meanwhile, the Russian military is deploying so-called barrier troops in Ukraine to prevent its own units from fleeing, according to Ukrainian military intelligence.

Ukrainian defence officials said that according to intercepted conversations, "panic" and "refusals to fight" are setting in among Russian troops.

Elsewhere in Ukraine, officials accused Russian forces of targeting civilian infrastructure in the southern city of Kryvyi Rih on Wednesday.

Cruise missiles fired at the city's "hydraulic structures" caused water levels in a nearby river to rise and threatened local drinking supplies, Ukrainian authorities said.

Responding to the attack, Mr Zelensky described Russia as a "terrorist state" that was trying to "flood Kryvyi Rih".

"All the occupiers can do is to sow panic, create an emergency situation, try to leave people without light, heat, water and food. Can it break us? Not at all. Will they face a fair response and retribution? Definitely yes," the Ukrainian president said.

In the US, President Biden said Ukraine had made "significant" gains.

He said it was "clear" that the advance had enjoyed success, but cautioned that the offensive "could be a long haul".

While Russia still controls around a fifth of Ukraine's territory, towns in the Donbas that fell early in the war are now the focus of Kyiv's advancing forces.

After failing to capture cities across the country, including the capital, Kyiv, Russia is focusing on the Donbas - parts of which were already under the control of Russian-backed rebels before Russia launched its invasion this year.

Andrey Marochko, military commander of the self-declared Luhansk People's Republic - one of two regions that make up the Donbas - told Russian state media that fighting had reached the borders of the territory.

And Serhiy Haidai, the exiled Ukrainian head of the Luhansk region, said Ukrainian forces were engaging Russian troops on the outskirts of Lyman.

"There are fierce battles in Lyman now, which I think will last a few more days," Mr Haidai said in a Telegram post.

Lyman fell to Russian forces after a protracted battle at the end of May. It sits less than 150 km (93 miles) away from the city of Donetsk, the capital of the self-declared Donetsk People's Republic.

Its capture was a coup for Russian troops, giving Moscow control over a key east-west highway.

In other areas, Ukrainian forces are said to have reached the Russian border, and Mr Hayday said their capture of two towns - Izyum and Kupiansk - could see supply lines to the Russian-held cities of Severodonetsk and Lysychansk severed.

A Ukrainian tank advancing
Getty Images

As Kyiv's forces move into previously occupied areas, allegations of Russian war crimes have started to emerge.

Locals in the town of Balakliya told the BBC that Russian troops had tortured civilians at the town's police station during their occupation, while others recounted being electrocuted while in detention.

The Kremlin has admitted that its forces have left some eastern towns, but refused to call it a retreat, instead insisting that its forces were regrouping.

On Monday, Moscow insisted that it would press on with its invasion "until all the goals that were originally set are achieved".

A BBC Graphic

But the pace of the Ukrainian advance appears to have taken Russian forces by surprise, with reports of some of Moscow's forces abandoning their uniforms to blend in with civilians.

In some areas, Russian teachers who moved to Ukrainian towns and cities after Moscow seized control were left behind by the retreating troops.

An unspecified number have now been detained by Ukrainian forces and Deputy Prime Minister Iryna Vereshchuk has warned that they will face charges.

Meanwhile, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz urged Russian President Vladimir Putin to re-enter negotiations with Ukraine as soon as possible during a 90-minute phone call on Tuesday.

A German government read-out of the call said Mr Scholz urged Mr Putin "to find a diplomatic solution as soon as possible, based on a ceasefire, a complete withdrawal of Russian troops and respect for the territorial integrity and sovereignty of Ukraine".

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2022-09-14 22:02:11Z
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Armenia-Azerbaijan fighting flares again after deadly exchanges - Reuters

  • Armenia and Azerbaijan trade blame over fighting
  • Deadliest violence since 2020
  • Russia, U.S. deploy diplomatic efforts
  • Azerbaijan says two civilians injured

TBILISI, Sept 14 (Reuters) - New clashes erupted between Azerbaijan and Armenia on Wednesday as international peace efforts intensified a day after nearly 100 soldiers were killed in the worst fighting between the ex-Soviet republics since 2020.

The Armenian defence ministry accused Azerbaijan, which is backed politically and militarily by Turkey, of firing artillery and small arms in a fresh attack.

At least 49 Armenian and 50 Azerbaijani soldiers were killed on Tuesday along their common border, prompting an appeal for calm from Russian President Vladimir Putin. Both sides blamed each other for the fighting. read more

The clashes have raised fears of another major armed conflict in the former Soviet Union while Russia's military is focused on the invasion of Ukraine.

A full-fledged conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan would risk dragging in Russia and Turkey, and destabilise an important corridor for pipelines carrying oil and gas just as war in Ukraine disrupts energy supplies. read more

Azerbaijan accused Armenia, which is in a military alliance with Moscow and home to a Russian military base, of firing mortars and artillery at its army units. It said two civilians had been injured since the clashes erupted.

"Our positions are periodically being fired on at the moment," Azerbaijan's defence ministry said. "Our units are taking the necessary response measures."

On Tuesday, Armenia said its neighbour struck deep inside its territory, hitting Jermuk, a resort town known for its hot springs. Its defence ministry, which denied shelling Azerbaijani positions, said Wednesday's fighting had largely subsided by midday (0800 GMT).

Reuters was unable immediately to verify battlefield accounts from either side.

DIPLOMATIC EFFORTS

The flare-up in violence has triggered international concern, with Russia, the United States, France and the European Union calling for restraint and stepping up diplomatic efforts.

U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken on Tuesday said Russia could either "stir the pot" or use its influence to help "calm the waters".

He held separate calls with Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan and Azerbaijaini President Ilham Aliyev to urge a ceasefire, and in particular expressed concern about shelling deep in Armenia.

French Foreign Minister Catherine Colonna, in a call with her counterparts from both countries, also called for the "end of strikes against Armenian territory".

EU Special Representative Toivo Klaar was due in the south Caucasus on Wednesday to facilitate dialogue.

The Moscow-led Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO), to which Armenia appealed after the clashes erupted, dispatched a delegation to assess the situation on the border.

Armenia and Azerbaijan have been fighting for decades over Nagorno-Karabakh, a mountainous enclave internationally recognised as part of Azerbaijan but which until 2020 was entirely populated and controlled by ethnic Armenians, with backing from Yerevan.

Azerbaijan made significant territorial gains in and around Nagorno-Karabakh in a six-week war that year.

Since then, skirmishes have erupted periodically despite a Russian-brokered ceasefire and tentative steps on both sides towards implementation of a peace settlement.

Reporting by Nailia Bagirova in Baku, Gabrielle Tétrault-Farber in Tbilisi and Lidia Kelly in Melbourne; Editing by Guy Faulconbridge and Kevin Liffey

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

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2022-09-14 10:15:00Z
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Fresh clashes between Armenia and Azerbaijan after deadly fighting - Reuters

  • Armenia, Azerbaijan trade blame over fighting
  • Deadliest violence since 2020
  • Russia, U.S. deploy diplomatic efforts
  • Azerbaijan says two civilians injured

TBILISI, Sept 14 (Reuters) - Fresh clashes erupted between Azerbaijan and Armenia on Wednesday as international efforts intensified to end violence that killed nearly 100 soldiers in the deadliest fighting between the ex-Soviet republics since 2020.

The Armenian defence ministry accused Azerbaijan, which is backed politically and militarily by Turkey, of firing artillery, mortar and small arms in a fresh attack.

"The situation on the Armenian-Azerbaijani border remained tense," the defence ministry said.

At least 49 Armenian and 50 Azerbaijani military were killed on Tuesday in clashes along the countries' border, prompting an appeal for calm from Russian President Vladimir Putin. Both sides blamed each other for the fighting . read more

The clashes have raised fears of another major armed conflict in the former Soviet Union while Russia's military is tied up with the invasion of Ukraine.

A full-fledged conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan would risk dragging in Russia and Turkey, and destabilise an important corridor for pipelines carrying oil and gas just as confrontation over Ukraine disrupts energy supplies.

Azerbaijan accused Armenia, which is in a military alliance with Moscow and home to a Russian military base, of firing mortars and artillery against its military units. It said that two civilians had been injured since the clashes erupted.

"Our positions are periodically being fired against at the moment," Azerbaijan's defence ministry said. "Our units are taking the necessary response measures."

On Tuesday, Armenia said its neighbour struck well inside its territory, including Jermuk, a resort town known for its hot springs.

Reuters was unable to immediately verify battlefield accounts from either side.

DIPLOMATIC EFFORTS

The flare-up in violence has triggered international concern, with Russia, United States, France and the European Union calling for restraint and stepping up diplomatic efforts to end the fighting.

U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken on Tuesday said Russia could either "stir the pot" or use its influence in the region to help "calm the waters". He held separate calls with Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan and Azerbaijaini President Ilham Alyiev to urge them to end military action.

EU Special Representative Toivo Klaar was set to arrive in the south Caucasus on Wednesday to facilitate dialogue between Baku and Yerevan.

The Moscow-led Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO), to which Armenia had appealed after the clashes erupted, dispatched a delegation to assess the situation on the border.

Armenia and Azerbaijan have been fighting for decades over Nagorno-Karabakh, a mountainous enclave internationally recognised as part of Azerbaijan but which until 2020 was populated and fully controlled by ethnic Armenians.

Azerbaijan won significant territorial gains in and around Nagorno-Karabakh in a six-week war that year. Skirmishes have erupted periodically despite a Russian-brokered ceasefire.

Reporting in Nailia Bagirova in Baku, Gabrielle Tétrault-Farber in Tbilisi and Lidia Kelly in Melbourne; Editing by Guy Faulconbridge and Frank Jack Daniel

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

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2022-09-14 08:31:00Z
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Shadow of war darkens von der Leyen's big speech - POLITICO Europe

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Europe has swapped one existential crisis for another since Ursula von der Leyen last took the stage to deliver her annual State of the Union address. 

The coronavirus pandemic that dominated the first half of her mandate has faded. Now, Russia is waging war on the EU’s doorstep. 

More than six months on, Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine is set to dominate von der Leyen’s speech to the European Parliament on Wednesday — a fixture on the EU calendar that sets out her legislative and political priorities for the year ahead each fall. 

Attending as the guest of honor will be Ukrainian first lady Olena Zelenska, a reminder of how the war now permeates every part of policymaking in Brussels. The conflict has upended geopolitical alliances and destabilized European economies, sending energy costs soaring, fueling runaway inflation, and pushing EU governments to sanction Moscow and arm Ukraine.

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But if Ukrainians hope that Wednesday’s speech will herald more concrete help for their war effort, they can think again. The Commission president is not expected to announce any new pledges of military support, or new sanctions against Russia — despite Kyiv crying out for both. 

That is despite the fact that von der Leyen will be speaking at a critical moment on the battlefield, with Ukraine’s eastern counteroffensive making rapid gains in recent days. Ukraine’s sudden military progress has also revived criticism that European countries like Germany and France should be doing more to help defeat Russian forces. 

Von der Leyen is expected to instead highlight other EU initiatives, like improving Ukraine’s access to the single market — a key talking point at a meeting of EU and Ukrainian officials earlier this month in Brussels.  

Von der Leyen will be speaking at what is a critical moment on the battlefield, with Ukraine’s eastern counteroffensive making rapid gains in recent days | Juan Barreto/AFP via Getty Images

With European citizens braced for spikes in energy prices as winter approaches, von der Leyen will shed more light on her plans announced last week to tackle the bloc’s energy crisis. But she is not expected to detail a price cap on gas, which many EU governments are calling for to ease the pain of high costs for consumers and businesses. Instead, she’s likely to opt for less-radical plans to curb the impact of soaring energy prices.

These are set to include mandatory electricity rationing and clawbacks of excess profits from electricity producers that generate power from sources other than gas. The approach reflects the division among member states over more aggressive measures like the outright price cap on gas from Russia, which von der Leyen proposed last week. 

The annual State of the Union address is a tradition borrowed from the U.S., where the president addresses a joint session of Congress at the start of each year. As always, the location matters.

Given that von der Leyen will be addressing lawmakers in the European Parliament, some mention is expected of the Conference of the Future of Europe — a year-long initiative that wrapped up in May and aimed to make the EU more relevant to citizens. The initiative’s recommendations are still sitting in the inbox of Commission officials and EU leaders.

The speech, which begins at 9 a.m., will be followed by a debate in the Parliament chamber, providing the first chance for lawmakers to respond to von der Leyen’s remarks. Whether her priorities register with the citizens of Europe further afield is another matter.

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2022-09-14 02:21:19Z
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Senin, 12 September 2022

Ukraine faces 'tough fight' even as some Russian forces retreat, says US - Financial Times

Ukraine still faces “a tough fight” after Russia gave up most of the territory it had taken near Kharkiv following a lightning counteroffensive that forced many of its retreating troops to leave the country, according to the Pentagon.

A senior military official said on Monday that the Russian military “had largely ceded their gains” around Ukraine’s second-largest city and had “withdrawn to the north and the east”, adding that “many of these forces have moved over the border into Russia”.

The Pentagon’s assessment came as US officials expressed cautious optimism about the Ukrainian counteroffensive while warning that the rapid advances had not fundamentally changed the near-term outlook on the battleground.

“This continues to be a tough fight for the Ukrainians,” the official said. “Our focus will be to continue to work closely with the Ukrainians and the international community to provide them with the support that they need as they push back on the Russian invaders.”

US secretary of state Antony Blinken said that while Ukrainian forces have made “significant progress” in their counteroffensive, particularly in the north-east, it “is too early to tell exactly where this is going”.

Speaking at a press conference in Mexico City, he said Russia continues to pour resources into the war.

“The Russians maintain very significant forces in Ukraine, as well as equipment and arms and munitions,” Blinken said. “They continue to use it indiscriminately against not just the Ukrainian armed forces but civilians and civilian infrastructure.”

Some western officials have been emboldened by Ukraine’s progress, saying that recent advances have bolstered the case for Nato countries and partners to provide it with lethal aid.

The US is aware of reports that Russian forces abandoned equipment as they retreated, “which could be indicative of Russia’s disorganised command and control”, the official added.

A senior US defence official said Washington and its allies were discussing Ukraine’s longer-term needs, such as air defences, and whether it may be appropriate to give Kyiv fighter aircraft in the “medium- to longer-term”.

Ukrainian military officials have said they have reclaimed more than 3,000 sq km of terrain in what has become Moscow’s biggest military setback since it was forced to scrap plans to conquer Kyiv and retreated from the country’s north in March.

Officials and analysts forecast that Ukraine would continue to advance but that Russia may be able to take back some territory, adding that they did not expect progress to be linear.

Karine Jean-Pierre, White House press secretary, said it was up to Ukraine to detail its progress but added it was “clear they are fighting hard to defend their country and take back territory”. The US would “continue to support their need to succeed on the battlefield”.

She added that the White House was grateful to Congress “for the bipartisan support that has made it possible to provide Ukraine with unprecedented military, humanitarian [and] financial support”.

Jean-Pierre said the US and its allies “have worked to fulfil the Ukraine request for what they need to be successful on the battlefield — and that’s what we’re going to continue to do”.

The US has committed much of the $40bn aid package for Ukraine that President Joe Biden signed in May, which was meant to last until the end of September. He has asked Congress for about $13bn more in assistance for the country, including lethal aid, and Washington is expected to announce another weapons package in the coming days.

The tentatively encouraging assessment from US officials came after the Kremlin said it would press on with its invasion of Ukraine “until all the goals that were originally set are achieved”.

The Russian defence ministry has acknowledged its troops have pulled back in the Kharkiv region, but authorities have avoided calling it a retreat.

On Monday, Ukrainian troops tried to consolidate the gains made since launching the offensive east of Kharkiv. In Izyum, a critical logistics hub where thousands of Russian troops had been stationed, Ukrainian soldiers hoisted the national flag over the central district government building in the main square.

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2022-09-12 22:13:01Z
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Russia to press on 'until all the goals' achieved in Ukraine, says Kremlin - Financial Times

Russia will push on with its invasion of Ukraine until all military goals are met, the Kremlin has said, as it responded to Kyiv’s massive counter-offensive in the east, which has reclaimed more than 3,000 sq km of terrain.

The Russian military setback is the Kremlin’s biggest since it was forced to U-turn on plans to take the Ukrainian capital and has led to a rising tide of recriminations in Moscow over who is to blame.

President Vladimir Putin is fully briefed on the relocation of Russian forces, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov told reporters on Monday. The defence ministry has acknowledged Russian troops were pulled back in the Kharkiv region, but authorities have since avoided calling it a retreat.

“The president is in constant, round-the-clock communication with the minister of defence, and with all the military commanders,” Peskov said.

Asked if Putin still trusted his military leadership, Peskov replied that the “special military operation” — the name Moscow gives to its invasion of Ukraine — will continue, and “will continue until all the goals that were originally set are achieved”.

On Monday, Ukrainian troops worked to consolidate gains they had made since launching the offensive east of Kharkiv. In Izyum, a key logistics hub where thousands of Russian troops had been stationed, Ukrainian soldiers hoisted the national flag over the central district government building in the main square.

Nataliya Humenyuk, spokeswoman for Ukraine’s southern operations command, said on Monday that the country’s forces in the southern Kherson region, where Ukraine initiated an earlier counter-offensive, had also liberated about 500 sq km of territory from Russia’s forces.

Towns liberated included Visokopiylya, Novovoznesenske, Bilohirka, Sukhy Stavok and Myrolyubivka, she said.

Tensions have also risen over artillery strikes at the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant in southern Ukraine, which Kyiv and Moscow blame on each other.

Later on Monday President Volodymyr Zelenskyy of Ukraine in his nightly address suggested that the extent of retaken territory had increased again since earlier reports: “From the beginning of September through today, our soldiers have already liberated more than 6,000 sq km of Ukrainian territory — in the east and south,” he said. “The movement of our troops continues.”

In a phone call with French president Emmanuel Macron on Sunday, Putin warned of potential “catastrophic consequences” of what he claimed was Ukrainian shelling targeting the plant. Ukrainian officials say it is Russian forces that are hitting the facility as a provocation.

Macron said it was Russia that was responsible for tensions at the site and demanded the withdrawal of Moscow’s forces.

Russian media reports appeared to shift after the rapid advances, which followed weeks of stalemate.

Over the weekend, Russian state television anchors spoke of fierce fighting in the east, while pro-war reporters and bloggers wrote frank posts online about the rout.

“Well, brothers and sisters. Are you depressed? Screaming?” state TV reporter Andrey Medvedev wrote on Telegram on Saturday, as Russian troops pulled back from Izyum. “I know, I agree, it’s been a hard day. It’s very difficult, and it won’t be the last.”

Other reporters embedded with Russian troops live blogged their experience of the withdrawal — and cautioned leaders to learn some lessons from the defeat.

“The army will definitely stand up, there will be new victories,” military reporter German Kulikovsky wrote to his half a million subscribers. 

“But! If conclusions are not made . . . on everything, from infantry platoon tactics, to new weapon systems . . . then it will be tough times ahead not just for me and those involved in the special military operation, but for all Russian society.”

Additional reporting by Ben Hall in London

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2022-09-12 21:16:33Z
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Ukraine's defence minister warns of Russian counter-attack - Financial Times

Ukraine needs to secure the vast territory it has recaptured from possible Russian counter-attack, the country’s defence minister has warned, as he said Kyiv’s lightning offensive had gone far “better than expected”.

The attack has routed the Kremlin’s forces, led to the recapture of 3,000 sq km of Ukrainian territory and prompted an unusual admission by Russia’s defence ministry that its troops had to retreat. On Monday morning, Ukraine was also restoring power services after Russian strikes had attacked the country’s infrastructure in retaliation.

“A counter-offensive liberates territory and after that you have to control it and be ready to defend it,” defence minister Oleksii Reznikov told the Financial Times, while cautioning: “Of course, we have to be worried, this war has worried us for years.”

On Sunday night Russia lashed out against Ukraine with artillery and missile strikes launched from the Black Sea.

In Kharkiv, the night sky lit up following a strike on the country’s second-largest thermal power plant, causing a total blackout. A total blackout also hit the Donetsk region, while Zaporizhzhia, Dnipropetrovsk and Sumy experienced partial ones.

The Russian forces are “terrorists and remain terrorists and attack critical infrastructure. No military facilities, the goal is to deprive people of light and heat,” President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said in a tweet.

Russia’s most vocal pro-war commentators celebrated civilian areas being left without power: “Hey neighbours, what’s up with the light?” Russia Today’s editor Margarita Simonyan taunted. 

However, by Monday morning Ukraine had restored power and water services to Kharkiv city while elsewhere in the region electricity services were 80 per cent recovered, according to Kyrylo Tymoshenko, deputy head of the office of president Zelenskyy.

Zelenskyy later wrote on Telegram: “Do you still think that we [Russians and Ukrainians] are ‘one people’? Do you still think that you can scare us, break us? . . . We will be with gas, light, water and food . . . and WITHOUT you!”

The president also hailed the “liberation” of the three towns of Balakliia, Izyum and Kupyansk.

The Ukrainian blitzkrieg — which Reznikov described as a “snowball rolling down a hill” — is the biggest setback so far for Russia since the full-scale invasion that its president Vladimir Putin ordered on February 24.

Ramzan Kadyrov, the strongman leader of Chechnya, which has supported Moscow by sending troops, criticised Russia’s military for the retreat and said if their strategy did not change, he would speak to the “leadership of the country”.

“Mistakes were made. I think they’ll draw conclusions. It might not be nice when you tell someone the truth to their face, but I like telling the truth,” he said.

The Ukrainian offensive marks a success along the northernmost of the three active front lines in the conflict and Kyiv’s forces continued to press home the advantage on Sunday. General Valerii Zaluzhnyi, commander of the armed forces, said they were just 50km from the Russian border. Photographs he posted on Telegram showed military positions that Russian troops had abandoned in such a hurry that meals were left set out on wooden tables.

“The Armed Forces of Ukraine continue to liberate territories occupied by Russia,” Zaluzhnyi wrote. “Since the beginning of September, more than 3,000 sq km have been returned.”

Oleksii Reznikov
Oleksii Reznikov: ‘A counter-offensive liberates territory and after that you have to control it and be ready to defend it’ © Sascha Steinbach/EPA-EFE/Shutterstock

Russian sympathisers had also fled from occupied territories in the Luhansk region, south-east of Kharkiv, said Serhiy Hayday, the Ukrainian head of the region’s military administration.

“Massive de-occupation is on the horizon,” Hayday said on Ukrainian television on Sunday. “Maybe this [victory] will not be in a day or two, but it will happen soon . . . We can say that their morale is shattered.”

Reznikov said Ukrainian troops were tired after the six-day attack but morale was high because “it’s a sign that Russia can be defeated”.

He cautioned that Russian reinforcements could launch a counter-attack on his country’s stretched supply lines and Ukrainian forces could also be encircled by fresh Russian troops if they advanced too far.

Russia’s defence ministry acknowledged on Saturday that its forces had pulled back from the strategic city of Izyum, claiming it had decided to “regroup” and transfer them south-east to the Donetsk region

Ukrainian troops had encircled Kupyansk, north of Izyum, a road and rail hub that supplies Russia’s defences across north-eastern Ukraine. This left thousands of Russian troops cut off from supplies across a stretch of fiercely contested battleground.

The liberation of Izyum “would be the most significant Ukrainian military achievement since winning the battle of Kyiv in March”, analysts at the US-based Institute for the Study of War said.

Officials and military analysts cautioned that the offensive’s success did not mean that Ukrainian troops were about to roll back Russian forces to the border.

Reznikov said the nearly simultaneous counter-offensive around Kherson was making slower progress because it was an agricultural region “with irrigation channels” the Russians could use as defensive trenches.

Casualties there have reportedly been heavy and Ukraine’s general staff said 1,200 Chechen soldiers had been deployed to reinforce Russian positions.

Reznikov said the Chechens were being used to stop frontline troops from deserting their positions.

“The news from the ministry of defence about retreating will spread quickly,” said Dara Massicot, a Russia military expert at the Rand Corporation, a US think-tank. “Moscow should not underestimate how quickly bad news, panic and rumours can cascade along the front — especially given the force exhaustion that comes from months of fighting, a lack of reserves and rest.”

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2022-09-12 08:45:52Z
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