Rabu, 21 September 2022

Vladimir Putin mobilises army and issues nuclear threat - Financial Times

Vladimir Putin has ordered the mobilisation of army reservists to support Moscow’s ailing campaign in Ukraine and warned that he would use Russia’s nuclear arsenal if its “territorial integrity” was “threatened”, declaring: “This is not a bluff.”

The warning, which sparked immediate alarm in Washington and elsewhere, came as Putin claimed the west wanted to “weaken, divide and destroy Russia” and pressed on with plans to annex swaths of Ukrainian territory.

Joe Biden hit out at Putin’s “overt nuclear threats against Europe [and] reckless disregard for the responsibilities of a non-proliferation regime”, attacking the referendum and mobilisation plans as “outrageous acts”.

The US president added, in a speech to the UN General Assembly: “This war is about extinguishing Ukraine’s right to exist as a state, plain and simple . . . That should make your blood run cold.”

Moscow announced the “partial mobilisation” of 300,000 reservists ahead of heavily stage-managed votes in four occupied regions of Ukraine to join Russia.

Western officials have estimated that at present there are between 150,000 and 190,000 Russian forces on the ground in Ukraine.

The results of the “referendums”, starting on Friday, in the Russian-controlled areas of the Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson and Zaporizhzhia regions are in effect a foregone conclusion, with the Kremlin in charge of the vote. It insists over 80 per cent of the population in Kherson and Zaporizhzhia and more than 90 per cent in Donetsk and Luhansk want to join Russia.

“Russia can’t give up people close to her to be torn apart by executioners and fail to respond to their desire to determine their own fate,” Putin said.

In his reference to Russia’s nuclear capability, he added: “If its territorial integrity is threatened Russia will use all the means at its disposal.”

Nato secretary-general Jens Stoltenberg attacked Putin’s “dangerous and reckless nuclear rhetoric”, adding: “He knows very well that a nuclear war should never be fought and cannot be won, and it will have unprecedented consequences for Russia.”

Other western officials said the rapid annexation plan and partial mobilisation were signs of Putin’s weakness.

Biden said the Russian war in Ukraine violated the United Nations charter, promising to continue supporting Ukraine’s efforts to defend itself.

Russia appeared to acknowledge that advanced western weaponry such as the US-manufactured Himars rocket launcher system had begun to turn the tide on the battlefield.

“We are not at war with Ukraine, but with the collective west,” defence minister Sergei Shoigu said in a state television interview.

He added that Moscow would only call up reserves, rather than deploy the conscript army. This would add 300,000 people to Russia’s fighting force, he said, asserting that those called up would have combat experience and military specialisations.

“These are not people who’ve never seen or heard anything about the army,” he said. “We’re not talking about the mobilisation of any students . . . They can calmly keep going to class,” Shoigu said. He claimed that after the reserves were called up, Russia would still have only used up 1 per cent of its mobilisation potential.

Russia’s invasion has faltered badly, with invading forces taking heavy casualties before retreating from central Ukraine in the spring and then ceding huge swaths of territory in the eastern Kharkiv region following a Ukrainian counter-offensive this month.

Additional reporting by Roman Olearchyk in Kyiv and Felicia Schwartz in New York

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2022-09-21 17:37:41Z
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Selasa, 20 September 2022

Speculation that Putin will give national address defending efforts to annex Ukrainian regions - Sky News

Vladimir Putin is expected to deliver a national address later - his first since he ordered his troops into Ukraine in February.

There had been speculation in Russian news media that he would speak to Russians on Tuesday evening but this did not happen, and no reason was given.

It comes after separatist leaders in four Russian-occupied regions in eastern Ukraine announced plans to hold referendums on joining Russia later this week.

Mr Putin is expected to defend the move, which would pave the way for the formal annexation of swathes of territory after nearly seven months of war.

The self-styled Donetsk (DPR) and the Luhansk People's Republics (LPR), which Mr Putin recognised as independent states just before the invasion on 24 February, have both said they will hold referendums beginning this Friday and until Tuesday.

The Kherson and Zaporizhzhia regions, which have yet to be recognised as independent states by Russia, have also said they will hold votes of their own.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said the situation clearly showed his country had the initiative in the conflict, adding that "noisy news from Russia" would not change Ukraine's position.

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'Referendums are an act of desperation from Russians'

The White House said the US will reject the plans to hold referendums, while Ukraine dismissed the move as a stunt by Moscow to try to reclaim the initiative after crushing losses on the battlefield.

And French President Emmanuel Macron said the referendums will not be recognised by the international community.

NATO chief Jens Stoltenberg tweeted: "Sham referendums have no legitimacy and do not change the nature of Russia's war of aggression against Ukraine. This is a further escalation in Putin's war. The international community must condemn this blatant violation of international law and step up support for Ukraine."

Moscow does not fully control any of the four regions, with only around 60% of Donetsk region in Russian hands, but if it goes ahead with the referendums and joins all four to Russia then Ukraine - and potentially its Western backers too - would, from a Russian perspective, be fighting against Russia itself.

'Panic' within Kremlin amid Ukraine's counter-offensive - all latest Ukraine news, live

Volodymyr Zelenskyy says Ukraine will regain all its territory
Image: Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has vowed Ukraine would regain all its territory

That would raise the risk of a direct military confrontation between Russia and the NATO military alliance, a scenario US President Joe Biden has said could lead to World War Three, because NATO-members are supplying arms and giving intelligence to Ukraine.

Commentators have agreed the move could escalate Moscow's stand-off with the West as it comes after recent territorial gains made by Ukrainian forces, pushed Russian troops very much onto the back foot.

The world has been waiting as Mr Putin has pondered his next steps following the bruising pushbacks.

Analysis: Russia makes new stand after being thrown back by rapid Ukrainian offensive

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What is Russia's next military step

Ukraine said the threat of referendums was "naive blackmail" and a sign Russia was running scared.

"This is what the fear of defeat looks like. The enemy is afraid, and obfuscates primitively," said Mr Zelenskyy's chief of staff Andriy Yermak.

Dmitry Medvedev, a former Russian president who is currently deputy chairman of its Security Council, suggested the outcome of any referendums would be irreversible.

The territory Russia currently controls in Ukraine amounts to more than 90,000 square km, or about 15% of the country's total area - equal to the size of Hungary or Portugal.

Russia annexed Crimea in 2014. With Crimea and the territory in the four other regions, Russia would gain an area of around 120,000 square km, about the same size as the US state of Pennsylvania. England is around 130,000 sq km.

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2022-09-21 01:11:21Z
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Why is Russia calling 'votes' in occupied Ukraine? - BBC

Russian President Vladimir Putin speaks during a meeting on the military-industrial complex at the Kremlin, September 20, 2022Getty Images

Russian-backed officials in four occupied regions of Ukraine have declared self-styled referendums on joining Russia.

There are echoes of Russia's annexation of Crimea, but this is different, as all four regions are at war and Russia seized Crimea without a gun being fired.

What is going on and why now?

After almost seven months of war, Russia's Vladimir Putin is on the back foot. Ukraine's counter-offensive has recaptured swathes of territory seized in the months after Russia's 24 February invasion.

He is under pressure from hardliners to respond, and backing Crimea-style referendums provides his critics with an answer. Russian media are already releasing opinion polls claiming widespread support for joining Russia, but they are as spurious as the votes being held in the middle of a war, with no proper scrutiny or legitimacy.

Just as his 2014 vote in Crimea was rejected as a sham by the international community, so are these, condemned already by the leaders of France and Germany.

But President Putin may feel that declaring occupied areas as Russian territory could change the course of the war, as it will enable him to tell Ukraine's Western backers to stop supplying arms. American Himars missile launchers in particular have hit Russian forces hard.

Russia analyst Alexander Baunov says Russia's hope is that the West will baulk at the thought of fighting in what Russia considers its territory.

What makes these votes a sham?

For five days, from 23-27 September, four regions of Ukraine that are partially or almost completely occupied by Russia will hold self-styled referendums, with voting either in person or remotely.

The vote is on joining the Russian Federation and the Russian-installed head of Kherson region in the south, Vladimir Saldo said incorporating it into Russia would "secure our territory and restore historical justice".

The regional capital, Kherson city, is not a safe place right now, with Russian soldiers struggling to hold back a big Ukrainian counter-offensive. The central administration building was hit by a series of missiles only last week. A secure vote is impossible.

Then there's Zaporizhzhia's capital, which remains securely in Ukrainian hands, so any vote to annex that region makes little sense.

Map

Donetsk in the east is only 60% under Russian occupation and very much at the heart of the conflict, while Russia does control most of Luhansk in the north-east even if it has begun to lose ground.

Much of the pre-war population has fled the war. The head of Russia's proxy authority in Donetsk, Denis Pushilin, ordered a mass evacuation days before the invasion.

Russia's proxy leaders may have been keen to stage votes for several months, but this snap decision just three days in advance smacks of desperation.

In the words of France's Emmanuel Macron: "Russia started the war, invaded this region, bombed people, made people flee and now they are saying in this very region it's going to organise a referendum."

"We are seeing that local populations are all in favour of returning to Ukraine, and this is why there's so much guerrilla movement resistance in these territories, so these referendums are doomed," Ukrainian defence ministry adviser Yuriy Sak told the BBC.

What happens after annexation?

It is all so different from 2014. The Donetsk proxy leader has called on Mr Putin to respond to a positive decision after 27 September - "which we have no doubt about" - to consider it becoming part of Russia.

The Russian president most likely will decide to annex all four regions, but little will change on the ground as Ukraine's counter-offensive will continue.

Russia may well demand that Nato countries stop arming Ukraine but none of them will recognise the votes. As the Institute for the Study of War points out, Ukraine has already hit Russian military targets in Crimea, and there was no Russian retaliation.

Will Russia mobilise?

Until now, Russia's president has stopped short of declaring war, labelling this campaign a "special military operation". That has prevented full mobilisation and there is some talk that he may be on the verge of taking that step.

While the four regions were announcing their pseudo-votes, Russia's lower house of parliament was rushing through a change to the law introducing the concepts of "mobilisation" and "time of war" to the criminal code - with stiff penalties for desertion, surrender or going absent without leave (AWOL).

Mobilisation may now be on the table, but not immediately.

Mr Putin is signalling to his remaining allies that he is trying to end the war. Turkey's president said he even told him he was trying to do so as soon as possible.

However, if that doesn't work, Alexander Baunov believes he would then be able to blame others and turn his invasion of Ukraine into a defensive war. Moscow would then hope to legitimise the conflict for ordinary Russians and take further measures.

Is there a nuclear risk?

Russian propagandists regularly threaten the use of the country's nuclear arsenal, particularly now that their armed forces are losing on the battlefield in Ukraine. They have also painted the Ukraine campaign as a proxy war with Nato, even though Western leaders have been ultra-careful to avoid direct conflict.

The deputy head of Russia's security council, Dmitry Medvedev, issued a thinly veiled threat on Tuesday when he said that after annexation any encroachment on Russian territory could be met by "all the forces of self-defence".

Russian TV propagandist Margarita Simonyan went further, saying that strikes on Russian territory would become a "full-fledged war between Ukraine and Nato and Russia, untying Russia's hands".

UK Conservative MP Bob Seely, who has just visited Kyiv, believes the nuclear threat is largely a threat to intimidate and scare the West to halt Ukraine's supply of weapons.

But he warns of the danger that it could become self-fulfilling, so that Russia justifies the use of tactical nuclear weapons "to such an extent to themselves that it becomes eventually a rational response, however much we don't think it is a rational response".

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2022-09-20 21:30:52Z
1574218901

Senin, 19 September 2022

Russian missile narrowly misses Ukraine nuclear plant, says Kyiv - Financial Times

Russian forces carried out a missile strike that narrowly missed a nuclear power plant in southern Ukraine, officials in Kyiv said, days after an international watchdog warned that shelling at another atomic energy site risked causing a serious incident.

Ukraine’s president Volodymyr Zelenskyy on Monday said the strike nearly hit the Pivdennoukrainsk nuclear power plant in the Mykolayiv region, about 200km north of the southern frontline of fighting between Russian and Ukrainian troops.

“At night, a missile fell 300 metres from the Pivdennoukrainsk nuclear power plant,” Zelenskyy said in a Telegram channel post which included video footage purporting to show the strike and subsequent explosion. “Russia endangers the whole world. We have to stop it before it’s too late,” he added.

Energoatom, Ukraine’s state nuclear power company, said three reactors at the plant continued to operate and nobody was injured. It added that about 100 windows at the site were shattered and a brief power outage had occurred.

Ukraine’s energy minister, German Galushchenko, on Monday accused Moscow of adopting a “nuclear terror” strategy following the invasion of Russian troops in February. “Russia, in desperation, is putting the world on the brink of a nuclear catastrophe,” he said.

A senior US official said on Monday: “We assess that the strike hit a power station near the power plant but did not directly strike the power plant.” Moscow did not immediately confirm or deny the strike.

Ukraine and Russia have repeatedly accused each other of conducting artillery strikes at another atomic energy site — the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power station, located in the southern town of Energodar.

A CCTV camera image purportedly showing a Russian military strike at the Pivdennoukrainsk nuclear power plant
A CCTV camera image purportedly showing a Russian military strike at the Pivdennoukrainsk nuclear power plant © Reuters

The International Atomic Energy Agency, the UN’s nuclear watchdog, last week urged the Kremlin to surrender control of the Zaporizhzhia plant, warning that “persistent violent actions” at the site increased the risk of “a nuclear accident or incident”. The IAEA’s board adopted a resolution calling on Russia to “cease” all actions at and against the plant, and any other nuclear plant in Ukraine, to “ensure their safe and secure operation”.

Russian forces have stepped up missile attacks on critical infrastructure including electricity generators and a reservoir dam in the central city of Kryviy Rih, Zelenskyy’s hometown.

It follows a lightning counter-offensive in the north-eastern Kharkiv region that forced Moscow’s army to surrender more than 3,000 sq km of territory. It was the biggest military success by Ukraine’s forces since they repelled Russia’s attempt early in the war to capture the capital, Kyiv.

Ukraine last week claimed to have uncovered a mass grave of more than 440 people in the north-eastern city of Izyum that was recaptured as part of the operation. It said the discovery was further evidence of war crimes committed by Russian forces. On Monday, Russian president Vladimir Putin’s spokesperson, Dmitry Peskov, said the claims were untrue. “It’s a lie,” he said.

Oleg Synegubov, governor of the Kharkiv region, said on Monday that of the “146 bodies exhumed so far, the vast majority of were civilians, including two children.”

“Some of the dead have signs of violent death, there are bodies with tied hands and traces of torture. The deceased were also found to have mine-explosive injuries, shrapnel and stab wounds,” he added in a Telegram channel post.

Ukrainian forces, increasingly armed by the west with modern weaponry, this weekend claimed they had added to territory regained in the Kharkiv region by taking parts of the east bank of the Oskil river and its reservoir. That would bring its troops closer to the border of the Russia-controlled far eastern Luhansk region. It would also put them within artillery striking range of roads supplying Russia’s largest eastern concentration of forces in northern parts of the Donetsk region.

The two regions make up the Donbas, the “liberation” of which Russia’s president claimed as justification for the invasion launched by his troops seven months ago.

In an interview aired this weekend on CBS’s 60 Minutes programme, US president Joe Biden said Ukraine was “defeating Russia”, adding that victory meant “to get Russia out of Ukraine completely”.

Addressing fears that Putin could resort to the use of tactical nuclear or chemical weapons, Biden said: “Don’t. Don’t. Don’t.”

“It would change the face of war unlike anything since world war two,” he added.

Additional reporting by Felicia Schwartz

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2022-09-19 16:57:15Z
1574495881

Queen Elizabeth funeral: World says goodbye to Her Majesty - Daily Mail

'Few leaders receive such an outpouring of love': World's media is captivated by 'tremendous' funeral for Queen Elizabeth and laments that 'we will never see anything like it again'

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2022-09-19 13:01:39Z
1562509238

Biden again says US would defend Taiwan if China attacks - bbc.co.uk

Taiwan aricraft in military expercise, spetember 2022EPA

US President Joe Biden has again said the US would defend Taiwan in the event of an attack by China.

Asked in a CBS interview if US troops would defend the island, Mr Biden said: "Yes, if in fact, there was an unprecedented attack."

The remarks prompted the White House to clarify that US policy had not changed.

Washington has long maintained a stance of "strategic ambiguity" - it does not commit to defending Taiwan, but also does not rule out the option.

Taiwan is a self-ruled island off the coast of eastern China that Beijing claims as part of its territory.

Washington has always walked a diplomatic tightrope over the issue.

On the one hand it adheres to the One China policy, a cornerstone of its relationship with Beijing. Under this policy, the US acknowledges that there is only one Chinese government, and has formal ties with Beijing rather than Taiwan.

But it also maintains close relations with Taiwan and sells arms to it under the Taiwan Relations Act, which states that the US must provide the island with the means to defend itself.

Taiwan responded to Mr Biden's remarks on Monday by welcoming the "US government's rock-solid security commitment to Taiwan". Taipei said it would continue to deepen its "close security partnership" with Washington.

Only earlier this month, the US agreed to sell $1.1bn (£955m) in weaponry and missile defence to Taiwan, provoking anger from China.

Beijing is yet to respond to Mr Biden's latest remarks, broadcast in a CBS 60 Minutes interview on Sunday. But China has previously condemned such comments from Mr Biden pledging US military action.

"Taiwan is an inalienable part of China's territory... The Taiwan question is purely China's internal affair that brooks no foreign interference," a foreign ministry spokesman had said in May.

That was in response to Mr Biden's comments in Tokyo in May when he said "Yes" when asked if the US would defend Taiwan. The White House had quickly issued a follow up saying there was no departure from long-standing US policy.

This time too the White House issued a statement, downplaying the president's comments: "The President has said this before, including in Tokyo earlier this year. He also made clear then that our Taiwan policy hasn't changed. That remains true."

It's the third time since October last year that President Biden has gone further than the official stance.

But in the interview on Sunday, Mr Biden reiterated that the US was not encouraging Taiwan independence.

"There's a One China policy and Taiwan makes their own judgements on their independence. We are not moving, not encouraging their being independent - that's their decision," he said.

Tensions between US and China have ramped up after US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi made a controversial visit to the island in August - a trip Mr Biden had said was "not a good idea".

Beijing responded with a five-day military blockade around Taiwan. The US claims China shot missiles over the island, but Beijing did not confirm this. Taiwan said the missiles China fired flew high into the atmosphere and posed no threat.

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2022-09-19 05:46:29Z
1573459799

Minggu, 18 September 2022

Super typhoon Nanmadol batters southern Japan, 'forcing more than 8 million to flee their homes' - Sky News

As an intense typhoon batters southern Japan with torrential rain and gales, authorities have ordered millions people to evacuate their homes, according to local reports.

Public broadcaster NHK said local governments have now ordered more than eight million people in southern and western Japan to flee due to Typhoon Nanmadol, which has already triggered power blackouts and flight cancellations.

Officials issued the highest grade on Japan's disaster warning scale - a level 5 alert - to more than 330,000 people in Kagoshima, Miyazaki and Oita prefectures, NHK said.

The level 4 alert that prompts the evacuation order for eight million people affects 3.7 million households in parts of the Kyushu, Shikoku and Chugoku regions.

Weather forecasters have warned of strong winds and high waves "like never experienced before", with the threat of rivers overflowing, high waves, violent winds and landslides.

Typhoon Nanmadol, classified as a super typhoon by the US Navy's Joint Typhoon Warning Center, has been slowly heading north to the country's main southern island of Kyushu.

The Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) said the area faces being deluged by 500mm (20in) of rain and wind gusts of up to 155mph (250kph) on Sunday.

More on Japan

It also warned residents of "unprecedented" levels of powerful winds and waves in some areas, urging them to evacuate early.

Nanmadol is expected to turn east and reach Tokyo on Tuesday before moving out to sea.

In affected areas, thousands of residents have taken shelter at evacuation centres.

A high wave overflows a breakwater at Haruno Fishery Port in Kochi Prefecture on Sept. 18, 2022. ..According to Japan Meteorological Agency, Typhoon Nanmadol has become the highest classification of "violent" and it issued a special warning for southwestern regions in Kyushu, where a large-scale disaster could be imminent. The massive typhoon will keep on hitting Japan through early next week. ( The Yomiuri Shimbun via AP Images )
Image: Pic: Kyodo News via AP

Kyushu Electric Power Company said more than 93,000 homes across the island were without electricity on Sunday because of damage to power lines.

Hundreds of domestic flights in and out of the region have been cancelled and more are planned to be grounded in western Japan until Tuesday.

Public transport, including rail services and buses, have also been suspended along with the famous bullet train.

Hundreds of shops have closed in the face of the extreme weather.

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2022-09-18 16:18:01Z
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