Kamis, 15 Februari 2024

Israel Gaza: Netanyahu vows to press ahead with Rafah offensive - BBC

A young child peeks over the rim of an empty bowl she holds while standing in a crowd awaiting food aid in RafahReuters

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has insisted his troops will advance on the Gazan city of Rafah, defying outside pleas to reconsider.

French President Emmanuel Macron was among those warning Mr Netanyahu off, telling him the human cost of Israel's operation in Gaza was "intolerable".

But Mr Netanyahu has ordered his army to prepare for a ground assault.

Some 1.4 million Palestinians are sheltering in Rafah, which has already come under bombardment.

Mr Netanyahu vowed to press on with a "powerful" assault, declaring that Hamas, the group which controls Gaza, must be eliminated from the southern city.

"We will fight until complete victory and this includes a powerful action also in Rafah after we allow the civilian population to leave the battle zones," he said.

President Macron phoned Mr Netanyahu on Wednesday to say Israel's operations in Gaza "must cease".

He expressed "France's firm opposition to an Israeli offensive in Rafah, which could only lead to a humanitarian disaster of a new magnitude".

The prime ministers of Australia, Canada and New Zealand issued a joint statement expressing their "grave concern" that a military operation in Rafah would be "catastrophic".

"We urge the Israeli government not to go down this path," the statement read, adding "the impacts on Palestinian civilians from an expanded military operation would be devastating".

German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock, visiting Israel, warned that people in Rafah with nowhere to go could not "simply vanish into thin air."

Spain and the Republic of Ireland have asked the EU, of which they are members, to examine "urgently" whether Israel is complying with its human rights obligations in Gaza under an accord linking rights to trade.

The health ministry in the Hamas-run Palestinian territory reports that at least 28,576 people, mostly women and children, have been killed as a result of Israel's offensive in Gaza.

Israel took action after Hamas-led gunmen killed at least 1,200 people and seized 253 hostages in a surprise attack on its territory on 7 October.

In the earlier days of the war, Israel had instructed Palestinians to seek refuge in Rafah as the Israeli military moved against the northern cities.

Rafah is Gaza's southern-most and features a crossing point into Egypt where humanitarian aid has been allowed to enter the Strip.

Now Israeli authorities want civilians to relocate to what they call a "humanitarian zone" - a thin strip of mainly agricultural land along the Mediterranean coast known as al-Mawasi.

Among the displaced civilians in Rafah was Ahlam Abu Assi, who told AFP news agency she "would rather die" there than return to famine-like conditions like those experienced by relatives who had stayed in Gaza City.

"My son and his children have nothing to eat. They cook a handful of rice and save it for the next day," she said.

Map showing Israeli ground operations in southern Gaza (4 February 2023)

Another city, Khan Younis, has been the focus of Israel's operations in the south of Gaza so far.

Thousands of displaced Palestinians sought shelter there in the Nasser hospital but are now also being ordered to evacuate.

Mr Netanyahu's vow to press on came after peace negotiations involving officials from the US, Israel, Egypt and Qatar ended inconclusively.

Israel's prime ministerial office said Hamas had presented no new offer for a hostage deal and Israel would not accept the militant group's "ludicrous demands".

"A change in Hamas' positions will make it possible to move forward in the negotiations," it added.

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2024-02-15 02:33:06Z
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Russia seeks new nuclear capabilities in space, US intelligence shows - Financial Times

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  1. Russia seeks new nuclear capabilities in space, US intelligence shows  Financial Times
  2. GOP warning of 'national security threat' is about Russia wanting nuclear weapon in space: Sources  ABC News
  3. Top Republican warns of 'serious' national security threat  BBC
  4. US alarm at Russian plans to put nuclear missile in space  The Times
  5. Putin wanted to launch nuclear weapons into SPACE - fears of 'serious national security threat'  GB News

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Rabu, 14 Februari 2024

Selasa, 13 Februari 2024

How Trump blocked US aid for Ukraine - to help his bid to beat Biden - Sky News

The marathon overnight session in the Senate to pass a funding bill for Ukraine is a relief for Kyiv and for Europe, but it’s yet to pass the House of Representatives.

It may well not.

And the whole episode is indicative of an almighty American political mess.

The headline may be 'senate passes Ukraine spending bill' but the real story is about how we got to this point, and it is a story of raw ugly politics with huge implications.

Ukraine latest: Zelenskyy reacts to crucial US Senate vote

It is about American leadership, and it is about the extent to which Donald Trump is already shaping global geo-politics.

It's a tale that cuts to the heart of America's political chaos, but it's not altogether straightforward so bear with me…

'Secure our own borders first' - the Republican plan

Late last year, with America's cyclical funding contribution for Ukraine in need of being renewed, a new proposed bill was sent from the White House down Pennsylvania Avenue to Congress for approval.

That's where the problems began.

U.S. President Joe Biden speaks about the aid package for Ukraine, from the State Dining Room of the White House in Washington, D.C., U.S., February 13, 2024. REUTERS/Kevin Lamarque
Image: Joe Biden speaks about the aid package for Ukraine from White House. Pic: Reuters/Kevin Lamarque

Republicans, with justified concerns about America's domestic challenges, saw an opportunity.

Conservative America has huge worries about the Biden Administration's immigration policy and the chaotic status of the country's southern border with Mexico - which, incidentally, dwarf Europe's immigration challenges.

And so, Republicans decided to predicate their support for the Ukraine-Israel-Taiwan spending bill on Biden and the Democrats doing something about America's border-migration chaos.

The Republicans sold it as "why should we be helping Ukraine secure its own borders when our own are wide open".

It's an argument that resonates well in conservative parts of today's America.

MIGRATION-USA/MEXICO
Image: Mexico-US border. Pic: Reuters

The Democrats though saw it as an unacceptable conflation of two distinct challenges which put Ukraine's victory against Russia, and European security, in peril.

Nevertheless, they faced it head on. Biden and the Democrats produced their most conservative policy ever for America's southern border. It largely addressed the Republican concerns.

They were ready to put a broad "Southern border-Ukraine/Israel/Taiwan" package through Congress.

Here's where the raw politics comes in.

Trump got what he wanted - and rejected it anyway

Republican lawmakers on Capitol Hill rejected the Democrat domestic border proposals - the very proposals they had been calling for.

Why? Because Trump urged them to reject them. He even threatened that Republicans who voted for the border package would find their careers at an end.

Pic: Reuters
Image: Trump was the sole reason Republican lawmakers rejected Democrat domestic border proposals. Pic: Reuters

Trump and his allies recognised that a chaotic southern border helps him. If Biden sorted out the border, then he'd get the credit; it's no longer a tool for Trump as he seeks to beat Biden in November's election.

And so, with the overwhelming power he holds over conservative lawmakers in the lower house of Congress, he managed to block the southern border bill.

The whole package fell apart. Ukraine's ability to defend itself and the security of America's southern border were both in jeopardy and the victims of raw politics.

This prompted the Democrats to return to the original plan - not to conflate the domestic border with foreign spending.

So, they pushed through the Ukraine-Israel-Taiwan bill on its own.

Read more:
Joe Biden's allies brand attacks on president a 'bucket of BS'
US defence secretary admitted to hospital
Trump asks Supreme Court to delay election interference case

Today that passed the Senate - congress's upper house - inhabited on the right by more traditional, less Trumpian Republicans.

The question now is what Trump's foot-soldiers in the lower house will do.

Echoing into their lower chamber, the House of Representatives, from the Senate across the hall, are the words of the traditionalist titan of the Republican Party - and no fan of Donald Trump - Senator Mitt Romney:

"Now, I know that the shock jocks and online instigators have riled up many in the far reaches of my party. But if your position is being cheered by Vladimir Putin, it's time to reconsider your position."

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Biden slams Trump criticism of Nato as 'shameful' - BBC

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President Joe Biden has blasted criticism of Nato by his likely 2024 election challenger, Donald Trump, as "dumb", "shameful" and "un-American".

The Democrat assailed Mr Trump for saying he would "encourage" Russia to attack any Nato member that did not meet its defence spending quota.

Mr Biden said the remarks underscored the urgency of passing a $95bn (£75bn) foreign aid package for US allies.

The bill just passed the Senate, but it faces political headwinds in the House.

At the White House on Tuesday, Mr Biden said a failure to pass the package - which includes $60bn for Ukraine - would be "playing into Putin's hands".

He said the stakes have risen because of Mr Trump's "dangerous" remarks over the weekend.

"No other president in history has ever bowed down to a Russian dictator," Mr Biden said.

"Let me say this as clearly as I can. I never will. For God's sake. It's dumb. It's shameful. It's dangerous. It's un-American."

At a rally on Saturday in South Carolina, Mr Trump, a Republican, criticised "delinquent" payments by Nato members.

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He recounted a past conversation he said he had had with the head of "a big country" about a potential attack by Russia.

Mr Trump said the official had asked if the US would defend a Nato member that had not met its financial obligations.

"I said: 'You didn't pay? You're delinquent?'" Mr Trump told the crowd. "'No I would not protect you, in fact I would encourage them to do whatever they want. You gotta pay.'"

Mr Biden said his predecessor was treating the military alliance like a protection racket.

"As long as I'm president," he said, "if Putin attacks a Nato ally, the United States will defend every inch of Nato territory."

Mr Biden noted that the only time Nato has invoked Article 5 - part of its charter stipulating that an attack on any member state requires collective defence by all - was after the 11 September 2001 attacks on the US.

In a message aimed at House Republicans, the president said: "Are you going to stand with Ukraine or are you going to stand with Putin? Will you stand with America or Trump?"

According to a report in the Financial Times, Nato will announce on Wednesday that 18 of its 31 members will this year hit their targets of spending 2% of gross domestic product on their defence budgets.

Of Nato members, only one - Poland - spends a greater share of its GDP on defence than the US.

In 2016, only five Nato members met the same target, prompting harsh criticism from Mr Trump, who repeatedly suggested the US might withdraw from the alliance.

Graphic showing Nato defence spending as a % of GDP (added July 2023)

The spat between Mr Biden and Mr Trump over Ukraine aid and US-Nato relations highlights what could be one of the defining divides in the upcoming presidential election.

Mr Biden has frequently presented the US as a key participant in a generational global conflict between democratic nations and autocracies.

In his view, Ukraine is one of this conflict's pivotal battlegrounds, and European allies, both in Nato and the EU, are key partners.

During his four years as president, Mr Trump frequently downplayed US participation in multilateral alliances of any kind, instead focusing on direct relations with other nations and their leaders, with less of a defined global outlook beyond putting "America First".

If Nato and other US allies did not directly advance American interests, he has been comfortable suggesting that they are expendable.

The package approved by the Senate early on Tuesday includes $60bn earmarked for Ukraine, $8bn for Taiwan and other US allies in Asia, $14bn for Israel's war against Hamas and another $10bn for humanitarian aid in conflict zones, including Gaza.

It had the support of 22 Republican senators but met considerable resistance from conservative lawmakers who are against additional funds being sent abroad until the government tackles rising numbers of migrants at the southern US border.

A previous attempt to pass an $118bn aid package that included border security provisions collapsed after being criticised by Mr Trump.

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2024-02-13 22:46:17Z
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Russia-Ukraine war live: Moscow preparing for military confrontation with West ‘within next decade’, says Estonia - The Guardian

Russia is preparing for a military confrontation with the West within the next decade and could be deterred by a counter build-up of armed forces, Estonia’s Foreign Intelligence Service said.

A growing number of Western officials have warned of a military threat from Russia to countries along the eastern flank of Nato, calling for Europe to get prepared by rearming, Reuters reported.

The chief of the intelligence service said the assessment was based on Russian plans to double the number of forces stationed along its border with Nato members Finland and the Baltic States of Estonia, Lithuania and Latvia.

“Russia has chosen a path which is a long-term confrontation ... and the Kremlin is probably anticipating a possible conflict with Nato within the next decade or so,” Kaupo Rosin told reporters at the release of Estonia’s national security threats report.

A military attack by Russia is “highly unlikely” in the short term, he said, partly because Russia has to keep troops in Ukraine, and would remain unlikely if Russian buildup of forces was matched in Europe.

“If we are not prepared, the likelihood [of a military Russian attack] would be much higher than without any preparation,” Rosin added.

Estonia and the other Baltic States have increased their military spending to over 2% of the value of their economies after Russia annexed Crimea in 2014, and Nato allies have raised their presence in those countries.

The Democratic-led US Senate was expected to vote early on Tuesday for final passage of a $95.34 billion aid package for Ukraine, Israel and Taiwan, amid growing doubts about the legislation’s fate in the Republican-controlled House of Representatives.

Soon after lawmakers swept aside the last procedural hurdle facing the legislation late on Monday, Republican opponents of the bill took to the Senate floor for an overnight marathon of speeches, Reuters reported. Aides predicted that a vote on passage could begin before 7am EST (12pm GMT) on Tuesday.

Senate passage appears certain. Senate Republican leader Mitch McConnell has been able to deliver the support of least 17 members of his party conference, more than enough to exceed the 100-seat chamber’s 60-vote threshold for passage.

But both houses of Congress must approve the legislation before Democratic president Joe Biden can sign it into law. And the bill faces long odds in the House, where Republican speaker Mike Johnson faulted the measure for lacking conservative provisions to stem a record flow of migrants across the US-Mexico border.

Russia attacked the central Ukrainian city of Dnipro with missiles and drones on Tuesday, damaging a power plant and cutting off water supplies to some residents, Ukrainian officials and media said.

The city of just under one million people came under attack from a missile and four groups of drones approaching from the south, east and north, Ukraine Air Force said on the Telegram messaging app, Reuters reported.

Ukraine’s largest private energy provider, DTEK, said that a thermal power plant was significantly damaged. There were no casualties, it added.

The company did not say where the power plant was located, but Dnipro’s water utility company said on Telegram that “due to power outages” water supply had been partially suspended and Ukrainian media outlets said a power plant in Dnipro was hit.

Dnipro Mayor Borys Filatov said infrastructure had been hit, but gave no further details.

Russia’s response to the West’s seizure of its assets will be “tough,” Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova said on Tuesday, state news agency TASS reported.

“The attitude to the West will be like to thieves,” Zakharova said.

Good morning and welcome to the Ukraine live blog. We start with news that Russian forces are buying Starlink satellite internet terminals in “Arab countries” for use on the battlefield, Ukraine’s military spy agency has said.

The Elon Musk-owned service has been vital to Kyiv’s battlefield communications, but Ukrainian officials have said Russian forces are also increasingly relying on it during their nearly two-year-old invasion, Reuters reported.

The defence ministry’s Main Directorate of Intelligence (GUR) released what it said was an audio intercept of two Russian soldiers discussing buying units from Arab providers for around 200,000 roubles ($2,200) each.

“The aggressor state Russia is purchasing communications equipment, including Starlink satellite Internet terminals, for use in the war in Arab countries,” the ministry said on Telegram.

On Monday, GUR spokesman Andriy Yusov told Reuters that Russian forces were purchasing the terminals through unspecified third countries.

Starlink has said it does not do business with Russia or operate on Russian territory. The Kremlin said the terminals were neither certified for use in, nor officially supplied to, Russia, and therefore could not be used.

In other news:

  • Russia has hit Kyiv with what was probably a hypersonic Zircon missile, its first use in the nearly two-year-old war, a Ukrainian research institute has said. The Zircon has a range of 1,000km (625 miles) and travels at nine times the speed of sound, according to Russia. The Kyiv Scientific Research Institute for Forensic Examinations said pieces of debris that matched Zircon components were found after a strike on 7 February.

  • Russia said it completed testing of the Zircon missile in June 2022, and Vladimir Putin described it as part of a new generation of unrivalled arms systems. Russia has also attacked Ukraine with the Kinzhal hypersonic missile – which turned out to be a ground-launched ballistic missile dropped from a plane. It was supposed to be unstoppable, but Ukrainian troops have regularly shot them down with Patriot missiles.

  • Ukraine’s air force said Russia launched a missile and drone attack on Monday on the central city of Dnipro and the mayor said infrastructure had been hit. Suspilne public television quoted the water authority as saying power cuts had closed a pumping station and supplies were cut to certain districts.

  • A major Moscow-based online network has been spreading pro-Russian Ukraine war propaganda and disinformation in western Europe, French military and cybersecurity experts say. France’s Vignium agency, which works against foreign entities trying to sway public opinion, says the network, dubbed Portal Kombat, has operated at least 193 sites disseminating pro-Russian propaganda defending the invasion of Ukraine and criticising the government in Kyiv.

  • Hundreds of mourners on Monday attended the funeral of a family of five, including three small children, burned to death in a Russian drone attack in the north-eastern Ukrainian city of Kharkiv. Russian drones struck a fuel depot on Friday evening, triggering fires that engulfed an entire street, including the house in which the Putyatina family lived. An elderly couple died in the same street. More than 50 people were injured and 15 homes burned down.

  • Volodymyr Zelenskiy, Ukraine’s president, is planning a tour of western European capitals to lobby for aid for Ukraine around this week’s Munich security conference, Bloomberg News has reported.

  • The EU has adopted a law to set aside windfall profits made on about €300bn in frozen Russian central bank assets, in a first concrete step towards using the money to finance the reconstruction of Ukraine. The EU and G7 have been debating for over a year if and how the funds can be used.

  • After Vladimir Putin gave US interviewer Tucker Carlson his exhaustive version of Russia’s historical glory, a Mongolian leader has trolled Vladimir Putin over the size of defunct Eurasian empires. “After Putin’s talk. I found Mongolian historic map. Don’t worry. We are a peaceful and free nation,” wrote Tsakhia Elbegdorj, former Mongolian president, on Twitter/X. Elbegdorj, who was previously also Mongolian prime minister, is an international figure and was a leader in Monglia’s 1990 democratic revolution ending communist rule.

  • Russia on Monday imposed sanctions on 18 British citizens for what Moscow said was demonising Russia and escalating the war in Ukraine. Russia imposed what it called personal sanctions against deputy defence minister James Cartlidge, and a number of other officials and academics including historians Orlando Figes and Norman Davies and Russia specialist James Sherr.

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Farmers' protest: Delhi turns into fortress as thousands march to India capital - bbc.co.uk

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Police in northern India have fired tear gas to prevent thousands of protesting farmers demanding minimum crop prices from marching on Delhi.

The capital is ringed by razor wire, cement blocks and fencing on three sides to keep protests at bay.

The government fears a repeat of 2020 - dozens died in a year-long protest that ended only after ministers agreed to repeal controversial agriculture laws.

But just over two years later, farmers say other demands have not been met.

India's farmers form an influential voting bloc and and analysts say the government of Prime Minister Narendra Modi will be keen not to alienate them. His Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is seeking a third consecutive term in power in general elections this year.

Pictures on Tuesday showed thick clouds of tear gas being used to disperse protesters near the city of Ambala, about 200km (125 miles) north of the capital. On Monday, police fired tear gas at the Shambhu border between Haryana and Punjab states.

Farmers, most of whom are from Punjab, say they want to peacefully cross Haryana to reach Delhi, but they have not been allowed to do so. Scuffles between police and protesters have also been reported at the Shambhu border and the situation remains tense.

In 2020, protesting farmers hunkered down for months, blocking national highways that connect the capital to its neighbouring states. The movement was seen as one of the biggest challenges to Prime Minister Narendra Modi's government.

Traffic jams and disruptions were reported across Delhi on Tuesday as authorities blocked roads and diverted traffic.

Police have also prohibited large gatherings in the city, including at border points between Delhi and the neighbouring Uttar Pradesh and Haryana states, through which the farmers are expected to reach the capital.

In Haryana, the BJP-led state government has suspended internet services in seven districts until Tuesday. Two rounds of talks between farm union leaders and federal ministers have so far failed to break the deadlock.

Farmers are asking for assured floor prices - also known as minimum support price or MSP - which allows them to sell most of their produce at government-controlled wholesale markets or mandis. They are also demanding that the government fulfil its promise of doubling farmers' income.

Rapid Action Force (RAF) personnel stand guard at a road block during a strike called by farmers
Getty Images

On Monday, federal ministers held a six-hour-long meeting with farm union leaders. The two sides reportedly came to an agreement on some of the demands, including the withdrawal of cases registered against protesters during the 2020 protests.

But there was no consensus on the MSP. In 2021, after the farm laws were repealed, the government had said it would set up a panel to find ways to ensure support prices for all farm produce. But the committee is yet to submit its report.

More than 200 farmer unions are participating in the march. "We will move peacefully and our objective is that the government listens to our demands," Sarvan Singh Pandher, general secretary of the Punjab Kisan Mazdoor Sangharsh Committee, told ANI news agency.

Farmers' and trade unions have also announced a rural strike on 16 February during which no agricultural activities will be carried out. Shops, markets and offices in all villages will be closed while farmers will block major roads across the country.

Presentational grey line

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