Rabu, 01 Januari 2020

POLITICO Playbook: How Kim Jong Un rang in the New Year - Politico

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DRIVING THE DAY

KIM JONG UN kicked off the new decade as only a North Korean dictator with a growing arsenal knows how: By making threats. Pyongyang will no longer commit to limiting its nuclear and ballistic-missile development, he said, and is planning to unveil a new strategic weapon (read: nukes) “in the near future.”

Reading between the lines, it sounded to many like Kim was offering the U.S. one final chance to meet his demands. If America doesn’t make concessions, he warned, North Korea “will shift to a shocking actual action.”

PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP seems to have interpreted Kim’s message in the spirit of the season. Amid the New Year’s festivities at Mar-a-Lago, POTUS replied like so, per the White House transcript:

“I have a very good relationship with Kim Jong Un. I know he's sending out certain messages about Christmas presents and I hope his Christmas present is a beautiful vase. That's what I'd like, a vase, as opposed to something else.

“Look, he likes me, I like him, we get along. He's representing his country. I'm representing my country. We have to do what we have to do. But he did sign a contract, he did sign an agreement talking about denuclearization, and it was signed.

“Number one sentence: denuclearization. That was done in Singapore. And I think he's a man of his word. So, we're going to find out, but I think he's a man of his word.”

BETWEEN IRAN AND NORTH KOREA, the United States sure has its hands full right now. And many will certainly argue that, by withdrawing from the Iran nuclear deal and engaging in failed summitry with Kim, Trump has made a bad situation worse. But keep in mind that the U.S. has been facing these two wily and dangerous foes for decades -- starting with the Korean War in the early 1950s, and picking up with the Iranian Revolution in the late 1970s.

No president has figured out a magical formula for dealing with either country, and yet here we are. And if Democrats think they can do better, they’re going to have to make that case to voters in 2020.

MEANWHILE, IN IRAQ -- “U.S. Troops Fire Tear Gas as Protesters Swarm Embassy in Iraq Again,” by NYT’s Falih Hassan and Alissa J. Rubin in Baghdad: “For a second day, demonstrators swarmed outside the United States Embassy in Iraq on Wednesday and troops fired tear gas in an attempt to disperse them, but after a few hours the militia leaders who had organized the demonstration called on the crowd to leave.

“Unlike on Tuesday, protesters did not get inside the compound. By midafternoon all but about 200 had dispersed, taking their tent poles with them.” NYT

-- REUTERS: “Iraqi paramilitaries call for withdrawal from U.S. embassy”

THE BIG ZOOM-OUT … WAPO’s ANNE GEARAN, PHILIP RUCKER AND JOSH DAWSEY: “Trump threatens Iran after embassy attack, but remains reluctant to get more involved in region”

AND/BUT: The U.S. dispatched more troops to the Middle East yesterday, including forces that “come from the very unit that was created in the wake of the deadly 2012 attack on the U.S. consulate in Benghazi attack to rapidly come to the aid of embattled embassies in the Middle East.” Like it or not, he’s getting involved. More on Trump’s fears of a Benghazi redux

Good Wednesday morning and Happy New Year. Here’s to the 2020s, and to the thousands of Americans serving in harm’s way today. (It’s me, Blake Hounshell, filling in for one last day before Jake and Anna come back.)

CLICKER -- Invariant’s Heather Podesta is out with her annual holiday card of funny New Year’s resolutions.

LETTER FROM PALM BEACH -- “Trump cuts loose with unpredictable characters at Mar-a-Lago,” by Daniel Lippman: “Alan Dershowitz, the liberal lawyer who now volubly defends Trump on TV, ran into the president on Christmas Eve. The two were waiting to get food, and Dershowitz said he offered the president an empty plate — Trump declined and instead picked up his own — as the two discussed holiday plans.

“‘He was in a very good mood,’ Dershowitz said. ‘People were talking to him, people were high-fiving him. These are his people.’”

SPOTTED last night strolling the red carpet on their way to having New Year's Eve dinner in a grand ballroom at Mar-a-Lago: Rudy Giuliani, HUD Secretary Ben Carson, Ivanka Trump and Jared Kushner, Eric, Donald Trump Jr. and Kimberly Guilfoyle, Eric and Lara Trump, Tiffany Trump and Michael Boulos, Lou Dobbs, Charlie Kirk, Sergio Gor, Hogan Gidley, Mike Lindell and Michael Greenwald and Nolan Wein. (h/t Daniel Lippman, Tuesday’s travel pooler)

-- “From the Brig to Mar-a-Lago, Former Navy SEAL Capitalizes on Newfound Fame,” by NYT’s Dave Phillips: “A year ago, Navy SEAL Chief Petty Officer Edward Gallagher was wearing drab prison scrubs at a brig near San Diego, facing murder charges that could have sent him to prison for the rest of his life. Now he is modeling his own lifestyle clothing brand, endorsing nutrition supplements and positioning himself as a conservative influencer with close ties to the man who helped clear him — President Trump.” NYT

STAT DU JOUR: “Trump spent 1 of every 5 days in 2019 at a golf club,” by CNN’s Betsy Klein

2020 BITES ….

-- “Buttigieg finishes year with $24.7 million haul in final quarter,” by Elena Schneider

-- “Democrats sharpen their differences as Iowa caucuses loom,” by WaPo’s Robert Costa, Sean Sullivan and Amy B Wang

TRUMP’S WEDNESDAY: The president has nothing on his public schedule.

PLAYBOOK READS

SENATE TRIAL TEA-LEAF READING … JOSH GERSTEIN: “Chief Justice John Roberts warns about dangers of fake news”: “Chief Justice John Roberts — who’s on the verge of an extraordinarily high-profile balancing act presiding over the impeachment trial of President Donald Trump — issued a warning on Tuesday about the dangers of misinformation in the internet era.

“In our age, when social media can instantly spread rumor and false information on a grand scale, the public’s need to understand our government, and the protections it provides, is ever more vital,” Roberts declared in his annual New Year’s Eve message summing up the work of the federal judiciary.

“Roberts was not explicit about whether his call for increased civics education was intended as a rebuke of Trump, although some quickly read it that way.” POLITICORoberts’ message

-- NYT’s ADAM LIPTAK: “The two men have a history of friction, and Chief Justice Roberts used the normally mild report to denounce false information spread on social media and to warn against mob rule. Some passages could be read as a mission statement for the chief justice’s plans for the impeachment trial itself. … The report seemed to continue a conversation with Mr. Trump about the role of the courts.”

FOR YOUR RADAR … AP/PERTH: “Australia deployed military ships and aircraft Wednesday to help communities ravaged by apocalyptic wildfires that have left at least 17 people dead nationwide and sent thousands of residents and holidaymakers fleeing to the shoreline.

“Navy ships and military aircraft were bringing water, food and fuel to towns where supplies were depleted and roads were cut off by the fires. Authorities confirmed three bodies were found Wednesday at Lake Conjola on the south coast of New South Wales, bringing the death toll in the state to 15. More than 175 homes have been destroyed in the region.” APUnbelievable photos of the wildfiresWaPo’s Phil Bump: How the hottest decade in recorded history unfolded around the globe

THE TRUMP ADMINISTRATION -- “FDA to Ban All E-Cigarette Pod Flavors Except Tobacco and Menthol,” by WSJ’s Jennifer Maloney and Thomas M. Burton: “The Food and Drug Administration plans to ban the sale of fruity flavors in cartridge-based e-cigarettes, but the restriction won’t apply to tank vaping systems commonly found at vape shops, according to people familiar with the matter.

“The action is seen as a compromise between Trump administration officials who want to address a rise in teen vaping and those concerned about the impact on small businesses and the possible political fallout for President Trump, these people said. Polls commissioned by the vaping industry have shown an outright ban would be unpopular in key states for the 2020 election. Federal officials are expected to announce the new plan as soon as Friday.” WSJ

TRUMP, INC. -- “Trump Organization fires more undocumented workers — a year after its use of illegal labor was revealed,” by WaPo’s Joshua Partlow and David A. Fahrenthold in Charlottesville, Va.: “Nearly a year after the Trump Organization pledged to root out undocumented workers at its properties, supervisors at the Trump Winery on Monday summoned at least seven employees and fired them because of their lack of legal immigration status, according to two of the dismissed workers.” WaPo

BEYOND THE BELTWAY -- “U.S. Ushers In 2020 With Slate of New Laws,” by WSJ’s Jacob Gershman: “Hundreds of state laws across the country take effect on Jan. 1., with new measures changing rules dealing with everything from hiring practices to felon rights and grocery bags.

“The nation’s most stringent data-privacy law takes effect on Wednesday, when hundreds of thousands of businesses will have to start complying with the California Consumer Privacy Act. The state’s business community is also bracing for another law that sets a higher threshold for classifying workers as independent contractors.

“A number of criminal-justice changes are set to take effect. New York will eliminate cash bail for defendants charged with minor offenses and nonviolent felonies, curtailing pretrial detention.

“Starting Jan. 1, employees of colleges and universities in Texas, including the University of Texas, Austin, could face criminal penalties for failing to report incidents of sexual assault, harassment or dating violence.

“California will limit the circumstances under which police may use deadly force. Starting on Wednesday, lethal force against a suspect is justified only when necessary in defense of human life.” WSJ

CHAPO TRAP HOUSE READING -- “Why Pete Buttigieg Enrages the Young Left,” by Derek Robertson in POLITICO Mag’s Chicago bureau: “The unspoken truth about the furor Buttigieg arouses is that his success threatens a core belief of young progressives: that their ideology owns the future, and that the rise of millennials into Democratic politics is going to bring an inevitable demographic triumph for the party’s far left wing.” POLITICO Magazine

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES is out with its annual list of polling findings for 2019, ranging from 100% (general-election Joe Biden or Elizabeth Warren voters who don’t think Trump has the right goals and policies) to less than 0.1% (the Nationals’ chances of winning the World Series back on May 28). A couple of other notable stats: 49% of Americans think we need a complete overhaul of, or major changes to, democracy … 45% of independents believe climate change necessitates immediate action … 71% of suburban Americans think parents should have to get their kids vaccines like MMR. All the stats

WAPO’s ERIK WEMPLE talks to NYT’s ADAM GOLDMAN: “‘Yeah, I briefly chased the pee tape’ — New York Times reporter talks Steele dossier, Horowitz report and more”

PLAYBOOKERS

Send tips to Eli Okun and Garrett Ross at politicoplaybook@politico.com.

IN MEMORIAM -- “The Historian of Moral Revolution,” by David Brooks in The Atlantic: “Gertrude Himmelfarb argued that a great deal is lost when a society stops aiming for civic virtue and is content to aim merely for civility.”

-- “Gen. Paul X. Kelley, Top Marine Tested by a Bombing, Dies at 91,” by NYT’s John Cushman Jr.: “Gen. Paul X. Kelley, a highly decorated Vietnam veteran who rose to become commandant of the Marine Corps from 1983 to 1987 and endured the devastating bombing of a Marine barracks in Beirut, Lebanon, that killed 241 service members in 1983, died on Sunday at a care facility in McLean, Va. He was 91.

“His wife, Barbara Kelley, said the cause was complications of Alzheimer’s disease. At a time when the nation’s military was rebuilding both equipment and morale, a decade after the Vietnam War, General Kelley, regarded as politically adept and well connected, was trusted by President Ronald Reagan’s inner circle.”

-- “Sonny Mehta, literary tastemaker who long reigned at Knopf, dies at 77,” by WaPo’s Emily Langer: “Sonny Mehta, a literary tastemaker and kingmaker who spent more than three decades at the helm of the Alfred A. Knopf publishing house, where he courted critical acclaim, profits and sometimes both at once with a lineup of books that included works by a stable of Nobel laureates, the memoirs of presidents and prime ministers, and page-turning crime and love stories, died Dec. 30 at a hospital in Manhattan.”

SPOTTED: Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.), Jared Kushner, Chris Ruddy and Michael Lindell having coffee on the Mar-a-Lago terrace on Tuesday. … Sen. Michael Bennet (D-Colo.) in row 11 on a United Airlines flight from Denver to Boston.

WELCOME TO THE WORLD -- Kelsey Philie, communications director at the Foundation for Government Accountability, and Mathieu Philie, a U.S. Army company commander, welcomed Mason James Philie on Dec. 24.

BIRTHDAYS: Sen. Bob Menendez (D-N.J.) is 66 … European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde is 64 … Rep. Terri Sewell (D-Ala.) is 55 … Rep. Derek Kilmer (D-Wash.) is 46 … BuzzFeed co-founder and CEO Jonah Peretti is 46 … WaPo’s Brady Dennis … Dana Klinghoffer of NBC News communications … James Glassman is 73 (h/t Tim Burger) … Rob Johnson, founder of Johnson Strategies … Dan Koh … Google’s Tomer Ovadia … former New Jersey Gov. and Sen. Jon Corzine (D) is 73 … former Rep. John Sullivan (R-Okla.) is 55 … former Rep. Martin Frost (D-Texas) is 78 … Stephanie Penn … Kevin McGrann, assistant VP for federal relations at AT&T … Todd Webster, SVP at Cornerstone Government Affairs (h/t Jon Haber) … Nirmal Mankani … Paul E. Singer Foundation’s Daniel Bonner is 3-0 … Andrew Greene is 3-0 … Dan Weiss is 5-0 …

… Shannon Watts … Josh Nanberg, president of Ampersand Strategies, is 46 … Katie Lee … Ted Bridis, who teaches investigative reporting at the University of Florida … Jeremy Bates … J.D. Bryant, director at Bully Pulpit Interactive … Kara Kearns … POLITICO Europe’s Giulia Chiatante … Ken Toltz … Hannah Schwartz of Joe Biden’s campaign … Michael Kelly … Meagan Vargas … Margot Friedman … POLITICO’s Alex DiNino … Sally Slater … Caroline Buck … Victor Ashe … Alison Howard … Kate Beale Maguire … Brian Frederick … Lauren Hagen … Yama Noori … James Donnelly is 3-0 … C-SPAN’s Nicole Ninh … Max Richtman … Zach Howell … Jay Kahn … Jennifer Hall … Justin Bartolomeo, SVP at HDMK … Rocky Disabato … Hugh Delehanty … Tony Esoldo (h/t Teresa Vilmain)

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2020-01-01 14:27:00Z
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