Tone set by world leaders in Rome will indicate whether climate summit has a chance of success
Analysis by Hannah Thomas-Peter, climate change correspondent
World leaders are heading to Rome for the G20 with some thorny problems to sort out, knowing that what they agree on - or not - will set the tone for COP26 in Glasgow.
Coal is a big problem.
The eventual phase-out of financing overseas coal was all but assured when China, the world's biggest investor in foreign oil projects, announced that it would end the practice.
But getting China, India, Russia and Australia to agree to a timeline phasing out domestic production of the highly polluting fossil fuel is a different matter.
The last time G20 representatives met in Naples, there was an embarrassing lack of progress on the issue.
Western diplomats and negotiators tell me that nations are currently "parked" on the Naples agreement and that heels are well dug in on coal.
One highly placed source said: "It's really going to be tough, I think. Not optimistic."
Another government adviser suggested that the Rome meeting would have to settle for "sending a strong signal to the world that coal is over".
I think they knew even as they were saying it that this sounded like a pretty vague, even weak, backup plan.
Still, hope remains that something more can be done to set a positive tone for COP26 in Glasgow.
There will be a big push to agree on ending fossil fuel subsidies, on the absolute importance of limiting warming to 1.5C, and perhaps even real effort to include a reference to the importance of net-zero emissions by 2050 in the final communique.
The 2050 bit isn't actually an agreed G20 position, and rather hangs in the balance in this instance because China's deadline is 2060, and India won't set one at all.
The G20 nations are collectively responsible for 80% of the world's emissions, and so both the tone and the content of the meeting in Rome will be the world's clearest indication yet of whether Glasgow stands a chance, or is doomed to fall short.
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2021-10-30 07:28:41Z
CBMilAFodHRwczovL25ld3Muc2t5LmNvbS9zdG9yeS9nMjAtbGl2ZS13b3JsZC1sZWFkZXJzLWdhdGhlci1pbi1yb21lLWZvci1zdW1taXQtYWhlYWQtb2YtY29wMjYtaW4tZ2xhc2dvdy1hcy1jYW1wYWlnbmVycy1pc3N1ZS1jb3ZpZC0xOS13YXJuaW5nLTEyNDU0Nzc00gEA
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